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Posted
No problem with Fowler's bunt yesterday or Contreras bunting there. Would've been a little annoyed if Heyward had actually bunted given how many of his probable outcomes are similar to bunting.

 

 

DAMN IT I THOUGHT JORGE DID IT

 

 

i don't care if bad hitters bunt. i hate hate hate giving away outs with good hitters.

 

Which one is which in this scenario?

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Posted
No problem with Fowler's bunt yesterday or Contreras bunting there. Would've been a little annoyed if Heyward had actually bunted given how many of his probable outcomes are similar to bunting.

 

i don't care if bad hitters bunt. i hate hate hate giving away outs with good hitters.

 

When one run is disproportionately important, it's not that simple.

Posted
No problem with Fowler's bunt yesterday or Contreras bunting there. Would've been a little annoyed if Heyward had actually bunted given how many of his probable outcomes are similar to bunting.

 

i don't care if bad hitters bunt. i hate hate hate giving away outs with good hitters.

 

When one run is disproportionately important, it's not that simple.

 

seems to me the odds of scoring one run don't increase that much with 1 out and a runner on 2nd vs 0 out and runner on first anyway, without even taking into account that you're talking about wasting a good hitter

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html

 

edit - sorry, massively hungover, but they actually don't increase at all

Posted

 

i don't care if bad hitters bunt. i hate hate hate giving away outs with good hitters.

 

When one run is disproportionately important, it's not that simple.

 

seems to me the odds of scoring one run don't increase that much with 1 out and a runner on 2nd vs 0 out and runner on first anyway, without even taking into account that you're talking about wasting a good hitter

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html

 

That's showing you mean and not median. I've also thought that it's a little simplistic to look at on the whole since bunting falls into both categories(save for failed bunts).

Posted

 

When one run is disproportionately important, it's not that simple.

 

seems to me the odds of scoring one run don't increase that much with 1 out and a runner on 2nd vs 0 out and runner on first anyway, without even taking into account that you're talking about wasting a good hitter

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html

 

That's showing you mean and not median. I've also thought that it's a little simplistic to look at on the whole since bunting falls into both categories(save for failed bunts).

 

This. Depending on how you account for things like fielding errors and bunt hits and double plays, you can basically come up with anything from "very slight negative" to "very slight positive" for bunting. It's fine.

Posted

 

seems to me the odds of scoring one run don't increase that much with 1 out and a runner on 2nd vs 0 out and runner on first anyway, without even taking into account that you're talking about wasting a good hitter

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html

 

That's showing you mean and not median. I've also thought that it's a little simplistic to look at on the whole since bunting falls into both categories(save for failed bunts).

 

This. Depending on how you account for things like fielding errors and bunt hits and double plays, you can basically come up with anything from "very slight negative" to "very slight positive" for bunting. It's fine.

 

if the upside is very slight positive, i'll stick with not wasting outs and letting dongers dong and not having boring ass stupid bunts

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