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Old-Timey Member
Posted
So...just for fun...

 

After 39 games the Cubs sat at 13-26 with a near even run differential and there was much debating about how good the team actually would be over the remainder of the season. We are not nearly far enough into things to be able to make any judgments, but I thought I'd cherry pick this time to point out how things have progressed.

 

In particular, I was pinned down on what I'd predict the record to be over the next 39 games. We are now 17 games into that 39 and our record in those games is 9-8.

 

While we have a winning record since then, our run differential has actually gotten worse. I said then and I'll say now that the actual ability of this team was probably closer to pythagorean record of .500 than the actual record of .333. What we are seeing is those numbers converging as we get a bit deeper into the season.

it may have more to do with playing San Diego 4 times(2-2) and the Mets(2-0). Prior that 17 games they had just gone 1-5 vs STL/ATL.

This is a team with good pitching and very,very streaky players. When we lose we will keep it close, when our offense rolls, we win by a lot, but that simply doesn't happen often enough.

We have Rizzo and Valbuena above .800 ops, and then Castro is above .700 and no other regulars above .700- That's just not a potential .500 team.

 

Something something run environment.

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Posted
So...just for fun...

 

After 39 games the Cubs sat at 13-26 with a near even run differential and there was much debating about how good the team actually would be over the remainder of the season. We are not nearly far enough into things to be able to make any judgments, but I thought I'd cherry pick this time to point out how things have progressed.

 

In particular, I was pinned down on what I'd predict the record to be over the next 39 games. We are now 17 games into that 39 and our record in those games is 9-8.

 

While we have a winning record since then, our run differential has actually gotten worse. I said then and I'll say now that the actual ability of this team was probably closer to pythagorean record of .500 than the actual record of .333. What we are seeing is those numbers converging as we get a bit deeper into the season.

it may have more to do with playing San Diego 4 times(2-2) and the Mets(2-0). Prior that 17 games they had just gone 1-5 vs STL/ATL.

This is a team with good pitching and very,very streaky players. When we lose we will keep it close, when our offense rolls, we win by a lot, but that simply doesn't happen often enough.

We have Rizzo and Valbuena above .800 ops, and then Castro is above .700 and no other regulars above .700- That's just not a potential .500 team.

 

Something something run environment.

Average OPS this year is .707 (or close).

Posted
So...just for fun...

 

After 39 games the Cubs sat at 13-26 with a near even run differential and there was much debating about how good the team actually would be over the remainder of the season. We are not nearly far enough into things to be able to make any judgments, but I thought I'd cherry pick this time to point out how things have progressed.

 

In particular, I was pinned down on what I'd predict the record to be over the next 39 games. We are now 17 games into that 39 and our record in those games is 9-8.

 

While we have a winning record since then, our run differential has actually gotten worse. I said then and I'll say now that the actual ability of this team was probably closer to pythagorean record of .500 than the actual record of .333. What we are seeing is those numbers converging as we get a bit deeper into the season.

it may have more to do with playing San Diego 4 times(2-2) and the Mets(2-0). Prior that 17 games they had just gone 1-5 vs STL/ATL.

This is a team with good pitching and very,very streaky players. When we lose we will keep it close, when our offense rolls, we win by a lot, but that simply doesn't happen often enough.

We have Rizzo and Valbuena above .800 ops, and then Castro is above .700 and no other regulars above .700- That's just not a potential .500 team.

 

Something something run environment.

Average OPS this year is .707 (or close).

Of course having only three regulars over 700 and multiple below 650 and having even that weak ops propped up by slg and dragged down by an awful obp means you suck.

Guest
Guests
Posted

Average OPS this year is .707 (or close).

Of course having only three regulars over 700 and multiple below 650 and having even that weak ops propped up by slg and dragged down by an awful obp means you suck.

Why are you ignoring Bryant's 1.1+ OPS?

Posted
Remember the steroid era? Those were awesome years.

 

I liked baseball better then.

 

I hate admitting that....

 

Actually I liked the era between the steroid area and this current dead ball era, where not everyone was doping, but some guys still were. Less guilt enjoying that product.

Posted
Remember the steroid era? Those were awesome years.

 

I liked baseball better then.

 

I hate admitting that....

 

Actually I liked the era between the steroid area and this current dead ball era, where not everyone was doping, but some guys still were. Less guilt enjoying that product.

 

1387396327334.gif

Community Moderator
Posted
Remember the steroid era? Those were awesome years.

 

I liked baseball better then.

 

I hate admitting that....

 

Actually I liked the era between the steroid area and this current dead ball era, where not everyone was doping, but some guys still were. Less guilt enjoying that product.

 

Why feel guilty? You weren't doping...or were you????

Posted
Remember the steroid era? Those were awesome years.

 

I liked baseball better then.

 

I hate admitting that....

 

Actually I liked the era between the steroid area and this current dead ball era, where not everyone was doping, but some guys still were. Less guilt enjoying that product.

 

Why feel guilty? You weren't doping...or were you????

 

What do you expect from a Marlins fan?

Posted
Remember the steroid era? Those were awesome years.

 

I liked baseball better then.

 

I hate admitting that....

 

Actually I liked the era between the steroid area and this current dead ball era, where not everyone was doping, but some guys still were. Less guilt enjoying that product.

 

Why feel guilty? You weren't doping...or were you????

 

guilty watching players who are killing themselves for my enjoyment

Posted
Remember the steroid era? Those were awesome years.

 

I liked baseball better then.

 

I hate admitting that....

 

Actually I liked the era between the steroid area and this current dead ball era, where not everyone was doping, but some guys still were. Less guilt enjoying that product.

 

Why feel guilty? You weren't doping...or were you????

 

What do you expect from a Marlins fan?

 

Cats out of the bag I guess. Whatever I'll embrace it.

Posted
guilty watching players who are killing themselves for my enjoyment

 

These guys were using the good stuff, that will probably end up prolonging their lives and allow them to live out their childhood fantasy and live a financially independent life.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
guilty watching players who are killing themselves for my enjoyment

 

These guys were using the good stuff, that will probably end up prolonging their lives and allow them to live out their childhood fantasy and live a financially independent life.

 

Except Sammy. He paid cash in the Dominican for the stuff that turns you into a Michael Jackson post-"thriller" apocalypse zombie.

Guest
Guests
Posted
I don't know how to find the stupid thread but as long as we're making brags halfway into an already limited sample I said they'd be closer to 500 than 333 too. I think most people did. And you didn't think they were a 500 team in spite of their run differential saying they were

 

I don't think you're (or most) the one that's directed at...even though you were the one who asked him.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

Worst road record in the league, and guess what's coming?

 

Let's talk again on June 18th. If they're still trending upwards towards .500, I'll give some credit.

 

I have enjoyed watching them feast on the Mets the past few days. It's been fun watching a few wins.

 

There are a few players on the roster that I'm watching with interest now. That's a positive. I don't think there was really anyone last year once it became clear Rizz/Castro/Shark were going to put in substandard years.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Worst road record in the league, and guess what's coming?

 

More home than road games, since they've played 31 road games and 26 home games?

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Worst road record in the league, and guess what's coming?

 

More home than road games, since they've played 31 road games and 26 home games?

 

Nope. Not in between now and June 18th. We have 3 homes against Miami, and then 10 road games (no days off either).

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Worst road record in the league, and guess what's coming?

 

More home than road games, since they've played 31 road games and 26 home games?

 

Nope. Not in between now and June 18th. We have 3 homes against Miami, and then 10 road games (no days off either).

And after that, they'll have 41 road games and 53 home games remaining. So yes.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Worst road record in the league, and guess what's coming?

 

More home than road games, since they've played 31 road games and 26 home games?

 

Nope. Not in between now and June 18th. We have 3 homes against Miami, and then 10 road games (no days off either).

And after that, they'll have 41 road games and 53 home games remaining. So yes.

 

That's not what I was saying, bukie. I want to see them perform better on the road, and there's a big road trip coming up.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
That's not what I was saying, bukie. I want to see them perform better on the road, and there's a big road trip coming up.

 

Yes, the Cubs are actually playing better and we can't just be satisfied with that since it's only been at home and they have a bunch of home games left.

Posted
That's not what I was saying, bukie. I want to see them perform better on the road, and there's a big road trip coming up.

 

Yes, the Cubs are actually playing better and we can't just be satisfied with that since it's only been at home and they have a bunch of home games left.

 

jesus, every time somebody expresses concern about this team they get criticized for not enjoying where they are at right now.

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