NCAA Mock Tourney Selection 2013

[OleMissCub]

Ok surely Ole Miss is in now. 25 wins, 13-6 in conference, and 2nd in SEC.

[bukie]

Along with 2 top 50 wins, 2 losses outside the top 100 and 2 losses outside the top 200.

 

EDIT: And a weaker non conference schedule than Iowa, who is only not getting in because of their non conference schedule and inability to beat a top 25 team..

Edited March 16, 2013 by bukie

[bukie]

They're probably for sure in if they win tomorrow though.

[bcl412]

Along with 2 top 50 wins, 2 losses outside the top 100 and 2 losses outside the top 200.

 

EDIT: And a weaker non conference schedule than Iowa, who is only not getting in because of their non conference schedule and inability to beat a top 25 team..

 

I feel nothing but anger and depression.

[bukie]

SWAC 1 seed Southern actually won the SWAC, so I'd bet they get "rewarded" with a game against a 1 seed instead of a play-in.

 

EDIT: #7 seed NC A&T won the MEAC, and they're definitely in the play-in game.

[bukie]

Akron takes the MAC auto bid just to remove any possible doubt.

[Andy]

Updated with some small-conference champions.

 

1 Indiana vs 16 Liberty/North Carolina A&T - Dayton (Midwest)

1 Duke vs 16 LIU-Brooklyn/James Madison - Lexington (East)

1 Gonzaga vs 16 Southern - San Jose (West)

1 Louisville vs. 16 Western Kentucky - Lexington (South)

2 Kansas vs 15 Albany (South) - Kansas City

2 Michigan vs. 15 Montana (East) - Auburn Hills

2 Michigan St. vs 15 Florida Gulf Coast (West) - Auburn Hills

2 Georgetown vs 15 Pacific (Midwest) - Austin, TX

3 Miami vs 14 Iona (Midwest) - Philly

3 Ohio State vs 14 Harvard (South) - Dayton

3 New Mexico vs 14 South Dakota State (West) - Salt Lake City

3 Florida vs 14 Northwestern State (East) - Kansas City

4 Marquette vs 13 Bucknell (East) - Philly

4 Kansas State vs 13 Valparaiso (West) - Salt Lake City

4 Syracuse vs 13 New Mexico State (Midwest) - Austin, TX

4 Wisconsin vs 13 Davidson (South) - San Jose

5 Pittsburgh vs 12 Akron (South) - San Jose

5 Arizona vs 12 Kentucky/12 La Salle (Midwest) - Austin, TX

5 Oklahoma State vs 12 California/12 Tennessee (East) - Philly

5 St. Louis vs 12 Belmont (West) - Salt Lake City

6 VCU (West) - Salt Lake City

6 Butler (East) - Kansas City

6 Colorado State (Midwest) - Philly

6 North Carolina (South) - Dayton

Edited March 17, 2013 by Andy

[bukie]

Northwestern State upset SFA for the Southland title. Could be slotted down some.

[Andy]

Northwestern State upset SFA for the Southland title. Could be slotted down some.

We'll switch them with Davidson for a start.

[hawkeyecub]

Along with 2 top 50 wins, 2 losses outside the top 100 and 2 losses outside the top 200.

 

EDIT: And a weaker non conference schedule than Iowa, who is only not getting in because of their non conference schedule and inability to beat a top 25 team..

 

Hey at least Bobisnki keeps referencing KenPom and Sagarin. I'm putting them at about a 10% chance but given some of the criteria, the Big Ten's rep, the countless close losses and the bubble's performance this week, I'm holding out a slight amount of hope that they could be the surprise team this year.

[pitchcs]

Ok surely Ole Miss is in now. 25 wins, 13-6 in conference, and 2nd in SEC.

 

:-"

[bukie]

Got busy with other things last night, but I'll get this all figured out soon.

[bukie]

My last picks:

 

Pick 12 (well, 11):

Creighton

UNLV

Notre Dame

Memphis

North Carolina State

Minnesota

San Diego State

Missouri

Cincinnati

UCLA

Oklahoma

 

Remaining 8:

Oregon

Wichita State

St. Mary's

Villanova

Colorado

Temple

Boise State

Iowa State

 

14 bubbles:

California

Middle Tennessee

Iowa

La Salle

Mississippi

Kentucky

Baylor

Alabama

Maryland

Tennessee

Virginia

Southern Miss

Massachusetts

Vanderbilt

 

[Exile on Waveland]

I'm really rooting for this board's collective knowledge to be correct (as it has proven to be, moreso than the media cognoscenti). I have tickets to both Dayton and Indianapolis. Would, obviously, like the chance to see IU both places (assuming that IU can win two games to make it to Indianapolis, which is no sure thing).

[Andy]

I'm really rooting for this board's collective knowledge to be correct (as it has proven to be, moreso than the media cognoscenti). I have tickets to both Dayton and Indianapolis. Would, obviously, like the chance to see IU both places (assuming that IU can win two games to make it to Indianapolis, which is no sure thing).

IMO Louisville ought to be the overall 1 seed and go to Indy, but there's no chance of making that a consensus. Dayton is a lock, though.

[rawaction]

I'm really rooting for this board's collective knowledge to be correct (as it has proven to be, moreso than the media cognoscenti). I have tickets to both Dayton and Indianapolis. Would, obviously, like the chance to see IU both places (assuming that IU can win two games to make it to Indianapolis, which is no sure thing).

 

Going to be interesting. Think winning the best conference outright should keep IU as a #1. But Kansas won their conference (albeit much weaker) and Miami may win theirs (with the best #2 team in it). Either way, I don't think IU keeps #1 in the midwest. Louisville has earned that. I'm thinking IU goes to #1 in the South if Miami loses and #1 East if they lose (Kansas #1 South).

[bukie]

S-Curve (68):

1. Indiana

2. Duke

3. Louisville (Big East)

4. Gonzaga (WCC)

5. Kansas (Big 12)

6. Michigan State

7. Michigan

8. Georgetown

9. Miami

10. Ohio State

11. New Mexico (MWC)

12. Florida

13. Marquette

14. Kansas State

15. Syracuse

16. Wisconsin

17. Pittsburgh

18. Arizona

19. Oklahoma State

20. St. Louis

21. VCU

22. Butler

23. Colorado State

24. North Carolina

25. Illinois

26. UNLV

27. Notre Dame

28. Creighton

29. UCLA

30. North Carolina State

31. Memphis (C-USA)

32. San Diego State

33. Missouri

34. Minnesota

35. Oklahoma

36. Cincinnati

37. Colorado

38. Oregon (Pac-12)

39. St. Mary's

40. Villanova

41. Temple

42. Wichita State

43. Boise State

44. Iowa State

45. Belmont (OVC)

46. California

47. La Salle

48. Middle Tennessee

49. Kentucky

50. Akron (MAC)

51. Bucknell (Patriot)

52. Valparaiso (Horizon)

53. New Mexico State (WAC)

54. Davidson (SoCon)

55. Northwestern State (Southland

56. Harvard (Ivy)

57. South Dakota State (Summit)

58. Iona (MAAC)

59. Florida Gulf Coast (A-Sun)

60. Pacific (Big West

61. Montana (Big Sky)

62. Albany (America East)

63. James Madison (CAA)

64. Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)

65. LIU Brooklyn (NEC)

66. Southern (SWAC)

67. North Carolina A&T (MEAC)

68. Liberty (Big South)

 

Last 4 in:

California

La Salle

Middle Tennessee

Kentucky

 

Last 4 out:

Iowa

Tennessee

Baylor

Mississippi

 

Next 4 out:

Maryland

Massachusetts

Virginia

Alabama

[bukie]

So if Mississippi wins, they're in and Kentucky's out, and Iowa State would get slotted into the first round.

[bukie]

I'm basically wiped out, but we should try to put a final bracket together.

[Exile on Waveland]

I'm really rooting for this board's collective knowledge to be correct (as it has proven to be, moreso than the media cognoscenti). I have tickets to both Dayton and Indianapolis. Would, obviously, like the chance to see IU both places (assuming that IU can win two games to make it to Indianapolis, which is no sure thing).

 

Going to be interesting. Think winning the best conference outright should keep IU as a #1. But Kansas won their conference (albeit much weaker) and Miami may win theirs (with the best #2 team in it). Either way, I don't think IU keeps #1 in the midwest. Louisville has earned that. I'm thinking IU goes to #1 in the South if Miami loses and #1 East if they lose (Kansas #1 South).

 

Yeah, I'm expecting Louisville in the Midwest, with IU probably in the East.

[Andy]

Here's my final stab at a bracket. I think I followed all the rules correctly. If Ole Miss beats Florida, as bukie said, Iowa State gets bumped to the play-in, and I'll rearrange if that happens with Ole Miss going in as, I assume a 12 or 11.

 

MIDWEST (Indianapolis)

Dayton

1 Indiana vs 16 Liberty/North Carolina A&T

8 UNLV vs 9 Colorado

 

Austin

4 Syracuse vs 13 New Mexico State

5 Oklahoma State vs 12 Akron

 

Austin

6 Colorado State vs 11 Wichita State

3 Miami vs 14 Iona

 

Philadelphia

7 Illinois vs 10 Oregon

2 Georgetown vs 15 Pacific

 

WEST (Los Angeles)

San Jose

1 Gonzaga vs 16 Southern

8 NC State vs 9 Cincinnati

 

Salt Lake City

4 Kansas State vs 13 Valparaiso

5 Arizona vs 12 Belmont

 

Salt Lake City

6 VCU vs 11 Ole Miss

3 New Mexico vs 14 South Dakota State

 

Auburn Hills

7 Creighton vs 10 Oklahoma

2 Michigan St. vs 15 Florida Gulf Coast

 

EAST (Washington, DC)

Lexington

1 Duke vs 16 LIU-Brooklyn/James Madison

8 San Diego State vs 9 Minnesota

 

Philadelphia

4 Marquette vs 13 Bucknell

5 St. Louis vs 12 California/12 Tennessee

 

Kansas City

6 Butler vs 11 Boise State

3 Florida vs 14 Northwestern State

 

Auburn Hills

7 Notre Dame vs 10 St. Mary's

2 Michigan vs. 15 Montana

 

SOUTH (Arlington, TX)

Lexington

1 Louisville vs. 16 Western Kentucky

8 Memphis vs 9 Missouri

 

San Jose

4 Wisconsin vs 13 Davidson

5 Pittsburgh vs 12 Iowa State/12 La Salle

 

Dayton

6 North Carolina vs 11 Temple

3 Ohio State vs 14 Harvard

 

Kansas City

7 UCLA vs 10 Villanova

2 Kansas vs 15 Albany

Edited March 17, 2013 by Andy

[Guest]

UCLA and Mizzou played earlier this year, so need to swap one of them out for another 8/9.

[Andy]

UCLA and Mizzou played earlier this year, so need to swap one of them out for another 8/9.

Good catch. I fixed it with a few tweaks.

 

ETA: Hold on, I just created an A-10 rematch. Fixing.

 

ETA 2: Ok, I think I've got it now. I had to bump UCLA up to a 7 to get out of that situation (which is fine since they were the first 8 on the S-curve anyway).

[Andy]

I'm pretty confident we'll miss on Miami (they look likely to be a 2 at this point and might even leapfrog to a 1 - the committee chair on CBS earlier today said the 1 line wasn't decided), but what're you gonna do?

[SouthSideRyan]

I'd flip the locations for Georgetown and Miami