College Football - Week 3 (Sept. 13)

[Andy]

Top 25 games

Ohio at (1) Ohio State (7 pm, Peacock)

Villanova at (2) Penn State (3:30 pm, FS1)

Florida at (3) LSU (7:30 pm, ABC)

(4) Oregon at Northwestern (12 pm, FOX) 

(18) South Florida at (5) Miami (4:30 pm, CW)

(6) Georgia at (15) Tennessee (3:30 pm, ABC) 

UTEP at (7) Texas (4:15 pm, SEC Network) 

(16) Texas A&M at (8) Notre Dame (7:30 pm, NBC)

Western Michigan at (9) Illinois (7 pm, FS1) 

Vanderbilt at (11) South Carolina (7:45 pm, SEC Network)

(12) Clemson at Georgia Tech (12 pm, ESPN) 

(13) Oklahoma at Temple (12 pm, ESPN2) 

(14) Iowa State at Arkansas State (4 pm, ESPN2) 

Arkansas at (17) Ole Miss (7 pm, ESPN) 

Wisconsin at (19) Alabama (12 pm, ABC) 

(20) Utah at Wyoming (8 pm, CBSSN) 

Oregon State at (21) Texas Tech (3:30 pm, FOX) 

Indiana State at (22) Indiana (6:30 pm Friday, BTN) 

Central Michigan at (23) Michigan (12 pm, BTN) 

South Alabama at (24) Auburn (12:45 pm, SEC Network) 

UL Lafayette at (25) Missouri (1 pm, ESPN+) 

 

Other nationally available games
Thursday

NC State at Wake Forest (7:30 pm, ESPN)

 

Friday

Colgate at Syracuse (7 pm, ACC Network)

Colorado at Houston (7:30 pm, ESPN)

Kansas State at Arizona (9 pm, FOX)

New Mexico at UCLA (10 pm, BTN)

 

Saturday TV

Houston Christian at Nebraska (12 pm, FS1)

Memphis at Troy (12 pm, ESPNU)

William & Mary at Virginia (12 pm, ACC Network)

Buffalo at Kent State (12 pm, CBSSN)

USC at Purdue (3:30 pm, CBS)

Pittsburgh at West Virginia (3:30 pm, ESPN)

Norfolk State at Rutgers (3:30 pm, BTN - Regional)

Youngstown State at Michigan State (3:30 pm, BTN - Regional)

Washington State at North Texas (3:30 pm, ESPNU)

Richmond at North Carolina (3:30 pm, ACC Network)

SMU at Missouri State (3:30 pm, CBSSN) 

Old Dominion at Virginia Tech (7 pm, ACC Network)

UMass at Iowa (7:30 pm, BTN)

Eastern Michigan at Kentucky (7:30 pm, ESPNU)

Duke at Tulane (8 pm, ESPN2)

Air Force at Utah State (9:45 pm, FS1)

Minnesota at California (10:30 pm, ESPN)

Texas State at Arizona State (10:30 pm, TNT) 

Boston College at Stanford (10:30 pm, ACC Network)

 

Saturday Streaming (all ESPN+ unless noted)

Samford at Baylor (12 pm)

Towson at Maryland (12 pm, Peacock)

New Hampshire at Ball State (2 pm)

UConn at Delaware (3 pm)

Incarnate Word at UTSA (3:30 pm)

Morgan State at Toledo (3:30 pm)

Northwestern State at Cincinnati (3:30 pm)

Liberty at Bowling Green (5 pm)

Eastern Kentucky at Marshall (6 pm)

Florida Atlantic at FIU (6 pm)

Merrimack at Kennesaw State (6 pm)

Monmouth at Charlotte (6 pm)

Alcorn State at Mississippi State (6:30 pm)

Appalachian State at Southern Miss (7 pm)

Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern (7 pm)

Murray State at Georgia State (7 pm)

Prairie View at Rice (7 pm)

East Carolina at Coastal Carolina (7:30 pm)

New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech (7:30 pm)

Abilene Christian at TCU (8 pm)

Navy at Tulsa (8 pm)

Akron at UAB (8:30 pm)

Edited September 11, 2025 by Andy

[Derwood]

Can South Florida complete the trifecta?

[Derwood]

Florida might not win 5 games this season:

[Tryptamine]

Man, ESPN's matchup predictor sure doesn't think much of Illinois

The odd's they give Illinois to win each game

Western Michigan 95.8%

Indiana 38.6%

USC 33.8%

Purdue 81.4%

Ohio State 25.6%

Washington 47.5%

Rutgers 71.0%

Maryland 82.3%

Wisconsin 58.2%

Northwestern 88.0%

 

[cwood218]

7 hours ago, Derwood said:

Florida might not win 5 games this season:

JFC ... if those rankings end up being even remotely close by the end of the year ...

[Rex Buckingham]

8 hours ago, Tryptamine said:

Man, ESPN's matchup predictor sure doesn't think much of Illinois

The odd's they give Illinois to win each game

Western Michigan 95.8%

Indiana 38.6%

USC 33.8%

Purdue 81.4%

Ohio State 25.6%

Washington 47.5%

Rutgers 71.0%

Maryland 82.3%

Wisconsin 58.2%

Northwestern 88.0%

 

I'm sure it's heavily weighted toward recruiting rankings at this time of year, and recruiting rankings are often garbage. Gabe Jacas was a no name 3 star committed to Tulane before flipping to Illinois (was also pursued by Temnessee, iirc) and is now an All-American Candidate. He's still counted as a 3 star in the formulas that consider recruiting rankings, which clearly shortchanges his talent. 

I'm sure it also doesn't account for coaching, and Bielema has shown that he's a darn good one, while coaches like Manny Diaz (Ron Zook's spiritual successor) have shown they'll find ways to lose games

[Transmogrified Tiger]

It appears to use FPI.  I'm not sure I see a huge issue though, the only real outlier seems like the USC game.  Other than that it seems to have them as pretty heavy favorites in home games, underdogs against good teams away and coinflips or better against poor away teams.  Oh and naturally heavy underdogs to OSU.

[I owned a Suzuki]

18 hours ago, Tryptamine said:

Man, ESPN's matchup predictor sure doesn't think much of Illinois

The odd's they give Illinois to win each game

Western Michigan 95.8%

Indiana 38.6%

USC 33.8%

Purdue 81.4%

Ohio State 25.6%

Washington 47.5%

Rutgers 71.0%

Maryland 82.3%

Wisconsin 58.2%

Northwestern 88.0%

 

Didn't they have Duke winning? 33% against USC at home?

[Andy]

Missouri's home game vs UL Lafayette has reportedly been moved up from 4 to 1 pm ET due to excessive heat expected at kickoff.

[mul21]

26 minutes ago, Andy said:

Missouri's home game vs UL Lafayette has reportedly been moved up from 4 to 1 pm ET due to excessive heat expected at kickoff.

Yeah, it's going to be 95 here all weekend.  So lame.

[Derwood]

Colorado is pretty pretty pretty bad

[Andy]

4 minutes ago, Derwood said:

Colorado is pretty pretty pretty bad

I haven't seen them yet, but it seemed like an issue when Coach Prime decided neither of the 2 guys who was in the preseason QB battle was going to start tonight

[Derwood]

1 minute ago, Andy said:

I haven't seen them yet, but it seemed like an issue when Coach Prime decided neither of the 2 guys who was in the preseason QB battle was going to start tonight

He doesn't know how to pick a QB when it's not his own kid

[Derwood]

Down goes Clemson (again)

[Derwood]

Penn State insists on playing down to the competition. No reason to only be up 13 against this team

[I owned a Suzuki]

2 hours ago, Derwood said:

Down goes Clemson (again)

I put some money on Florida tonight. I dont dislike LSU, just think they are a bit overrated after beating not very good Clemson. Plus Florida should play somewhat inspired

[Andy]

With the new expanded playoff making the offseason shorter and the CFB season now mirroring the NFL in so many ways, I wonder if the "post-Super Bowl hangover" thing will make its way into the sport for national runners-up.

In a related story, Notre Dame's season is effectively over and most of us are ready to ship this new DC Chris Ash to Abu Dhabi

Edited September 14, 2025 by Andy

[soccer10k]

Both ND-A&M and Georgia-Tenn were fun watches today.

[Proven Veteran]

I thought this was funny: 

 

Trending down: Scheduling up

Indiana closed out another gauntlet of a nonconference schedule on Friday, narrowly escaping Indiana State 73-0. The Hoosiers are now 6-0 in nonconference regular-season games under Curt Cignetti, who urges you not to Google any of those opponents. Just be sure they're all really good.

[Derwood]

Maybe Pat McAfee is actually a football savant?

[Derwood]

UCLA and VA Tech have fired their head coaches

[Andy]

2 hours ago, Derwood said:

UCLA and VA Tech have fired their head coaches

After getting punked by New Mexico and Old Dominion respectively. Checks out.

I'd say poor UCLA fans but I'm not sure how many they have besides Raisin. Being USC's tag-team partner in the final destruction of the Pac-12 might be the last relevant thing they do for a while, that program is completely directionless

[Old Style]

On 9/14/2025 at 1:06 AM, soccer10k said:

Both ND-A&M and Georgia-Tenn were fun watches today.

Don’t really check this board much anymore but I’m still happily shocked at the way the A&M-ND game ended. Didn’t see that coming at all. Of course, now we’ll probably horsefeathers the bed at home to an unranked team. Lol. Us having an off week and Auburn having to play at Oklahoma last week before coming to Kyle Field this Saturday should be a nice advantage. 

Edited September 23, 2025 by Old Style