College Football - Week 10 (Nov. 6)

[Andy]

As usual I will switch these to the CFP rankings come Tuesday night.

 

Top 25 games

------------------------------

Missouri at (1) Georgia (12 pm, ESPN)

LSU at (2) Alabama (7 pm, ESPN)

(3) Michigan State at Purdue (3:30 pm, ABC)

(4) Oregon at Washington (7:30 pm, ABC)

(5) Ohio State at Nebraska (12 pm, FOX)

Tulsa at (6) Cincinnati (3:30 pm, ESPN2)

Indiana at (7) Michigan (7:30 pm, FOX)

(9) Wake Forest at North Carolina (12 pm, ABC)

Navy at (10) Notre Dame (3:30 pm, NBC)

(11) Oklahoma State at West Virginia (3:30 pm, ESPN)

(12) Baylor at TCU (3:30 pm, FOX)

(13) Auburn at (14) Texas A&M (3:30 pm, CBS)

Idaho State at (15) BYU (3:30 pm, BYUTV/ESPN3)

Liberty at (16) Ole Miss (12 pm, SEC Network)

(17) Mississippi State at Arkansas (4 pm, SEC Network)

Tennessee at (18) Kentucky (7 pm, ESPN2)

(19) NC State at Florida State (4 pm, ACC Network)

Illinois at (20) Minnesota (12 pm, ESPN2)

(21) Wisconsin at Rutgers (3:30 pm, BTN)

(22) Iowa at Northwestern (7 pm, BTN)

Boise State at (23) Fresno State (7 pm, CBSSN)

(24) San Diego State at Hawaii (11 pm, FS1)

(25) Pittsburgh at Duke (12 pm, ACC Network)

 

Other nationally available games

---------------------------------------------------

Tuesday

Ball State at Akron (7 pm, CBSSN)

Eastern Michigan at Toledo (7:30 pm, ESPN2)

Miami (OH) at Ohio (7:30 pm, ESPNU)

 

Wednesday

Northern Illinois at Kent State (7 pm, ESPN2)

Central Michigan at Western Michigan (7 pm, ESPNU)

 

Thursday

Georgia State at UL Lafayette (7:30 pm, ESPN)

 

Friday

Georgia Tech at Boston College (7:30 pm, ESPN2)

Utah at Stanford (10:30 pm, FS1)

 

Saturday TV

Air Force vs Army - in Arlington, TX (11:30 am, CBS)

Kansas State at Kansas (12 pm, FS1)

SMU at Memphis (12 pm, ESPNU)

Louisiana Tech at UAB (12 pm, CBSSN)

Georgia Tech at Miami (12:30 pm, Regional Sports Networks/ESPN3)

California at Arizona (3 pm, Pac-12 Network)

Penn State at Maryland (3:30 pm, FS1)

Colorado State at Wyoming (3:30 pm, CBSSN)

Tulane at UCF (4 pm, ESPNU)

Oregon State at Colorado (7 pm, Pac-12 Network)

Texas at Iowa State (7:30 pm, FS1)

Houston at South Florida (7:30 pm, ESPNU)

Florida at South Carolina (7:30 pm, SEC Network)

Clemson at Louisville (7:30 pm, ACC Network)

San Jose State at Nevada (10 pm, FS2)

UTSA at UTEP (10:15 pm, ESPN2)

USC at Arizona State (10:30 pm, ESPN)

 

Saturday Streaming

Appalachian State at Arkansas State (2 pm, ESPN+)

North Texas at Southern Miss (3 pm, ESPN+)

Temple at East Carolina (3 pm, ESPN+)

UL Monroe at Texas State (3 pm, ESPN+)

Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky (3:30 pm, Stadium)

Rice at Charlotte (3:30 pm, ESPN+)

South Alabama at Troy (3:30 pm, ESPN+)

Marshall at Florida Atlantic (6 pm, Facebook)

Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern (6 pm, ESPN+)

Old Dominion at Florida International (7 pm, ESPN3)

UNLV at New Mexico (7 pm, Stadium)

Edited November 2, 2021 by Andy

[soccer10k]

Georgia

Alabama

Michigan St

Oregon

Ohio St

Cincinnati

 

Committee’s top 6. I see they’re already doing whatever they can to keep Cincinnati out. I was happy to see Oklahoma at 8 because they don’t belong anywhere near the top 4 right now.

[Andy]

Death, taxes and the selection committee shoving a mediocre team Alabama beat into the top 25 so they can move Alabama higher in their own rankings.

 

By the committee's own freaking rankings, Cincinnati owns the second-best road win of the season to date and they've all but announced with this data set that they absolutely will not make the playoff.

[soccer10k]

I’m not as worried about Bama because their situation will sort itself out on the field. Either they win out and the SEC gets 2 teams, which happens whether Bama is ranked 2 or 6 right now, or they lose and they’re out barring something weird happening like them losing to Georgia by 3 and chaos happening elsewhere.

 

But I’m not going to begrudge someone not thinking Bama should be lower.

[Andy]

I’m not as worried about Bama because their situation will sort itself out on the field. Either they win out and the SEC gets 2 teams, which happens whether Bama is ranked 2 or 6 right now, or they lose and they’re out barring something weird happening like them losing to Georgia by 3 and chaos happening elsewhere.

 

But I’m not going to begrudge someone not thinking Bama should be lower.

I'm not sure. I didn't watch the show, but based on the quotes from the committee chair, it sounded like Bama at #2 was an easy call for them. If they think their resume is so good now, then why would they change their mind after they lose to #1 unless that game is a bloodbath (and it won't be)?

 

I'm probably overreacting, it's just annoying that they already have so much margin for error and on top of that their losses are basically ignored.

[SouthSideRyan]

Yea I feel like Bama could lose by about 20 to GA and still make it over Cincinnati.

[Derwood]

It's clear that their job is first and foremost to put the teams that will get the highest ratings into the playoffs. The record/resume is an afterthought

[soccer10k]

Who really deserves to be ahead of them though?

 

Mich St has a better win (Michigan) and no losses but Bama has the next 2-3 best wins and the one common game (Miami), Bama looked much better. MSU also struggled to beat Nebraska and Indiana.

Oregon has a better win (@OSU) but a much worse loss. They also struggled against UCLA and Cal.

OSU has a decent resume. Better loss (Oregon) and their best couple wins are pretty similar to Bama. But if you're going to have Oregon in front of OSU, Bama has to be in front of OSU also.

Cincy has the best win and no loss but it's a big drop in win quality after Notre Dame.

Michigan has a better loss and an equivalent best win but Bama has better wins after.

Oklahoma struggled to beat Kansas which is damning enough. But if you want more, their best win is KSt or Texas.

Wake hasn't beaten anyone.

Oklahoma St. has an equivalent best win but a worse loss.

 

Here's the 4 times a non-conference champ got in.

 

2020 Pac-12 and Big 12 had 2 losses

2018 Notre Dame (12-0) over 1-loss Big 10 and 3 loss Pac-12

2017 Pac-12 and Big 10 had 2 losses

2016 Big 12 and Big 10 had 2 losses

 

So if we end up with 13-0 Georgia, 12-1 Oregon, 13-0 Oklahoma (maybe 12-1 if they win the Big 12), 13-0 Cincy and a 13-0/12-1 Big 10 champ, then an 11-2 Bama isn't getting in. They like rewarding conference champs. For 11-2 Bama to get in, you're going to need some upsets or for a couple of those teams to lose conference title games to teams that have 2+ losses.

[NewUserName]

Yea I feel like Bama could lose by about 20 to GA and still make it over Cincinnati.

 

I should drum up the actual quote, but the dude in charge said something along the lines that the gap between 3-9 was very small. So Alabama is currently in a "higher" position in the committees mind. I think Alabama is going to make it if they win out and lose to Georgia in the SEC championship game. Cincinnati with no big games left is going to be hard pressed to make it

[CubinNY]

MSU will do an MSU thing like they always do and lose to Purdue, PSU, or Maryland and get wasted by OSU. So they will be out.

[NewUserName]

MSU will do an MSU thing like they always do and lose to Purdue, PSU, or Maryland and get wasted by OSU. So they will be out.

 

I am very concerned about this Saturdays game at Purdue

[Soul]

Illini, destroyer of dreams.

[minnesotacubsfan]

Illini, destroyer of dreams.

Blech!

 

 

I am happy it appears the Illini are on their way up, however

[Soul]

What a letdown for Sparty, wow.

[champaignchris]

Illini, destroyer of dreams.

Road wins over top 20 opponents sandwiching a home loss to Rutgers is the most Illinois thing ever.

 

It kills me that blowing that game against MD is probably going to be what keeps Illinois out of a bowl in BB’s first season.

[CubinNY]

MSU will do an MSU thing like they always do and lose to Purdue, PSU, or Maryland and get wasted by OSU. So they will be out.

As predictable as ever. I’m not a betting person but if I was I would’ve bet a lot of money on Purdue this week.

[Soul]

Illini, destroyer of dreams.

Road wins over top 20 opponents sandwiching a home loss to Rutgers is the most Illinois thing ever.

 

It kills me that blowing that game against MD is probably going to be what keeps Illinois out of a bowl in BB’s first season.

But, I do think the arrow is pointing up.

[soccer10k]

Can't say I've seen this trick play before.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FY0WnI65lac

[NOLA]

So, strong effort by LSU or is BAMA that much weaker than previous years? I feel like there are at least 5 or 6 teams that could line up and beat the Tide this season.

[soccer10k]

So, strong effort by LSU or is BAMA that much weaker than previous years? I feel like there are at least 5 or 6 teams that could line up and beat the Tide this season.

 

Bama is nowhere near what they were offensively last year, which isn’t too surprising since they lost a QB, RB and 2 WR who all went in the 1st round.

[Derwood]

Georgia hasn't allowed more than 14 points to a team all year.

[NOLA]

So, strong effort by LSU or is BAMA that much weaker than previous years? I feel like there are at least 5 or 6 teams that could line up and beat the Tide this season.

 

Bama is nowhere near what they were offensively last year, which isn’t too surprising since they lost a QB, RB and 2 WR who all went in the 1st round.

Yes, but in previous years they could just plug in the next guy and not miss a beat. There is no Julio Jones, Amari Cooper, Mark Ingram, Najee Harris on this team.

[OleMissCub]

Georgia hasn't allowed more than 14 points to a team all year.

 

They are badasses to be sure and are the best defense I’ve seen since the LSU/Bama teams of 2011, but they haven’t exactly played any elite offenses. I still think they win the title fwiw.

 

Clemson - 108th (total offense)

UAB - 59th

South Carolina - 102nd

Vandy - 128th

Florida - 55th

Arkansas - 36th

Auburn - 45th

Kentucky - 62nd

[soccer10k]

So, strong effort by LSU or is BAMA that much weaker than previous years? I feel like there are at least 5 or 6 teams that could line up and beat the Tide this season.

 

Bama is nowhere near what they were offensively last year, which isn’t too surprising since they lost a QB, RB and 2 WR who all went in the 1st round.

Yes, but in previous years they could just plug in the next guy and not miss a beat. There is no Julio Jones, Amari Cooper, Mark Ingram, Najee Harris on this team.

 

That’s true but there was always going to be a bit of a drop off from last years team because of how good they were. And let’s be honest, they’re still really good. They’re still 8-1 and winning out puts them in the playoff. At worst they’ll finish with 3 losses, either losing to Auburn and not making the SEC title game or losing to Georgia and then losing in a bowl game. This isn’t a 2020 LSU or 2021 Clemson situation.