2021 MLB Actual Draft Day(s) Thread

[CaliforniaRaisin]

https://twitter.com/savermetrics/status/1418386112154767362?s=21

[CubinNY]

https://twitter.com/savermetrics/status/1418387392331874306?s=21

 

I had to click on the the twitter link, but that kid looks like he's 13-15 years old. My goodness.

[craig]

Super idiotic dumb question, is that Ricketts in picture, or somebody else who looks vaguely like him? *If* Ricketts wanted to welcome the bonus baby and be in on the signing, that might have factored into the schedule for his signing?

[TarzanJoeWallis]

Super idiotic dumb question, is that Ricketts in picture, or somebody else who looks vaguely like him? *If* Ricketts wanted to welcome the bonus baby and be in on the signing, that might have factored into the schedule for his signing?

I’m guessing it is his dad. It definitely isn’t Tom Ricketts.

[Bear Cub]

A thank you to Savermetrics for another great job chasing down info on this draft as usual.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

Super idiotic dumb question, is that Ricketts in picture, or somebody else who looks vaguely like him? *If* Ricketts wanted to welcome the bonus baby and be in on the signing, that might have factored into the schedule for his signing?

 

Billy Swoope?

[SouthernmostCubFan]

A thank you to Savermetrics for another great job chasing down info on this draft as usual.

 

Excellent work! I’m wondering if other teams have people in their fan bases that are as dedicated? Looks like the Cubs are going to finish with $5K left unless something is up with Cunningham. And if he signs, that amount of money is likely not the deal maker. So…should have given it to Riley Martin

[SouthernmostCubFan]

Erian is official

 

 

I’m excited about this kid.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

 

$2.1 mil!

 

Lots of money compared to slot. A Billy Swoope endorsement. And some ungodly high school stats. Leads to high expectations.

[Hrubes20]

 

$2.1 mil!

 

Lots of money compared to slot. A Billy Swoope endorsement. And some ungodly high school stats. Leads to high expectations.

 

The elite prep hitters always have video game numbers as Seniors, but I honestly don't remember seeing a player strike out 0 times the entire season before. I'm sure it's happened, but I cannot remember it.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

 

$2.1 mil!

 

Lots of money compared to slot. A Billy Swoope endorsement. And some ungodly high school stats. Leads to high expectations.

 

The elite prep hitters always have video game numbers as Seniors, but I honestly don't remember seeing a player strike out 0 times the entire season before. I'm sure it's happened, but I cannot remember it.

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

[We Got The Whole 9]

 

Lots of money compared to slot. A Billy Swoope endorsement. And some ungodly high school stats. Leads to high expectations.

 

The elite prep hitters always have video game numbers as Seniors, but I honestly don't remember seeing a player strike out 0 times the entire season before. I'm sure it's happened, but I cannot remember it.

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

[Named After Maddux]

 

The elite prep hitters always have video game numbers as Seniors, but I honestly don't remember seeing a player strike out 0 times the entire season before. I'm sure it's happened, but I cannot remember it.

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

Concerning the data:

On the showcase circuit (which is where the 94% contact rate is from), Triantos had a 24% chase rate. For some reference, that 24% is in the same tier as Khalil Watson, Jordan Lawler, and Lonnie White. It’s better than Marcelo Mayer, Alex Mooney, and Brady House. Triantos’ chase rate

was behind a few favorites like Harry Ford, Tyler Whitaker, Colson Montgomery.

 

I’ve been told that the Cubs were most impressed with his actual scouting report. That’s what excited them and the data only helped to confirm their belief. There are never any guarantees, especially with a high school player, but there is a solid foundation that should help him adjust to pro pitching in my opinion.

[We Got The Whole 9]

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

Concerning the data:

On the showcase circuit (which is where the 94% contact rate is from), Triantos had a 24% chase rate. For some reference, that 24% is in the same tier as Khalil Watson, Jordan Lawler, and Lonnie White. It’s better than Marcelo Mayer, Alex Mooney, and Brady House. Triantos’ chase rate

was behind a few favorites like Harry Ford, Tyler Whitaker, Colson Montgomery.

 

I’ve been told that the Cubs were most impressed with his actual scouting report. That’s what excited them and the data only helped to confirm their belief. There are never any guarantees, especially with a high school player, but there is a solid foundation that should help him adjust to pro pitching in my opinion.

 

I had no idea these stats were tracked at that level. That's really cool. Thanks for sharing. I'd be interested in seeing his swing%, as well as his average launch angle. Doesn't seem like a guy you want to tinker much with. I wonder if he's more Nick Madrigal or if there's an impact bat there with elite contact like Yuli Gurriel or the like. Obviously he needs to get a lot stronger. Is he actually 6 ft or is that fibbed? Curious to see how much weight he can add comfortably.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

 

The elite prep hitters always have video game numbers as Seniors, but I honestly don't remember seeing a player strike out 0 times the entire season before. I'm sure it's happened, but I cannot remember it.

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

 

The math says that if you have a high contact rate and a high batting average you’re not swinging at pitcher’s pitches. There’s no downside to having great bat to ball contact skills. It’s the inability to become more selective as the pitches become better that becomes the issue.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

Concerning the data:

On the showcase circuit (which is where the 94% contact rate is from), Triantos had a 24% chase rate. For some reference, that 24% is in the same tier as Khalil Watson, Jordan Lawler, and Lonnie White. It’s better than Marcelo Mayer, Alex Mooney, and Brady House. Triantos’ chase rate

was behind a few favorites like Harry Ford, Tyler Whitaker, Colson Montgomery.

 

I’ve been told that the Cubs were most impressed with his actual scouting report. That’s what excited them and the data only helped to confirm their belief. There are never any guarantees, especially with a high school player, but there is a solid foundation that should help him adjust to pro pitching in my opinion.

 

Comparable exit velocities too is what I remember.

[Named After Maddux]

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

Concerning the data:

On the showcase circuit (which is where the 94% contact rate is from), Triantos had a 24% chase rate. For some reference, that 24% is in the same tier as Khalil Watson, Jordan Lawler, and Lonnie White. It’s better than Marcelo Mayer, Alex Mooney, and Brady House. Triantos’ chase rate

was behind a few favorites like Harry Ford, Tyler Whitaker, Colson Montgomery.

 

I’ve been told that the Cubs were most impressed with his actual scouting report. That’s what excited them and the data only helped to confirm their belief. There are never any guarantees, especially with a high school player, but there is a solid foundation that should help him adjust to pro pitching in my opinion.

 

Comparable exit velocities too is what I remember.

Yes, that’s correct. Comparable max exit velocities to Ford, Montgomery, Kinney, Stovall.

 

I’m working on doing a deeper dive, but a lot of information is proprietary. The data above was hard to scrounge up as well, but I had someone who felt generous during the draft cycle. I think I should be able to get my hands on some cool data/info here in a couple weeks on a few of the Cubs draft prospects.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

FGs has Wicks at 7 (behind Morel), Triantos at 15 (in front of Strumpf), Franklin at 22, and Gray at 30 on their updated Cubs list

 

——

 

^^^ Nick Madigal's is an impact bat, really good 2B defender too. A little douchey yeah but really good player. Maybe Triantos really does have that kind of hit tool, but the baseline for HS hitters in the pros right now should be that they're going to swing and miss some. NC's more towards the cold weather states for his year round competition so I'd still expect K rates closer to league average in the minors rather than the crazy 10% give or take rates those guys can put up, obviously if way better then yay

 

Huh?

[CaliforniaRaisin]

 

[Tryptamine]

 

 

That's odd, the pitcher's arms usually fall off after they've become a New York Met, not before.

[CubinNY]

 

The elite prep hitters always have video game numbers as Seniors, but I honestly don't remember seeing a player strike out 0 times the entire season before. I'm sure it's happened, but I cannot remember it.

 

94% contact rate is other worldly. 1 miss every 20 swings.

But how selective is he? Half of the top 10 in contact rate are average or below this season. They tend to put a lot of 'pitchers pitches' in play. This was my immediate concern with Vitters when we took him. The reports definitely painted a picture of a guy who could hit anything but would often times be better off waiting for his pitch.

If I remember correctly Vitters numbers out of high school were not that impressive. I think he had mono his senior year and people thought that could have been a reason.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

[craig]

Thanks, Cal! That's really cool and creative. I wonder what the value of the tuition-assistance is? And what the pros-cons are of small-bonus-big-school-assistance versus having given him a larger bonus and lesser college support?

 

I shared this earlier, but U Chicago's quarter system makes the academic/baseball combo much more accessible than at a normal semester-schedule university. Cunningham could fully participate in the Fall and Winter quarters academically, with only minimal delay to the normal minor-league schedule. I love it.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

 

Very cool that the Cubs could get this done. This guy is the ultimate lottery ticket.

[SouthernmostCubFan]

 

Trying to figure out what good aptitude means in the baseball scouting world? He’s smart so that? Or he can apply what he learns quickly and consistently?