2018 Cubs ZiPS Projections

[UMFan83]

Darvish has to bump us to the best team in MLB by ZiPS, right?

 

I'm pretty sure it actually bumped the Brewers up to the best team in MLB. That's how these things work.

 

The Brewers are the best team by default for continuing to trick Theo into acquiring valuable players

[David]

Forgot about Davenport Projections...

 

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

 

NL Cent Won Lost Runs Runs A

CHC 95 67 804 673

MIL 87 75 812 749

STL 86 76 754 711

PIT 75 87 691 752

CIN 73 89 729 815

 

 

 

moved it to keep it from getting lost at the bottom of the page

[David]

win total bets are out and the cubs are set at 94.5 (by whoever they're citing on this site)

 

https://www.oddsshark.com/mlb/mlb-season-win-totals

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

win total bets are out and the cubs are set at 94.5 (by whoever they're citing on this site)

 

https://www.oddsshark.com/mlb/mlb-season-win-totals

Give me the under on the Yanks and Brewers, pronto.

[We Got The Whole 9]

Forgot about Davenport Projections...

 

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

 

NL Cent Won Lost Runs Runs A

CHC 95 67 804 673

MIL 87 75 812 749

STL 86 76 754 711

PIT 75 87 691 752

CIN 73 89 729 815

 

 

 

moved it to keep it from getting lost at the bottom of the page

It's gonna be real stressful, fighting for HFA

[squally1313]

Forgot about Davenport Projections...

 

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

 

NL Cent Won Lost Runs Runs A

CHC 95 67 804 673

MIL 87 75 812 749

STL 86 76 754 711

PIT 75 87 691 752

CIN 73 89 729 815

 

 

 

moved it to keep it from getting lost at the bottom of the page

It's gonna be real stressful, fighting for HFA

 

While I respect the 8 game cushion, L-O-horsefeathering-L at the Brewers outscoring our offense this year.

[Bluescale]

Forgot about Davenport Projections...

 

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

 

NL Cent Won Lost Runs Runs A

CHC 95 67 804 673

MIL 87 75 812 749

STL 86 76 754 711

PIT 75 87 691 752

CIN 73 89 729 815

 

I'll go on record and say that if our run differential is only +131, things did not go as expected.

[CubinNY]

Forgot about Davenport Projections...

 

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

 

NL Cent Won Lost Runs Runs A

CHC 95 67 804 673

MIL 87 75 812 749

STL 86 76 754 711

PIT 75 87 691 752

CIN 73 89 729 815

 

 

 

moved it to keep it from getting lost at the bottom of the page

if the Brewers win 87 games, I’ll eat my hat.

[CubinNY]

win total bets are out and the cubs are set at 94.5 (by whoever they're citing on this site)

 

https://www.oddsshark.com/mlb/mlb-season-win-totals

Give me the under on the Yanks and Brewers, pronto.

I think the Yankees is a tough one, but I’d wager a lot on the under for the Brewers and a lot on the over for the Giants. I don’t think the Dodgers will win 104 either, but the Brewers are a lock.

[Cubswin11]

My bookie/site doesn’t have O/U yet but based on what I see I like Brewers (gonna wait on them until they add a SP because it will probably get bet up), Angels, Dodgers, Rockies, Orioles, Rangers, Jays, and Cardinals (one of them or Brewers is going under and a decent chance for both) unders then like Reds, Giants, and Nats overs.

 

Also I doubt this bet is out there but if I could get like +300 odds I’d bet on the Reds finishing above at least one of the Brewers or Cardinals

[Bertz]

My bookie/site doesn’t have O/U yet but based on what I see I like Brewers (gonna wait on them until they add a SP because it will probably get bet up), Angels, Dodgers, Rockies, Orioles, Rangers, Jays, and Cardinals (one of them or Brewers is going under and a decent chance for both) unders then like Reds, Giants, and Nats overs.

 

Also I doubt this bet is out there but if I could get like +300 odds I’d bet on the Reds finishing above at least one of the Brewers or Cardinals

 

Yeah, the Reds finishing 3rd in the division is one of my hot takes/bold predictions for this year. In June when Senzel is up they will have a playoff caliber group of position players, and I think their pitching staff is still well below average but will no longer be the tire fire it has been recently.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

I'm on board with the Reds making improvements, but I wouldn't quite go that far. Losing Cozart's 5 wins on top of having several position player regression candidates(Gennett, Duvall, Barnhart, Suarez), plus the lack of another team in the division truly tanking(even the Pirates are rebuilding on the fly) means they're still pretty squarely 5th in the division for me.

[Post Count Padder]

How does Roster Resource calculate their projections? Because it looks like we're gonna win 100 games easily if everybody hits like they predict:

 

https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-chicago-cubs/

[imb]

How does Roster Resource calculate their projections? Because it looks like we're gonna win 100 games easily if everybody hits like they predict:

 

https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-chicago-cubs/

 

i call them and im like hey here's whats gonna happen mark it down

[UMFan83]

Random but TT's post about Zips projections for Kuechel made me look this up, but the Cubs rotation's comps per zips:

 

Andy Pettite

Greg Maddux

Tom Glavine

Tim Hudson

Paul Foytack (one of these things is not like the other)

[Aaron_Kennelly]

Random but TT's post about Zips projections for Kuechel made me look this up, but the Cubs rotation's comps per zips:

 

Andy Pettite

Greg Maddux

Tom Glavine

Tim Hudson

Paul Foytack (one of these things is not like the other)

 

Unlike the others, Paul Foytack was incredibly undervalued because of the environment he pitched in and because of his ability to induce weak contact?