8/26 Cubs (Hendricks) @ Giants (Peavy), 9:15, CSN

[SouthSideRyan]

Jake Peavy is an old hillbilly who is friends with the owner of KAMs. He also sucks again. Kyle Hendricks went to Dartmouth.

 

SSR-O-Meter stands at 74 and dropping.

[Guest]

we are good

[Guest]

ride the ssr wave

[UMFan83]

Fangraphs playoff odds at 97.7% this morning

[Banedon]

Cubs WC magic number: 31

[Sammy Sofa]

http://i.giphy.com/yOuUaZCdlDtxm.gif

[Banedon]

Cubs WC magic number: 31

 

Correction, this is the magic number vs SF. it's 34 vs LA.

[UMFan83]

Well wouldn't that still make their WC magic number 31? One of them has to win the division.

[Guest]

Fangraphs playoff odds at 97.7% this morning

 

Officially have a better chance of catching the Cardinals than falling out of the playoffs.

[Sammys Boombox]

So, there is potential for an interesting scenario. Let's say after play on 9/27 or 9/28 the Cubs magic number over both the Giants and Dodgers is 2 and/or 1. Since the Giants and Dodgers have a 4-game set against against each other, at least one of them will lose at least 2 games. So it's mathematically impossible to not win a playoff spot in that scenario. When do you celebrate clinching a playoff spot?

[Banedon]

Well wouldn't that still make their WC magic number 31? One of them has to win the division.

 

Yeah, that's true.

[itisallpartoftheplan]

Just win.

[weis21]

All hail SSR

[Guest]

So, there is potential for an interesting scenario. Let's say after play on 9/27 or 9/28 the Cubs magic number over both the Giants and Dodgers is 2 and/or 1. Since the Giants and Dodgers have a 4-game set against against each other, at least one of them will lose at least 2 games. So it's mathematically impossible to not win a playoff spot in that scenario. When do you celebrate clinching a playoff spot?

 

why would their magic number still exist that late in the season

 

stop worrying about those teams

[Andy]

So, there is potential for an interesting scenario. Let's say after play on 9/27 or 9/28 the Cubs magic number over both the Giants and Dodgers is 2 and/or 1. Since the Giants and Dodgers have a 4-game set against against each other, at least one of them will lose at least 2 games. So it's mathematically impossible to not win a playoff spot in that scenario. When do you celebrate clinching a playoff spot?

Eh, I'd rather just keep bludgeoning everybody and have it locked up by then. :wink:

 

If that does come to pass, I'd say you celebrate when the magic number flips to 0.

[Sammys Boombox]

Oh come on. Ok. Let's say the magic number to clinch the division over both the Cardinals and Pirates is 2 because they play each other during that same time. It's a hypothetical.

[Liam Neeson]

I wish I could create gifs. One with Bane (Schwarber's face) breaking Batman's (Peavy's face) back would be great because that's what Schwarber is going to do after Peavy throws at him.

[woodchip2153]

I believe, all the Cubs have to do is win 29 games the rest of the year and we'll make the playoffs no matter what everyone else does.

[UMFan83]

If the Cubs go 19-19 the rest of the way, the Giants would have to go 27-10 to pass the Cubs. Of course they would likely pass the dodgers if they did that, so the Dodgers would have to go 25-13 as well for them both to pass the Cubs.

[Sammys Boombox]

I just got off the phone with a customer named Dong. It's a sign.

[Guest]

[tweet]

[/tweet]

[fromthestretch]

I just got off the phone with a customer named Dong. It's a sign.

 

Did you ask him where your automobile is?

[Sammys Boombox]

I believe, all the Cubs have to do is win 29 games the rest of the year and we'll make the playoffs no matter what everyone else does.

 

This is correct by solving the following system of equations. You're welcome, David:

x = Cubs remaining wins

y = Giants remaining losses

z = Dodgers remaining losses

 

x+y=31

x+z=34

y+z=7 (Dodgers and Giants play each other 7 times, so they will combine for at least 7 losses).

 

x = 29

[SouthSideRyan]

Luckily the Nats have 61 losses so we don't have to complicate the equation.

[Guest]

Do we get Addy back today?