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Are you suggesting that the Cubs are good and the Rockies and Reds are bad? Those games were flips of a coin and certainly not representative of any real evaluation of talent.

 

Exactly.

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Posted

The point, as I'm sure you understood, was that after last nights win many were ready to purchase playoff tickets. Then amazingly after familiar offensive ineptitude people were stunned. The act of being confident in your teams ability to play the game of baseball well enough that you believe they will win more than they lose is in no way "mestbally".

 

I'm not stunned. It's baseball. Weird things happen.

 

Baseball Prospectus had them at a 50.6% chance to make the playoffs going into today. Does that make you feel confident?

 

I didn't suggest you were specifically, and it most certainly does not. Quite a few people have commented tonight on the offense with disbelief. Such as "unreal", "Cy Desclafani" and so on. It strikes me as odd, because although its been a small sample size this season, we certainly saw this horrific display all last year. The roster is not THAT different.

 

If you're going to get your panties in a bunch someone uses the "Cy Insert-Pitcher's-name-here," then its going to be a long season and there's no hope for you.

 

If you think that's what's happened, then you need to read and comprehend better.

Posted
Are you suggesting that the Cubs are good and the Rockies and Reds are bad? Those games were flips of a coin and certainly not representative of any real evaluation of talent.

 

Exactly.

 

I'm certainly not suggesting that only the negative of this short season is representative either. However, I see a pretty similar offense as to what we saw last year. While it's only 7 games, it doesn't seem to have changed much, and I guess I feel as though I'm not excited as everyone else seems to be.

Posted (edited)

lol first guy up in the Reds pen is not Chapman, what a dope

 

.. and heart of order coming up

Edited by Brian
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Posted
Are you suggesting that the Cubs are good and the Rockies and Reds are bad? Those games were flips of a coin and certainly not representative of any real evaluation of talent.

 

Exactly.

 

I'm certainly not suggesting that only the negative of this short season is representative either. However, I see a pretty similar offense as to what we saw last year. While it's only 7 games, it doesn't seem to have changed much, and I guess I feel as though I'm not excited as everyone else seems to be.

 

Of the 8 players who will likely get the most PAs this year, only half of them had more than 100 MLB PA for the Cubs last year, and 2 of those are Rizzo and Castro. There is no status quo.

Posted

Are you suggesting that the Cubs are good and the Rockies and Reds are bad? Those games were flips of a coin and certainly not representative of any real evaluation of talent.

 

If we take above .500 to mean good and below .500 to mean bad, then most of the major projection systems would have said yes to that before the season started. This isn't some new thing.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Can someone tell me if this DeSclafani guy is any good or did the Cubs just have some bad luck tonight?

He's probably better than he was being given credit for when we were bragging about the pitching advantage, but we definitely had some bad luck.

Posted
Are you suggesting that the Cubs are good and the Rockies and Reds are bad? Those games were flips of a coin and certainly not representative of any real evaluation of talent.

 

Exactly.

 

I'm certainly not suggesting that only the negative of this short season is representative either. However, I see a pretty similar offense as to what we saw last year. While it's only 7 games, it doesn't seem to have changed much, and I guess I feel as though I'm not excited as everyone else seems to be.

 

Cubs in 2014: No. 21 at taking pitches outside the zone

Cubs in 2015: No. 1 at taking pitches outside the zone

 

Seems a little different to me.

Posted

Are you suggesting that the Cubs are good and the Rockies and Reds are bad? Those games were flips of a coin and certainly not representative of any real evaluation of talent.

 

If we take above .500 to mean good and below .500 to mean bad, then most of the major projection systems would have said yes to that before the season started. This isn't some new thing.

 

And if you take those projections and average out the differences between is and them were taking about a handful of games. Last time I checked those projections weren't exact. This is not a new thing either.

Posted

And if you take those projections and average out the differences between is and them were taking about a handful of games. Last time I checked those projections weren't exact. This is not a new thing either.

 

OK?

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