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javi baez deep concern and probably giving hope up thread

treebird

By treebird,
in Chicago Cubs Talk

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Clem Fandango All-Star

Clem Fandango

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted (edited)

Well one can assume if he hits .240 the K's will not be at 40%. That said, I'm a big optimist on Javy turning it around but if he's unable to fix the K rate he's toast.

 

But if Javy is a perennial .240 hitter and, as a result the K's adjust to accommodate that, yeah... he'd be a valuable player. Probably something along the lines of Marlins-era Dan Uggla if I had to guess, but with fewer walks and better defense.

Edited by The Logan
Cubswin11 All-Star

Cubswin11

Old-Timey Member
Posted
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For reference. Tyler Flowers had a 36% k% this year, a .355 BABIP and hit .241. So yeah he's going to need a mid-high .300 BABIP to get to a ~.240 average unless he cuts his k% down by a decent amount.
Sammy Sofa GOAT

Sammy Sofa

Old-Timey Member
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baez went 0-4 with 2 strikeouts yesterday, and in a doubleheader today he's 1-8 with a double, walk and 5 strikeouts. :x

 

http://www.partyvibe.org/forums/attachments/research-chemicals/82757d1347926310-im-freaking-out-man-lzseb.gif

UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
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Is there any chance he's not a bust?

 

It's not looking good but we have to remember he was the youngest player in the league until September call ups and will likely be among the very youngest players on opening day.

Cubswin11 All-Star

Cubswin11

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Is there any chance he's not a bust?

 

It's not looking good but we have to remember he was the youngest player in the league until September call ups and will likely be among the very youngest players on opening day.

Yeah, but he was striking out at a pretty bad rate last year in AAA where guys like Eric Jokisch and Dallas Beeler are good pitchers and he's doing it now in a league (where I presume) most guys won't even make it to AAA next year.

Guest

Guest

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Posted
Posted
Is there any chance he's not a bust?

 

It's not looking good but we have to remember he was the youngest player in the league until September call ups and will likely be among the very youngest players on opening day.

Yeah, but he was striking out at a pretty bad rate last year in AAA where guys like Eric Jokisch and Dallas Beeler are good pitchers and he's doing it now in a league (where I presume) most guys won't even make it to AAA next year.

http://www.northsidebaseball.com/images/JavyKRate.jpg

Him Prep Ball

Him

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Is there any chance he's not a bust?

 

It's not looking good but we have to remember he was the youngest player in the league until September call ups and will likely be among the very youngest players on opening day.

Yeah, but he was striking out at a pretty bad rate last year in AAA where guys like Eric Jokisch and Dallas Beeler are good pitchers and he's doing it now in a league (where I presume) most guys won't even make it to AAA next year.

http://www.northsidebaseball.com/images/JavyKRate.jpg

 

Unlabeled axis and no description of which line is which? What a terrible graph. Come on Tim, step your game up! :D

 

As it has the least variation, I'm assuming the blue line is Javy's Cumulative K%, with it not starting until stabilization. So to the poster above me, I'd say he was never "very high" after stabilization. Just high to high. In AAA.

Hairyducked Idiot All-Star

Hairyducked Idiot

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
So to the poster above me, I'd say he was never "very high" after stabilization. Just high to high. In AAA.

 

Never "very high"? It looks 35-38% for a while there which is definitely very high.

 

But it could have been like 45%, so if you think about that as a theoretical possibility, then 30% isn't even that bad.

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