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Posted
He doesn't have to do it at 85-90% for it to be productive, especially not these days.

 

TT probably would be better at saying what that break even point is now than me, though. FWIW, It was, what, 72% in the steroid days?

I've always heard it was around two thirds, but I don't have any sources for that. Just what I've gathered along the way. I assumed the break even point to be between 60-70%, which AA blows away.

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Posted
Jesus, it's that low now? I just assumed it was still around 80%.

 

With our future lineup of slugmonsters, it'll be like 90%

 

no wasted outs ever!

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Posted
I don't think it was ever 2/3rds, at the height of the steroid era it was probably pushing 80%. In this run environment I think it's a bit above 70, say 72%? That's all from memory but I believe it's right.
Posted
I don't think it was ever 2/3rds, at the height of the steroid era it was probably pushing 80%. In this run environment I think it's a bit above 70, say 72%? That's all from memory but I believe it's right.

 

Between 70 and 75 is usually what I've seen quoted lately.

 

Of course, those are mostly based on average run scoring tables. Teams that run the majority of time in smart situations (with poor hitters due up, when they need 1 run, with runners on 1st and 2nd, etc.) can lower that break even percentage by another decent bit.

Posted
He doesn't have to do it at 85-90% for it to be productive, especially not these days.

 

TT probably would be better at saying what that break even point is now than me, though. FWIW, It was, what, 72% in the steroid days?

in 2014 a SB is worth .2 runs, and a CS is -.38 runs [source]

 

so, 69% seems the likely approximate cut-off for the average team, and probably like 50% for our vomitous offense

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