Arbitrary Endpoints: Hitting prospects

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Right now we're just about 3 months into the MiLB season, and I thought it might be interesting to see how some hitting prospects have done if you split that into halves. I'm going to use May 15th as the cutoff here. While a pronounced split isn't a foolproof indicator, if you do have guys who've gone bad->good with their two halves, it's a better sign than the opposite.

 

Baez

Pre 5/15: 114 PA, .147/.237/.265/.502, 38% K%, 9% BB%

Since 5/15: 156 PA, .287/.321/.538/.859, 31% K%, 5% BB%

 

Alcantara

Pre 5/15: 142 PA, .261/.279/.448/.727, 27% K%, 3% BB%

Since 5/15: 159 PA, .317/.386/.585/.971, 19% K%, 10% BB% (wow)

 

Bryant

Pre 5/15: 167 PA, .324/.425/.620/1.045, 28% K%, 12% BB%

Since 5/15: 154 PA, .370/.474/.835/1.309, 26% K%, 17% BB% (lol)

 

Bruno

Pre 5/15: 143 PA, .317/.413/.528/.941, 19% K%, 6% BB%, 8% HBP%

Since 5/15: 80 PA, .264/.313/.333/.646, 19% K%, 6% BB%, 1% HBP% (eek)

 

Almora

Pre 5/15: 136 PA, .258/.287/.383/.670, 11% K%, 3% BB%

Since 5/15: 144 PA, .250/.263/.278/.541, 13% K%, 2% BB% (gross)

 

Vogelbach

Pre 5/15: 144 PA, .242/.319/.320/.639, 17% K%, 10% BB%

Since 5/15: 155 PA, .299/.400/.530/.930, 18% K%, 12% BB%

 

Hannemann

Pre 5/15: 153 PA, .218/.307/.323/.630, 25% K%, 9% BB%

Since 5/15: 149 PA, .285/.349/.420/.769, 16% K%, 9% BB%

 

Remillard

Pre 5/15: 99 PA, .360/.433/.523/.956, 12% K%, 9% BB%

Since 5/15: 39 PA, .222/.282/.250/.532, 18% K%, 8% BB% (yikes)

[Sammy Sofa]

That improved Baez line is still terrifying.

[mul21]

Well, I guess that makes Alcantara, Vogelbach, Baez, and Hanneman's numbers less depressing.

 

Also, Bryant is ridiculous.

Edited June 26, 2014 by mul21

[davell]

Very encouraging for Vogelbach.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

154 PA, .370/.474/.835/1.309, 26% K%, 17% BB%

 

That is just stupid, how is that even a thing?

[Guest]

154 PA, .370/.474/.835/1.309, 26% K%, 17% BB%

 

That is just stupid, how is that even a thing?

And that's without a single, double or triple since his promotion.

[rawaction]

That improved Baez line is still terrifying.

 

Not really. That's pretty productive despite the K/BB rates. Shows his approach won't completely kill him, though obviously his numbers could be immaculate with a 5% positive change to BB and K rate.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

That improved Baez line is still terrifying.

 

Not really. That's pretty productive despite the K/BB rates. Shows his approach won't completely kill him, though obviously his numbers could be immaculate with a 5% positive change to BB and K rate.

 

Did you mean to post this in the 2012 Brett Jackson thread?

[Guest]

That improved Baez line is still terrifying.

 

Not really. That's pretty productive despite the K/BB rates. Shows his approach won't completely kill him, though obviously his numbers could be immaculate with a 5% positive change to BB and K rate.

 

Did you mean to post this in the 2012 Brett Jackson thread?

While it is ever so tempting to compare Jackson and Baez (and the comparison does serve as a cautionary tale), they are fundamentally different players. There is more reason to believe that Baez can be productive with a high strikeout rate. He obviously still needs to make adjustments to get that under control, but they are different than the ones Jackson had to make.

[Sammy Sofa]

That improved Baez line is still terrifying.

 

Not really. That's pretty productive despite the K/BB rates. Shows his approach won't completely kill him, though obviously his numbers could be immaculate with a 5% positive change to BB and K rate.

 

Yeah, it's productive in AAA. It's hardly the end of the world, but the K rate is just too brutal for me to not get at least a little worried about it. I'm not expecting him to suddenly become Gwynn or anything, but it's ugly. Hopefully it's just a bump in the road.

[craig]

.850 OPS is lots better than before. But few .850 OPS Pacific Coast league players are big-league ready. Most are bad hitters in the majors. He's going to need to improve to become effective.