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is it possible that that's actually a thing and some guys are just really bad at pitching from the stretch? is this possibly part of jaxon's problem?

 

Lincecum's career splits are almost identical. His 1st inning numbers this year(which you wouldn't expect to be identical due to not going full out, and there is an issue of him facing the top of an order every inning) are easily his worst of any inning.

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I think the larger problem with that logic is the assumption that Lincecum's bases empty/men on split will not materially change as a max effort reliever. His recent problems with that are definitely an indicator(career numbers heavily draw from his days as a star and he's not the same pitcher), but I don't think making him a closer does a ton to help with the problem by itself.
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is it possible that that's actually a thing and some guys are just really bad at pitching from the stretch? is this possibly part of jaxon's problem?

 

Lincecum's career splits are almost identical. His 1st inning numbers this year(which you wouldn't expect to be identical due to not going full out, and there is an issue of him facing the top of an order every inning) are easily his worst of any inning.

 

didn't really even know anything about his particular case, was just trying to bring up a more general discussion and have people here answer it for me

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I keep seeing the Cameron blunder referenced, but I missed the boat on that apparently. Has he been writing articles based on faulty information or something?

 

Fangraphs lets you sort on 'active players' when looking at team totals to help understand the current team's production, and Cameron used that as the main point in a quick article about why the Cubs rotation was still fine without Shark and Hammel. Problem was that table had a bug and was still including Shark and Hammel in the totals. Directionally the point he was making was still sound(the state of the Cubs rotation post-trade is underrated), but the magnitude(the Cubs without Shark/Hammel have like the 6th best rotation in MLB) was not close to being right.

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I keep seeing the Cameron blunder referenced, but I missed the boat on that apparently. Has he been writing articles based on faulty information or something?

 

Fangraphs lets you sort on 'active players' when looking at team totals to help understand the current team's production, and Cameron used that as the main point in a quick article about why the Cubs rotation was still fine without Shark and Hammel. Problem was that table had a bug and was still including Shark and Hammel in the totals. Directionally the point he was making was still sound(the state of the Cubs rotation post-trade is underrated), but the magnitude(the Cubs without Shark/Hammel have like the 6th best rotation in MLB) was not close to being right.

 

I wouldn't be shocked if it's right on bWAR (or at least much closer to right)

Posted
I keep seeing the Cameron blunder referenced, but I missed the boat on that apparently. Has he been writing articles based on faulty information or something?

 

Fangraphs lets you sort on 'active players' when looking at team totals to help understand the current team's production, and Cameron used that as the main point in a quick article about why the Cubs rotation was still fine without Shark and Hammel. Problem was that table had a bug and was still including Shark and Hammel in the totals. Directionally the point he was making was still sound(the state of the Cubs rotation post-trade is underrated), but the magnitude(the Cubs without Shark/Hammel have like the 6th best rotation in MLB) was not close to being right.

 

Ahhhhhh, gotcha. That explains a lot

Posted
Random, but the guys on the Prospectus podcast were talking about Baez K'ing 4 times in 4 games so far in his career. Apparently only one other person in history did that in as many games. They also said A-Rod only struck out 4 times in a game once in his career.
Posted
is it possible that that's actually a thing and some guys are just really bad at pitching from the stretch? is this possibly part of jaxon's problem?

 

I think I've seen a study that said this is true -- that some guys are just worse from the stretch. That obviously would make things like FIP and xFIP not work very well with them.

Posted (edited)
Not sure if anyone double checked his math this time, but Cameron has more 2015 optimism: http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/just-a-bit ... ans-082714

 

The article is optimistic enough, but the comments are everything I hate about baseball. Possibly the most meatball set of comments in article history.

Edited by bukie
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Posted (edited)

Bernstein talking about how his Cubs contact was listening when he read the Cameron piece on air, and told him that the Cubs FO been really soft/tip-toeing on just how good think they'll be next year. That they think they're going to be really good next year, but aren't making a lot of noise about it.

 

 

Also just mentioned that Soler came to the Cubs with a printed list of hitting pointers from Manny.

Edited by David
Posted
Also just mentioned that Soler came to the Cubs with a printed list of hitting pointers from Manny.

 

I don't know why but I laughed at a mental image of Soler handing out hand written reports to each player on the Cubs as if Manny had been watching the games in his spare time writing notes for everyone and was like "Hey, Jorge! Pass it on" with Soler going to each guy and saying stuff like "Ooohhh, Ryan Sweeney, Manny's got some good stuff for you!" and everyone rabidly devouring the info right in front of Bill Mueller's sad face.

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Also just mentioned that Soler came to the Cubs with a printed list of hitting pointers from Manny.

 

I don't know why but I laughed at a mental image of Soler handing out hand written reports to each player on the Cubs as if Manny had been watching the games in his spare time writing notes for everyone and was like "Hey, Jorge! Pass it on" with Soler going to each guy and saying stuff like "Ooohhh, Ryan Sweeney, Manny's got some good stuff for you!" and everyone rabidly devouring the info right in front of Bill Mueller's sad face.

 

that is funny

Posted
Also just mentioned that Soler came to the Cubs with a printed list of hitting pointers from Manny.

I really want him to be part of the big league staff next year. I have no idea how feasible that is - or if he'd be the hitting coach/bench coach/whatever - but it'd be nice.

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Also just mentioned that Soler came to the Cubs with a printed list of hitting pointers from Manny.

That's awesome.

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Posted
Guess Rubio wasn't kidding about the 1 starter for next year. Just reiterated on B&B.
Posted
Guess Rubio wasn't kidding about the 1 starter for next year. Just reiterated on B&B.

I heard that. What a bizarre thing to say.

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Guess Rubio wasn't kidding about the 1 starter for next year. Just reiterated on B&B.

I heard that. What a bizarre thing to say.

 

Hendricks would have to crash and burn spectacularly or get hurt to not at least be a back end guy next year. Don't get it at all.

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Or he's a Marlin next year...

 

I don't have Mauricio's conviction about that statement, but I get the sentiment. Arrieta, 2 external starters, Straily & Doubront win jobs in ST or some variation along those lines, it's not inconceivable even though it's unlikely.

Posted
Did anyone hear Theo on ESPN earlier today? Rogers reiterated they've got 2 offseasons to add an ace, I'm guessing Theo basically said as much. That said, with our monetary situation, I could see us add one EACH offseason.
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