04/09 Cubs (Wood) vs. Brewers (Peralta) 07:05 CT WGN

[Sammy Sofa]

I don't understand why people are so worked up over playing for one run in the 8th inning.

 

I prefer the three chances to score as opposed to two myself.

 

It's not quite that simple, since a fly ball or ground ball don't score a run in the three chances scenario.

 

I doubt that bunting there is much worse, if at all, than swinging away in terms of expectancy.

 

As pointed out, the odds of scoring after the bunt vs. before are miniscule.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

I got up from my chair.

 

I yelled, 'Oh, hell, yeah.'

 

I want this win. Give it to me. Give it to me, please.

[KaiserCesar]

Woohoo for WGN again. I'm calling a season-high offensive output.

 

I take full credit.

[Cubswin11]

Bill 'Rock' Schroeder from the Brewers broadcast team rivals Hawk Harrelson in homerism. Man is he a [expletive] blast to listen to when bad things happen to the Brewers.

He's bad, but he's not even close to Hawk bad

[Hairyducked Idiot]

As pointed out, the odds of scoring after the bunt vs. before are miniscule.

 

That's assuming the bunt is successful. You have to take into account the odds of the player failing to get the bunt down and getting himself out for nothing, vs. the defense botching the bunt and letting him on base.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

DeJesus is this year's Marlon Byrd?

 

You will take the time to apologize.

[Little Slide Rooter]

John Axford is basically the Marmol of the North. What is it with The Brewers and guys that come out of nowhere for one season as a lights out closer and then turn back into pumpkins?

[bcl412]

Win this.

[Smack]

Let's go Fujikawa!

[TruffleShuffle]

Fangraphs has the bunt adding .1% win expectancy.

 

At least they are pinch hitting for Lillibridge.

 

a successful bunt added 0.1% to the win expectancy. there were other negative possibilities - pop out, bad bunt that results in the runner being thrown out at third, strike out (and of course there's the smaller chance of a more positive outcome, like fielder's choice with runner safe at third, or a throwing error on the bunt allowing the baserunner to score.

 

i think the move is probably a net negative when you take into account the other possibilities, but i don't think it's an egregiously bad call to bunt there.

[dfnowak]

Bill 'Rock' Schroeder from the Brewers broadcast team rivals Hawk Harrelson in homerism. Man is he a [expletive] blast to listen to when bad things happen to the Brewers.

He's bad, but he's not even close to Hawk bad

There's nothing better than listening to Hawk when bad things happen to the Sox...when crickets aren't chirping

[DiamondMind]

[Old Style]

Non-fake rally? Who are these guys?

[Bryants Disco Ball]

Getting the first out to start the inning would be oh so huge.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

DeJesus is this year's Marlon Byrd?

 

You will take the time to apologize.

 

I'm sorry, David.

[Ballgame64]

Nice to see the Cubs take advantage of their opportunities late in the game tonight. Hopefully Fujikawa has an easy 9th.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

DeJesus is this year's Marlon Byrd?

 

You will take the time to apologize.

 

I'm sorry, David.

 

Classy. :good:

[SABR Gamer]

if you HAD to pick, axford or marmol?

 

Axford.

 

No, not even close. Marmol by a mile.

[SouthSideRyan]

Did that win expectancy take into account the players involved?

[Tangled Up in Plaid]

if you HAD to pick, axford or marmol?

 

Axford.

 

No, not even close. Marmol by a mile.

 

By a mile?

[Bryants Disco Ball]

I'm getting nervous.

 

Can we do this?

[Omar]

These WGN signs are really not that creative.

[KaiserCesar]

Did that win expectancy take into account the players involved?

 

I'm pretty sure its based off historical situations.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Takahishi looks good out there.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

Oh, no.

 

And so it begins. And. So. It. Begins.