NCAA Mock Tourney Selection 2013

[Andy]

Ole Miss is in (congrats OMC). I posted a final bracket to account for it. Bye Kentucky. I also flipped Miami and G'town's locations per SSR's suggestion.

 

MIDWEST (Indianapolis)

Dayton

1 Indiana vs 16 Liberty/North Carolina A&T

8 UNLV vs 9 Colorado

 

Austin

4 Syracuse vs 13 New Mexico State

5 Oklahoma State vs 12 Akron

 

Austin

6 Colorado State vs 11 Wichita State

3 Miami vs 14 Iona

 

Philadelphia

7 Illinois vs 10 Oregon

2 Georgetown vs 15 Pacific

 

WEST (Los Angeles)

San Jose

1 Gonzaga vs 16 Southern

8 NC State vs 9 Cincinnati

 

Salt Lake City

4 Kansas State vs 13 Valparaiso

5 Arizona vs 12 Belmont

 

Salt Lake City

6 VCU vs 11 Ole Miss

3 New Mexico vs 14 South Dakota State

 

Auburn Hills

7 Creighton vs 10 Oklahoma

2 Michigan St. vs 15 Florida Gulf Coast

 

EAST (Washington, DC)

Lexington

1 Duke vs 16 LIU-Brooklyn/James Madison

8 San Diego State vs 9 Minnesota

 

Philadelphia

4 Marquette vs 13 Bucknell

5 St. Louis vs 12 California/12 Tennessee

 

Kansas City

6 Butler vs 11 Boise State

3 Florida vs 14 Northwestern State

 

Dayton

7 Notre Dame vs 10 St. Mary's

2 Ohio State vs. 15 Montana

 

SOUTH (Arlington, TX)

Lexington

1 Louisville vs. 16 Western Kentucky

8 Memphis vs 9 Missouri

 

San Jose

4 Wisconsin vs 13 Davidson

5 Pittsburgh vs 12 Iowa State/12 La Salle

 

Auburn Hills

6 North Carolina vs 11 Temple

3 Michigan vs 14 Harvard

 

Kansas City

7 UCLA vs 10 Villanova

2 Kansas vs 15 Albany

Edited March 17, 2013 by Andy

[Guest]

Man, I'm going to be annoyed if Arizona is 3 seeds higher than UCLA and gets to play one state away (that isn't to say UCLA doesn't deserve being a 7 or an 8).

[rawaction]

Those are some annoying ass 8 seeds that are going to give the 1s some trouble. UNLV, Memphis and NC State are athletic teams with some length that will all probably lose but will be very tough outs.

[bukie]

I'm pretty confident we'll miss on Miami (they look likely to be a 2 at this point and might even leapfrog to a 1 - the committee chair on CBS earlier today said the 1 line wasn't decided), but what're you gonna do?

I think we're off a seed on Ohio State, who could just as well be swapped with Michigan at this point. Other than that, though, I don't see a seed Miami should jump.

[snoodmonger]

Oof, UCLA in round two is scary.

[CubInOK]

Well Creighton is beatable.

[Andy]

I'm pretty confident we'll miss on Miami (they look likely to be a 2 at this point and might even leapfrog to a 1 - the committee chair on CBS earlier today said the 1 line wasn't decided), but what're you gonna do?

I think we're off a seed on Ohio State, who could just as well be swapped with Michigan at this point. Other than that, though, I don't see a seed Miami should jump.

Can easily be done if we'd like. I agree with you.

 

ETA: That also creates a heck of an interesting storyline in Michigan/Harvard. And while the committee never says they go after storylines, we've seen lots of evidence that they like to.

[SouthSideRyan]

I'm pretty confident we'll miss on Miami (they look likely to be a 2 at this point and might even leapfrog to a 1 - the committee chair on CBS earlier today said the 1 line wasn't decided), but what're you gonna do?

I think we're off a seed on Ohio State, who could just as well be swapped with Michigan at this point. Other than that, though, I don't see a seed Miami should jump.

Can easily be done if we'd like. I agree with you.

 

I'm a little afraid of recency bias, but I'm inclined to agree as well. OSU did nothing in noncon, but they did much better in Big Ten play (beat Indiana on the road, beat Wisky beat MSU twice, didn't lose to a terrible team like PSU)

[SouthSideRyan]

I'm pretty confident we'll miss on Miami (they look likely to be a 2 at this point and might even leapfrog to a 1 - the committee chair on CBS earlier today said the 1 line wasn't decided), but what're you gonna do?

I think we're off a seed on Ohio State, who could just as well be swapped with Michigan at this point. Other than that, though, I don't see a seed Miami should jump.

Can easily be done if we'd like. I agree with you.

 

ETA: That also creates a heck of an interesting storyline in Michigan/Harvard. And while the committee never says they go after storylines, we've seen lots of evidence that they like to.

 

This is proof that you don't have to go after storylines for them to pop up.

[JockJones]

Oof, UCLA in round two is scary.

I'm interested to see how they will do with Jordan Adams out.

[Guest]

Oof, UCLA in round two is scary.

 

UCLA was going to win one and then be eliminated when Jordan Adams was healthy. Now I doubt they'll win even one game now.

[JockJones]

Oof, UCLA in round two is scary.

 

UCLA was going to win one and then be eliminated when Jordan Adams was healthy. Now I doubt they'll win even one game now.

I've seen some projections with UCLA playing Wichita St in a possible 6/11 or 7/10 matchup. As a shockers fan, I would like that.

[mul21]

Duke knocked back to the 2 line. That should guarantee IU a 1.

[Andy]

Duke knocked back to the 2 line. That should guarantee IU a 1.

Yeah. Either KU or Miami got the other one (I would put KU there but I have a feeling it's Miami).

[bukie]

Duke knocked back to the 2 line. That should guarantee IU a 1.

Yeah. Either KU or Miami got the other one (I would put KU there but I have a feeling it's Miami).

Miami has some awful losses this year. More than any others among the top 16 (and KU has one as well, but Miami has multiple).

[Andy]

Duke knocked back to the 2 line. That should guarantee IU a 1.

Yeah. Either KU or Miami got the other one (I would put KU there but I have a feeling it's Miami).

Miami has some awful losses this year. More than any others among the top 16 (and KU has one as well, but Miami has multiple).

I agree, but the committee seems to always fall in love with the top ACC teams (Duke in 2010 and '11 for instance)

[UMFan83]

I'm stunned about Oregon still. Honestly I thought they might have been edging close to the bubble before the Pac 12 tourney, but a 12 seed is insane. They played their way into the field this weekend.

[bukie]

Have we out and out missed anybody yet?

[Andy]

Have we out and out missed anybody yet?

I don't think we've been off by more than 2 seeds on anyone we put in. Middle Tenn is our only miss.

[bukie]

Have we out and out missed anybody yet?

I don't think we've been off by more than 2 seeds on anyone we put in. Middle Tenn is our only miss.

How are they a miss? They were in the last S-Curve from today.

[Andy]

Have we out and out missed anybody yet?

I don't think we've been off by more than 2 seeds on anyone we put in. Middle Tenn is our only miss.

How are they a miss? They were in the last S-Curve from today.

Oh, I had Tennessee on my bracket where I meant Mid Tenn. Then we haven't missed anyone. And I doubt we will.

[bukie]

Boise State, La Salle, and Iowa State in, looking good.

[bukie]

Yep, 65 of 65, and we were also probably right that Mississippi was out if they lost today.

[Andy]

We nailed all 68, and except for that ridiculous Pitt 8 seed, we were within 2 on all of them I believe. This is an awesome bracket.

[OleMissCub]

Yep, 65 of 65, and we were also probably right that Mississippi was out if they lost today.

 

Not so fast!