NCAA Mock Tourney Selection 2013

[bukie]

It's that time of year again. Time for the 10th (holy *!) annual mock tournament selection committee, during which we'll do a mock version of the tournament selection process. Anyone is free to participate if they are able, but please make sure you'll be able to participate regularly between Wednesday and Sunday of selection week (during the actual selection process), or at the very least be able to submit 1-3 lists of teams per day during that period. The actual committee consists of 10 members, so if we can get close to that number, the process will more closely resemble reality (rather than the combined feelings of a couple folks).

 

To participate, by midnight (CST) Tuesday, March 12, send (PM) me 4 things:

1) Your favorite team (the team you'll "represent"). During the selection process, you will not be allowed to include this team in any lists, to maintain as much of a sense of fairness as possible. This mirrors the real committee, as a committee member may not be involved in any discussion for a team in his conference (we'd do that here, but 95% of the populace is Big Ten, so nobody would ever be able to discuss them)

2) A list of cold, hard locks for the tournament, no further discussion needed, no matter what they do in the remainder of their games. This can be any number of teams up to a max of 37 (there are 37 at-large bids this year, no more than that can be locks, right?)

3) A list of teams that deserve consideration for the tournament, besides the locks.

4) A list of your top 16 teams, in order (not including the team you represent, obv)

 

Some good resources:

Pomeroy ratings

Sagarin ratings

RPI

Basketball State (costs money after a few page views, but tons of info)

Basketball Prospectus

Team Rankings (occasionally a bit full of their numbers, but they do have a lot of numbers)

 

Current S-Curve (16):

1. Indiana

2. Duke

3. Louisville

4. Gonzaga (WCC)

5. Kansas

6. Michigan State

7. Michigan

8. Georgetown

...

61. Big Sky (Weber State)

62. America East (Vermont)

63. James Madison (CAA)

64. Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)

65. MEAC (NC Central)

66. LIU Brooklyn (NEC)

67. SWAC (Southern)

68. Liberty (Big South)

 

Next 12 vote:

Arizona

Florida

Kansas State

Marquette

Miami

New Mexico

Ohio State

Oklahoma State

Pittsburgh

St. Louis

Syracuse

Wisconsin

 

Other auto bids/potential one-bid leagues (13):

Florida Gulf Coast (A-Sun)

Big West (Pacific)

Valparaiso (Horizon)

Harvard (Ivy)

Iona (MAAC)

MAC (Akron)

Creighton (MVC)

Belmont (OVC)

Bucknell (Patriot)

Southland (SF Austin)

Davidson (SoCon)

South Dakota State (Summit)

WAC (Denver)

 

At-Large locks (15):

Butler

Cincinnati

Colorado State

Illinois

Memphis

Minnesota

Missouri

North Carolina

North Carolina State

Notre Dame

Oklahoma

San Diego State

UCLA

UNLV

VCU

 

Consideration (25 teams for 3 to 12 available bids):

Air Force

Akron

Alabama

Arizona State

Arkansas

Baylor

Boise State

California

Colorado

Denver

Iowa

Iowa State

Kentucky

La Salle

Maryland

Middle Tennessee

Mississippi

Oregon

St. Mary's

Stanford

Temple

Tennessee

Villanova

Virginia

Wichita State

 

NEXT STEP:

1) Rank the "Next 12 vote" teams in order.

2) Rank the lowest 8 among locks and auto bids (probably mostly one bid leagues)

3) Rank the next 12 best teams from among the teams left in the locks, auto bids, or consideration

4) Rank the remaining 25 teams in the consideration pool

5) Start the bracketing process, including regions and pods for the top 8 and bottom 8. Keep the bracketing rules in mind. This can be done just with thread discussion today.

Edited March 14, 2013 by bukie

[bukie]

As usual, I'm repping Illinois (who has a far better resume than many think this year).

[pitchcs]

Woaahh...do we get paid to participate?

[SouthSideRyan]

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

 

*Illinois

[Andy]

As usual, I'm repping Illinois (who has a far better resume than many think this year).

According to whom? Glockner has them as a 5 right now.

 

I'll be in this too, representing ND natch.

[Formerly Snayke]

As usual, I'm repping Illinois (who has a far better resume than many think this year).

According to whom? Glockner has them as a 5 right now.

 

I'll be in this too, representing ND natch.

 

They have wins over Butler, Gonzaga, Indiana, Minnesota and Ohio State.

 

Their duds against Northwestern and Purdue notwithstanding, it's a solid resume.

[UMFan83]

I'm in. I rep DePaul

 

 

 

 

....ok and Michigan

[Guest]

In for Mizzou

[Andy]

As usual, I'm repping Illinois (who has a far better resume than many think this year).

According to whom? Glockner has them as a 5 right now.

 

I'll be in this too, representing ND natch.

 

They have wins over Butler, Gonzaga, Indiana, Minnesota and Ohio State.

 

Their duds against Northwestern and Purdue notwithstanding, it's a solid resume.

I agree. But a .500 team in league play is going to have a top 6 seed in the dance. Regardless of the strength of the league, I think that's more than fair. UConn was, I believe, a 5 seed when they were .500 in the 2011 Big East and they needed to win the conference tournament to get it.

[CubInOK]

In. Reppin da O to da U.

[bukie]

Woaahh...do we get paid to participate?

Just me, it's volunteer work for everyone else...

[UK1679666180]

I'm in, I'll be UK.

[bukie]

We're a Pac-12 rep away from having full major conference representation here....

 

 

....rather, we're a MWC rep away from having full major conference representation here.

[CubInOK]

We're a Pac-12 rep away from having full major conference representation here....

 

 

....rather, we're a MWC rep away from having full major conference representation here.

The A10 has a better RPI than the SEC this season too.

[UK1679666180]

We're a Pac-12 rep away from having full major conference representation here....

 

 

....rather, we're a MWC rep away from having full major conference representation here.

The A10 has a better RPI than the SEC this season too.

 

Scary but true, there's such a huge drop-off from Florida to everyone else while Butler, SLU, and VCU are all likely better than Missouri (SEC's 2nd best team).

 

If Boise St. has a good run here they'll be the 5th team from the Mountain West, more than the SEC and likely same amount as the Pac-12.

[Formerly Snayke]

Missouri already beat VCU, but I won't argue that SLU and Butler are probably better.

[Guest]

We're a Pac-12 rep away from having full major conference representation here....

 

 

....rather, we're a MWC rep away from having full major conference representation here.

 

I'm in then.

 

UCLA.

[bukie]

Peer pressure, America's greatest motivator. :)

[Vanilla Ice]

in as unc

[shnsajax]

I'll take Texas,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

....and my work here is done.

[bukie]

I'll take Texas,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

....and my work here is done.

You're allowed to discuss the quality of all teams besides Texas, which just means you can't bring up Texas in at-large discussions.

 

...which means that Texas is done in at-large discussions.

[bukie]

Random assortment of top 16 teams...rank em! Note, the top seeds will likely come out of this group unless crazy sets in somewhere.

 

Tm  1-25  26-50  51-100  101-200 201+  R/N   Top W      Top L
A   4-2   3-1    6-1     9-0     2-0   10-4  G,K        H,O
B   4-2   2-1    3-2     6-0     7-0   9-5   P
C   3-3   4-0    5-0     4-1     6-0   8-3   G,N        E,M
D   3-0   3-1    6-1     7-0     8-0   14-1  L
E   6-2   2-1    3-1     6-0     7-0   8-3   C,I,J,J,K  P
F   2-2   9-1    4-0     3-0     6-1   10-3  K,L        J,L
G   3-3   3-1    4-1     10-0    3-0   10-4  M          A,C,N
H   3-1   3-0    6-1     9-2     2-0   10-4  A,J,O
I   3-4   5-0    2-0     7-1     5-0   7-5   K,M        E,J,K,P
J   5-5   2-1    3-0     8-0     3-0   7-5   F,I,K,P    E,E,H,K
K   4-6   1-1    2-0     9-0     5-0   6-5   J,P        A,E,F,I,J,P
L   1-2   5-3    2-0     4-1     9-0   8-4   F          D,F
M   2-4   2-2    5-0     5-1     8-0   7-4   C,N        G,I
N   1-3   3-1    7-2     6-0     5-0   6-5   G          C,M
O   2-1   2-1    4-2     6-3     6-1   3-7   A,P        H
P   4-7   3-1    2-0     5-0     6-0   5-6   E,I,K      B,J,K,O

[Guest]

Random assortment of top 16 teams...rank em! Note, the top seeds will likely come out of this group unless crazy sets in somewhere.

 

Tm  1-25  26-50  51-100  101-200 201+  R/N   Top W      Top L
A   4-2   3-1    6-1     9-0     2-0   10-4  G,K        H,O
B   4-2   2-1    3-2     6-0     7-0   9-5   P
C   3-3   4-0    5-0     4-1     6-0   8-3   G,N        E,M
D   3-0   3-1    6-1     7-0     8-0   14-1  L
E   6-2   2-1    3-1     6-0     7-0   8-3   C,I,J,J,K  P
F   2-2   9-1    4-0     3-0     6-1   10-3  K,L        J,L
G   3-3   3-1    4-1     10-0    3-0   10-4  M          A,C,N
H   3-1   3-0    6-1     9-2     2-0   10-4  A,J,O
I   3-4   5-0    2-0     7-1     5-0   7-5   K,M        E,J,K,P
J   5-5   2-1    3-0     8-0     3-0   7-5   F,I,K,P    E,E,H,K
K   4-6   1-1    2-0     9-0     5-0   6-5   J,P        A,E,F,I,J,P
L   1-2   5-3    2-0     4-1     9-0   8-4   F          D,F
M   2-4   2-2    5-0     5-1     8-0   7-4   C,N        G,I
N   1-3   3-1    7-2     6-0     5-0   6-5   G          C,M
O   2-1   2-1    4-2     6-3     6-1   3-7   A,P        H
P   4-7   3-1    2-0     5-0     6-0   5-6   E,I,K      B,J,K,O

E has such an...interesting resume.

[SouthSideRyan]

This is really difficult. I eliminated B, H, and O and really like A, D, E, and J

[Andy]

E, F and C are my favorites.