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2013 Rule 5 talk

Little Slide Rooter
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Little Slide Rooter MVP

Little Slide Rooter

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Of our guys, who's can we expect to lose? Here's the guys I could see plucked and possible kept on a teams big league roster.

 

Really don't want to lose:

 

-Marcalo Carerno

-Starlin Peralta

-Jose Rosario

 

I could see 1-3 of them taken by a team and stuck in the back/middle of the pen for a season.

 

Prefer not to lose:

 

-Jeff Antigua. Nice K rates. Still not sure why he was dropped from Tenn. to Peoria. Could also see him taken and stashed

 

-Nick Struck. To a team looking for back end starters, he's be a pretty safe pick. I figure that if he was left unprotected in favor of Coleman, Rusin, and Raley, there's a reason.

 

Dae-Eun Rhee-not the safe bet that Struck is, but certainly has a higher ceiling. I believe he was unprotected last year, and was unpicked coming off a much better season.

 

A few more guys I could see picked and stashed, but I wouldn't care either way. The type of players I'm sure that there's no shortage of in the Rule 5 as well as most farm systems.

 

Michael Burgess (spare LH power)

Greg Rohan (super sub)

Marcus Hatley, Frank Batista, and Ty'Relle Harris-Big league ready-ish RH middle relievers

Casey Weathers-if someone thinks that they can harness his stuff and train him to keep it within the vicinity of the strike zone from time to time.

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toonsterwu ACL Cubs

toonsterwu

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I'll be honest, I haven't seen any names that really intrigue me. Gotta wait to see a bigger, more complete list, though. There's got to be some mildly intriguing guys. Wwith such a high Rule 5 pick, you'd imagine that they would clear some space to grab a guy. But ... it's hard to imagine a guy like a Marc Krauss sticking a full year as a backup corner slugger. He's the type that needs AB's to remain consistent. If we didn't have so many lefties on the 40 already, I'd be intrigued with Lobstein, but hard to see where he fits. Josh Fields does catch some attention, and I'm sure the FO is probably looking hard at the available guys in the Red Sox/Padres organizations (that said, seeing preliminary lists for both teams, didn't seem to be anyone that enticing).

 

______

 

As for our available guys -

 

The guy I'm most concerned with and really don't want to lose would be Starling Peralta. I could really see a team Lendy Castillo'ing him.

 

I'd like Rosario back, but he still profiles more for the pen and I'm just not as concerned, as it's hard to buy a team picking him coming off injury.

 

Struck would be a nice guy to have back, but if we lose him, okay.

 

The other guys available, sure, it'd be nice to have them back, but if we lose them, eh. Carreno is basically a a less developed version of Struck (and his secondaries aren't as good).

 

I think it wouldn't surprise me if none of our guys were picked, but it also wouldn't surprise me if we lost multiple guys. Guys like Hatley/Jay Jackson could be middle relief options, and Rosscup/Burke types could fill LOOGY roles, the types of guys that often get picked in Rule 5 these days.

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10 players who could hear their name called in the Rule 5 Draft:

 

Baseball America[/url]"]Jesus Aguilar, 1b, Indians: A 2012 Futures Gamer and the Indians' No. 9 prospect, the 257-pounder finished the year in Double-A and has big raw power. He's limited to first defensively and dropped from 23 home runs in 2011 to 15 in 2012.

 

Ryan Chaffee, rhp, Angels: The Angels left Chaffee unprotected last year, but he's more likely to be taken this year, as his stuff took a leap. His fastball now sits in the 94-96 mph range with good life and he throws a slider that shows flashes of being a plus pitch.

 

Josh Fields, rhp, Red Sox: Fields, 27, has battled control throughout his career, but in 2012 he improved his delivery, regained his velocity (up to 97 mph) and sharpened his power curveball. His Triple-A experience and newfound success (78-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 2012) make him a likely selection.

 

Randy Henry, rhp, Rangers: Henry dominated in 2012 when pitching out of the bullpen (0.98 ERA at high Class A Myrtle Beach). He faltered in a mid-season move to the rotation. With a 91-93 mph fastball with cutting action and an average slider and changeup, he could fit in a big league bullpen.

 

Jon Keck, lhp, Royals: Keck started pitching as a college junior. He has a big arm (91-96 mph fastball) but his secondary stuff is still raw and he struggles to throw strikes.

 

Marc Krauss, of/1B, Astros: Krauss has a solid lefthanded bat with the ability to hit for average and power. Overall in 2012, the 2009 second-round pick hit .271/.397/.491 with 31 doubles and 20 home runs. He's a poor but versatile defender at the corner spots.

 

Braulio Lara, lhp, Rays: From a pure scouting standpoint, Lara has the biggest upside on this list. He has a lean, athletic build and an easy delivery producing a mid-90s fastball with good life. He also has a hard, downer curveball in the upper 70s but went just 6-10, 5.71 in high Class A in 2012.

 

Chris McGuiness, 1b, Rangers: The 2012 Arizona Fall League MVP, McGuiness has shown consistent on-base skills to go with good power. With a full season in Double-A under his belt to go with his AFL, McGuiness is one of the more polished bats available.

 

Juan Sosa, rhp, Phillies: He's yet to pitch above Class A but Sosa has some of the best stuff among Rule 5 eligibles with a 92-96 mph fastball and a curve that flashes plus.

 

Coty Woods, rhp, Rockies: Woods throws from a low, sidearm slot that gives a little extra deception and life to his 89-92 mph fastball. He has a big-breaking, upper 70s slider and a decent changeup. Woods pitched well in the AFL (3.18 ERA in 11 IP).

 

No Cubs were mentioned on this list.

sneakypower South Bend Cubs

sneakypower

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Josh Fields, rhp, Red Sox: Fields, 27, has battled control throughout his career, but in 2012 he improved his delivery, regained his velocity (up to 97 mph) and sharpened his power curveball. His Triple-A experience and newfound success (78-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 2012) make him a likely selection.

yes please

toonsterwu ACL Cubs

toonsterwu

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With Russell getting more expensive, and with Beliveau/Rusin/Raley being unknowns as effective lefty pen arms (if they are in the pen), I think I'm hoping for Lara there and seeing if a move full-time to the pen would help, particularly with his command. Adding a power lefty pen arm to the mix would be nice.
mul21 Myrtle Beach Pelicans

mul21

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With Russell getting more expensive, and with Beliveau/Rusin/Raley being unknowns as effective lefty pen arms (if they are in the pen), I think I'm hoping for Lara there and seeing if a move full-time to the pen would help, particularly with his command. Adding a power lefty pen arm to the mix would be nice.

 

I was thinking the exact same thing about Keck, although the control issues make him a bit more of a wild card.

Little Slide Rooter MVP

Little Slide Rooter

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Jonathan Mayo's 20 Rule 5 names to know: http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2012/#list=rule5

 

Either Josh Fields or Ryan Chaffee seem like they could be nice additions to our pen, but Carlos Perez might be the most enticing, assuming that we're willing to hide a very raw 21 year old at the end of the pen all season.

 

And what does it say about our upper level pitching prospects when our Minor League Pither of the Year is available for nothing more than a roster spot, and he's not mentioned in any of the Rule 5 write ups so far? Still, with most of these guys being either quasi-big league ready relievers or lottery tickets, someone searching for back end starting pitching could very likely take him, although there might be several other un-notable Nick Strucks available for all I know.

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What pick(s) do we have?

 

Really would like to get Fields, but Perez, Chaffee, Lara, Pressly, and Woods are all intriguing on different levels.

 

#2

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Not sure. Considering each team only has a handful of prospects to worry about, and there's like 10 days between the roster deadline and the draft itself, it's probably not a concern.
Little Slide Rooter MVP

Little Slide Rooter

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What pick(s) do we have?

 

Really would like to get Fields, but Perez, Chaffee, Lara, Pressly, and Woods are all intriguing on different levels.

 

#2

 

I'm strangely over excited about the Rule 5, not just to see what we get, but which if any of our guys are taken.

 

Looking over the list and how it corresponds with our needs, I'll be surprised if we don't take Chaffee or Fields. Chaffee seems the most likely due to age, but if the Astros take one, we'll take the other. 24 year old Reds SP Tim Crabbe looks interesting, but a stater's a lot harder to hide than a reliever.

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