Stewart's Crappy Luck

[El Duderino]

BABIP .227

K% 22%

BB% 10.2%

HR/FB%: 15.7

GB/FB%: 56.6% (vs. 39.9% career)

LD%: 15.6%

 

The line drive percentage has cooled off significantly, but he should still be getting better results from this. The sharp increase in ground balls isn't ideal, but it should be netting him a lot more singles and BABIP.

 

Yeah, he's been grounding out to 2B lately at Juan Pierre levels.

[DiamondMind]

Colvin's destroying lately.

[Sammy Sofa]

Colvin's destroying lately.

 

FYI, "lately" = 3 games and 11 PA.

 

The last 2 weeks:

 

.188 .188 .563 .750

 

The last month:

 

.229 .245 .458 .703

[Clem Fandango]

WHAT'S YOUR POINT!?!?!?

[Sammy Sofa]

WHAT'S YOUR POINT!?!?!?

 

A TERRIBLE MISTAKE WAS MADE TRADING THE 0.0 WAR PLAYER FOR THE -0.1 ONE!!!!!

[DiamondMind]

what month did he have a 703 ops?

[Sammy Sofa]

what month did he have a 703 ops?

 

Over the last 4 weeks going in to today's game; I always just call 4 weeks "a month."

 

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=colvity01&year=2012&t=b#total

[Sammy Sofa]

Colvin's basically Soriano in how drastically streaky he is, and how those hot streaks just inflate his overall numbers.

[neely crenshaw]

I have to say that is hilarious coming from a guy so fired up about stewart's "hot 2 weeks" that showed he was coming around...

[MSG T]

Stewart isn't what we hoped he could be and I'd still rather have him than Colvin.

[Theo]

I think I'd have to take Colvin(though I don't think he's anything special).

[neely crenshaw]

you guys throw around these stats depending on whether you like the guy or if it helps your argument or not.

if stewart had colvin's stats right now, you would be jumping up and down saying " i told you so" but we down play his.

 

colvin's bad "may" is as good as stewart "hot" may...

 

better average, batter on base, better slugging, better ops, and more home runs, more triples and equal doubles, more total bases in fifty fewer at bats. exactly what stat matters?

 

he is the same age as stewart, but has fewer years experience so he has a chance to improve. colvins 2009 is equal to stewarts best year.

That being said we gambled trading our player who struggled last year for their player who struggled. we had dejesus, soriano, byrd in the outfield, with jackson close. AND we had no one at third, and no one close to ready- we had to get a 3b.

the problem isn't the trade, to me the problem is that last year we should have either set colvin at first or right, and let him get 500+ at bats no matter what he was hitting. By playing him once in awhile for 200 at bats was just setting him up to fail.

you have to look at it that we replaced colvin with dejesus and Lahair, not stewart.

[sneakypower]

and...Colvin plays in thin air where fastballs don't move

 

home: 1.084 ops

away: .663 ops, 1 BB to 16 K

 

you'd really have to be a special kind of dumbass to pine for this useless scrub

[Sammy Sofa]

This guy is obsessed with Stewart.

[bcl412]

People who clearly don't understand statistics making comments and sharing opinions about stats is becoming one of the most annoying things in sports.

[Hawk4Hall]

It doesn't help that Tyler Colvin is playing well for the Rockies right now either. This trade is looking to be very bad one.

 

That's like thinking the Garza trade was a mistake at the start of last season because of the hot start that Fuld got off to.

Colvin is still hitting well, and even outside Coors.

 

Steward struggled all season and is probably done for the year.

 

We are getting far enough into the season to say this wasn't a good trade. Colvin isn't the missing link, and he strikes out a ton, but he would have been a fine bench or filler guy for Soriano when he needs a day off.

[Sammy Sofa]

Colvin is still hitting well, and even outside Coors.

 

Colvin's numbers away from Coors shot up nearly .200 points in OPS in about a week's worth of playing time (again, hinged mostly off of a single game where he went 3-4 with 2 HR against Stephen Strasburg); that's an incredibly small sample size to use to start declaring that he's going to succeed regularly away from Coors.

 

Steward struggled all season and is probably done for the year.

 

We are getting far enough into the season to say this wasn't a good trade.

 

It's an irrelevant trade. The realistic best case scenario people would be hoping for would have been Stewart being serviceable and cheap at 3B for a couple of seasons or so until a better option came along.

 

Colvin isn't the missing link, and he strikes out a ton, but he would have been a fine bench or filler guy for Soriano when he needs a day off.

 

We're assuming Colvin would have put up anything resembling his Rockies numbers as a bench player for the Cubs...why, exactly?

[bukie]

Jonah Keri sums up my thoughts on Colvin nicely:

 

Tyler Colvin's .305/.335/.626 season line, buoyed by his recent run of 10 homers in 76 AB (including two in one game off Stephen Strasburg) have given Rockies fans a rare occasion to cheer in an otherwise dismal season. But there's something more afoot here. Swing-from-the-heels outfielder who can't field a lick, can't take a walk to save his life, hits a ton of home runs, likely to put up shiny numbers for as long as his Rockies bosses can brook his multiple weaknesses.

 

Ladies and gentlemen, it's Dante Bichette Jr.! OK, OK … another Dante Bichette Jr.!

[davell]

This was a throwaway deal. Neither guy was going to be around when we're good again. Hell, it's good to "lose" a trade every once in a while. Teams will continue to trade with you. So I thank you, Tyler Colvin, for putting up ridiculously unsustainable stats right now, because now the Ned Collettis of the world have no reason to truly fear Theo over the next 3 weeks.

[DiamondMind]

My point was never anything to do with Colvin in a vacuum. My point was I'd rather have Colvin, this year, than ten Ian Stewarts. It was a throwaday deal anyway, I just don't understand the vociferous support that was going around for Stewart. He gave people a reason to be hopeful in the past, but, that shits overwith now.

[jersey cubs fan]

My point was never anything to do with Colvin in a vacuum. My point was I'd rather have Colvin, this year, than ten Ian Stewarts. It was a throwaday deal anyway, I just don't understand the vociferous support that was going around for Stewart. He gave people a reason to be hopeful in the past, but, that [expletive] overwith now.

 

If you get 10 Stewarts I bet at least 3 of them would be pretty decent.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I bet if you got 10 Ian Stewarts they'd all be bad hitters with wrist problems who never should have been given starting jobs on a big-market team.

[Sammy Sofa]

DiamondMind, you'd rather have 2012 Colorado Rockies Tyler Colvin, which wouldn't be the Tyler Colvin the Cubs would have had if they had held on to him.

[DiamondMind]

DiamondMind, you'd rather have 2012 Colorado Rockies Tyler Colvin, which wouldn't be the Tyler Colvin the Cubs would have had if they had held on to him.

 

Why? 833 road ops, 861 ops against lhp...so I don't think there's an obvious Coors Field rebuttal here, or something similar.

 

I honestly don't understand. I'd rather of had Jeff Blauser than 2012 Stewart.

 

I'm not being a richard either, I really don't get it. Help me understand.

 

If you get 10 Stewarts I bet at least 3 of them would be pretty decent.

 

Disagree...all ten would be pretty bad and there'd actually be three more that cost you a game.

 

Anyway I really wonder if his wrist was hurting him (and his production) all year, and he just never said anything until it became totally unbearable cause he wasn't sure if this would be the last opportunity he'd get. This isn't very exciting but the most likely explanation to me.

[Sammy Sofa]

DiamondMind, you'd rather have 2012 Colorado Rockies Tyler Colvin, which wouldn't be the Tyler Colvin the Cubs would have had if they had held on to him.

 

Why? 833 road ops, 861 ops against lhp...so I don't think there's an obvious Coors Field rebuttal here, or something similar.

 

His road OPS was middling or worse until around the Strasburg game, so it surged pretty late as part of the ridiculously unsustainable tear he was on in June and into the very start of July. He's only had 61 PA against LH pitches this year, so it's pretty safe to chalk that up to sample size; him hitting 150 points above his career OPS against lefties clearly is not going to last. And yes, there is the Coors Field factor; Coors, besides it's usual attributes, caters nicely to his strengths (even better than Wrigley; it's often considered the best park in baseball for LH hitters), so in the off chance he has figured something out it's likely largely in part due to his new surroundings.

 

Over his last 30 PA he's put up this line:

 

.154 .241 .192 .434

 

That's a tiny sample size unto itself, but it's a good microcosm of how wildly his numbers can fluctuate.

 

I honestly don't understand. I'd rather of had Jeff Blauser than 2012 Stewart.

 

I'm not being a richard either, I really don't get it. Help me understand.

 

Tyler Colvin had zero future with the new FO: he's an overly aggressive batter who can't walk and strikes out left and right and can't play defense. Basically the choice was coming down to him or LaHair, and if one is having trouble trying to figure out why they went with LaHair they only need to look to Colvin's 2011 season. Stewart was and is an intriguing buy low reclamation project who plays good defense at a position of extreme need for the Cubs. Colvin had no future with the team; Stewart was effectively a low risk investment who would be far more valuable to the Cubs if he panned out (or pans out) until they found a long term option at 3B.