Marlins wins in 2006

[TruffleShuffle]

Any guesses? I say they don't crack 50. That team is atrocious. Not taking anything away from the Cubs, because they're supposed to beat the dregs of the NL (like the Pirates and Marlins), but jeez. When Josh Willingham is your cleanup hitter, Wes Helms is number 5, and a hitter who is average for a catcher is batting sixth, that's a bad sign. I almost passed out when I heard that Reggie Abercrombie, he of the 121/793 BB/K ratio in 657 minor league games, and proud owner of an .800 OPS last year, almost two-thirds of which was compiled in A-ball, would be starting on a semi-regular basis.

 

Not to mention that half of the pitching staff should be playing in Double-A. Traaaaaaaain wreck.

 

48-114.

[imb]

they really shouldnt win 50 games, but Hermida (when he gets off the dl), Willinghammer and Miggy will be ok and the DTrain will pitch well.

[treebird]

he was 26, but willingham had .455 obp and a .676 slg in AAA last year. it's not unreasonable that he manages to be passable.

[soccer10k]

I think they'll win 50. Failing to win 50 puts them at 113 losses at the bare minimum. I know they're bad. But I think they'll get 50. I don't see them getting 60 so I think they'll still lose 100. I'm saying 55-107.

[imb]

Willingham this year

 

.292/.356/.554

 

how is our four hitter doing again? people in glass houses yada yada

[Coach C]

I think they'll crack 50. I don't think the Marlins will be that bad, compared as the Royals have been doing.

[KaiserCesar]

Plus a lot of these kids are hitting before their holes are realized. You could easily have 4+ gaping holes in this lineup at one point during this year. Same with very few facing the pitchers before. I'm going to say 46 wins.

[TruffleShuffle]

Willingham this year

 

.292/.356/.554

 

how is our four hitter doing again? people in glass houses yada yada

 

Hey, I like Willingham a lot... but I doubt he puts up a .900 OPS for the year, when Derrek Lee couldn't even do that playing half his games in that park. Plus, it's not like Wes Helms or whatever bum is batting after him will provide much protection. Willingham is a legitimate cleanup hitter like Neifi Perez is a legitimate 2-hole hitter.

 

 

Plus, I don't even think offense is their biggest problem. Behind Willis, their rotation consists of Sergio Mitre, Brian Moehler, Jason Vargas and Scott Olsen, which, to put it mildly, is a bit short of intimidating. Their top setup men are a washed up Matt Herges, Todd Wellemeyer, and someone named Carlos Martinez, and their closer is Joe Borowski, who, as much as I love what the guy did for the Cubs, doesn't have much left in the tank. The starters suck, and the games that they do hand over to the bullpen with a lead are still in dangerous shape.

[nilodnayr]

Considering our payroll is 6 times theirs, 50 wins aint too bad. I think although the AL east is struggling, the Mets and Braves should be very good teams, the Phils decent and the Nats, not too horrible. I actually like the Marlins a lot. I think they have about an equal chance of winning 75 games as 50 games so I'll split the difference and say they end up 63-99. Ohh, and Mike Jacobs is protecting WIllingham, the same Mike Jacobs who hit 11 HRs in 100 ABs last year for the Mets (after hitting 25 in 433 ABs in AA that year). Not to mention Jason Stokes in AAA, who is better than both of them. Hermida is an OBP machine, Miggy is Miggy. Once they trade for Gathright and if they can somehow get a decent 2b, the team should be pretty good.

[UMFan83]

I don't think their team is all that bad. A lot of the trades they made were used to acquire players that were ready to hit the bigs.

 

They still have an ace and a major developed power hitter, a ROY canidate (who is on the DL right now), a strong leadoff man in Ramirez (who is fast and has a high OBP), and Willingham looks like he will be a solid major leaguer.

 

The problems are of course their bullpen, their 3-5 (who could turn out being not that bad), and the end of their lineup.

 

I'll say they will finish 62-100, with some significant improvement by the end of the year. If they make the right moves, they have a decent core and could be contending for the upper NL East again in 2 years.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

They'll get 12 and won't come within 3 runs of another.

[SouthSideRyan]

58. They're not even the worst team in baseball.

[Rob]

Willingham this year

 

.292/.356/.554

 

how is our four hitter doing again? people in glass houses yada yada

 

Hey, I like Willingham a lot... but I doubt he puts up a .900 OPS for the year, when Derrek Lee couldn't even do that playing half his games in that park.

 

Well since you're adjusting for the park, an .800 OPS out of the cleanup spot isn't bad at all. Besides, he has the potential to go a lot higher than that. He has an insane walk rate and prodigious power, all it will take is getting lucky on a few hits to put up Dunn-esque numbers.

[Productive Outs]

they'll crack 50 easily in my opinion. willis alone will have 17-18 wins

[beersoakedivy]

I feel bad for Girardi. His first year managing and he is basically given a triple A team. I say 54.

[SouthSideRyan]

they'll crack 50 easily in my opinion. willis alone will have 17-18 wins

 

Yeah I'll take the under on Dontrelle's win total. He's not Steve Carlton.

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

I figure they'll win between 58-62 games. They might even finish ahead of the Nationals.