2019 Other Games Thread

[Sammy Sofa]

horsefeathers whatever the Brewers do; just keep winning games and keep our eyes on the horsefeathering Cardinals.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

 

I assure you I will not.

 

I still think we have a realistic shot at the division and the main thing I wanted this weekend for for neither team to sweep that series. Tomorrow, I care more about the Cubs winning than the result of the other game.

 

And the bottom line is I want the Cards to miss the playoffs and the more they lose, the more likely that is.

 

I feel like if your main goal is to have the Cardinals not make the playoffs -- other then the Cubs making it - then I don't think anyone can tell you you will regret it cheering against them.

 

However, I don't think St. Louis is sweeping the Nats, but I do see the Brewers sweeping the Padres in all four games, and I see a very good scenario where the Brewers glide by us while we are tying to pass the Cardinals. I think it was better to knock the Brewers back from us by three games.*

 

Any way, I know what I'm trying to say, but I'm not really sure I'm making any sense. And I don't drink so I can't blame it on being drunk.

 

I still say screw the Cubs for not taking care of business last weekend and not even making this as much of a convo.

 

* To be fair, I clearly loathe the Brewers so of course I think it would be better.

The Padres and Brewers are pretty even teams, I think the Padres get at least one and probably split.

 

Anyways I agree with the sentiment that I didn’t want a sweep in the STL-MIL series either so that’s accomplished. Ideally we win 3 of our next 4, Cardinals beat Brewers tomorrow and get swept or lose 2 of 3 to the Nats this week and then we don’t need to care as much about the Brewers if they lose tomorrow and Padres get 1 or 2.

 

I hope you are right. You have had some pretty quality calls so far this season.

 

I'd still be stunned if the Padres won a game. Eh, not stunned. But surprised.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

horsefeathers whatever the Brewers do; just keep winning games and keep our eyes on the horsefeathering Cardinals.

 

I also think there is a way all three Central teams make it.

 

What are you seeing out of the Nats right now? Unless you don't live there anymore. Tough, tough sked except for those three against Miami.

[soccer10k]

However, I don't think St. Louis is sweeping the Nats, but I do see the Brewers sweeping the Padres in all four games, and I see a very good scenario where the Brewers glide by us while we are tying to pass the Cardinals. I think it was better to knock the Brewers back from us by three games.

 

To be fair, you think the Brewers will end the year by winning their next 14 games.

 

The problem for the Brewers is the only way they win the division is by finishing something like 12-2 because of the 7 H2H games between the Cards and Cubs. They're currently 4% on FG and 6% on 538. BP hasn't updated yet but they jumped 1.4% on FG today and doing that would put them at 3.5% on BP. So they're between 1 in 20 and 1 in 30 to win the division.

 

If they go 10-4, the Cards would have to go 6-8. Well, half of those games are against the Cubs. So unless something crazy happens like the Cards get destroyed by the Nats and DBacks but crush the Cubs, the Cubs are probably winning 4 of those games. So 5-2 against Pittsburgh and Cincy and we end up tied.

 

If they go 9-5, the Cards would have to go 5-9. Now you're looking at the Cubs probably going 5-2 against St. Louis which means 4-3 in those other games gives the Cubs the division.

 

I'm not going to say it's impossible, because they were around 1 in 20 last year at the end of August and they got super hot and tied the Cubs. They were also a much better team last year, that had Yelich, plus a healthy and producing Cain and a lights out bullpen. They don't have those things this year. So sure, if they go nuts the next two weeks, win 11 or 12 of 14 and win the division, I'll tip my cap to them. But they've got no margin for error.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

However, I don't think St. Louis is sweeping the Nats, but I do see the Brewers sweeping the Padres in all four games, and I see a very good scenario where the Brewers glide by us while we are tying to pass the Cardinals. I think it was better to knock the Brewers back from us by three games.

 

To be fair, you think the Brewers will end the year by winning their next 14 games.

 

The problem for the Brewers is the only way they win the division is by finishing something like 12-2 because of the 7 H2H games between the Cards and Cubs. They're currently 4% on FG and 6% on 538. BP hasn't updated yet but they jumped 1.4% on FG today and doing that would put them at 3.5% on BP. So they're between 1 in 20 and 1 in 30 to win the division.

 

If they go 10-4, the Cards would have to go 6-8. Well, half of those games are against the Cubs. So unless something crazy happens like the Cards get destroyed by the Nats and DBacks but crush the Cubs, the Cubs are probably winning 4 of those games. So 5-2 against Pittsburgh and Cincy and we end up tied.

 

If they go 9-5, the Cards would have to go 5-9. Now you're looking at the Cubs probably going 5-2 against St. Louis which means 4-3 in those other games gives the Cubs the division.

 

I'm not going to say it's impossible, because they were around 1 in 20 last year at the end of August and they got super hot and tied the Cubs. They were also a much better team last year, that had Yelich, plus a healthy and producing Cain and a lights out bullpen. They don't have those things this year. So sure, if they go nuts the next two weeks, win 11 or 12 of 14 and win the division, I'll tip my cap to them. But they've got no margin for error.

 

Quality breakdown and one who has a better grasp on math then me.

 

Also, your first line is so damn true. Haha.

[17 Seconds]

we all know the brewers will beat out the cubs for the last spot

[TMan92]

we all know the brewers will beat out the cubs for the last spot

 

Ha, Cubs are taking the division

 

Tomorrow’s matchup could be problematic.

[17 Seconds]

However, I don't think St. Louis is sweeping the Nats, but I do see the Brewers sweeping the Padres in all four games, and I see a very good scenario where the Brewers glide by us while we are tying to pass the Cardinals. I think it was better to knock the Brewers back from us by three games.

 

To be fair, you think the Brewers will end the year by winning their next 14 games.

 

The problem for the Brewers is the only way they win the division is by finishing something like 12-2 because of the 7 H2H games between the Cards and Cubs. They're currently 4% on FG and 6% on 538. BP hasn't updated yet but they jumped 1.4% on FG today and doing that would put them at 3.5% on BP. So they're between 1 in 20 and 1 in 30 to win the division.

 

If they go 10-4, the Cards would have to go 6-8. Well, half of those games are against the Cubs. So unless something crazy happens like the Cards get destroyed by the Nats and DBacks but crush the Cubs, the Cubs are probably winning 4 of those games. So 5-2 against Pittsburgh and Cincy and we end up tied.

 

If they go 9-5, the Cards would have to go 5-9. Now you're looking at the Cubs probably going 5-2 against St. Louis which means 4-3 in those other games gives the Cubs the division.

 

I'm not going to say it's impossible, because they were around 1 in 20 last year at the end of August and they got super hot and tied the Cubs. They were also a much better team last year, that had Yelich, plus a healthy and producing Cain and a lights out bullpen. They don't have those things this year. So sure, if they go nuts the next two weeks, win 11 or 12 of 14 and win the division, I'll tip my cap to them. But they've got no margin for error.

 

i remember all this stuff looking even more promising last year

[17 Seconds]

i remember all this stuff looking even more promising last year

 

Really? They had one catcher, no Darvish, Russell and Almora starting full time, Chatwood in the rotation, an insane schedule, Heyward was worse, Bryant was hurt...

 

we had like a 4-5 game lead on the brewers approaching the end of the season. that team sucks ass but they're probably going to find a way to get in again, because they're the brewers.

[Cubswin11]

i remember all this stuff looking even more promising last year

 

Really? They had one catcher, no Darvish, Russell and Almora starting full time, Chatwood in the rotation, an insane schedule, Heyward was worse, Bryant was hurt...

 

we had like a 4-5 game lead on the brewers approaching the end of the season. that team sucks ass but they're probably going to find a way to get in again, because they're the brewers.

“Because they’re the Brewers.” Their whole team history is full of being gutless choking dogs even last year they threw up on themselves eventually in the CS.

[soccer10k]

i remember all this stuff looking even more promising last year

 

Of course it did, we were a couple games up still at this point.

 

My post was more in reference to the chances of the Brewers winning the division. They’ve got a much better chance of making the playoffs though. Part of that is the same reason it’s unlikely they win the division. All they have to do is catch one team to make the WC so those 7 H2H games between the Cubs and Cards, plus the Cards-Nats series means 10 losses total for those three teams.

 

So while they probably have to go at least 10-3 to win the division, 8-5 might be good enough to get them a WC.

[soccer10k]

Mets lose so they’re 4 back of us and the Phillies are 4.5 back with a game in hand. So barring one of those two getting really hot (Mets do play Col, Cin, Mia and Atl so they could) the WC will come down to whichever two NLC teams don’t win the division and the Nats.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

i remember all this stuff looking even more promising last year

 

Really? They had one catcher, no Darvish, Russell and Almora starting full time, Chatwood in the rotation, an insane schedule, Heyward was worse, Bryant was hurt...

The Cubs could have been fielding the corpses of the 1899 Cleveland Spiders and the comeback the Brewers made would still have been improbable.

[itisallpartoftheplan]

Lock this post.

 

Only ninnys would pay attention to other games when the Cubs are in a 4 team battle for 3 spots.

[TMan92]

The Tommy Edman game is going on in St. Louis. Throws our Robles (not sure how) on a two out single and now homers off Scherzer

[Andy]

The Tommy Edman game is going on in St. Louis. Throws our Robles (not sure how) on a two out single and now homers off Scherzer

I can't wait for him to pull a Pete Kozma in October.

[Schwarber Fan]

Cardinals gonna Cardinal. Will probably win 1-0 with 1 hit.

[squally1313]

Come the horsefeathers on with this game.

[TMan92]

Come the horsefeathers on with this game.

 

Get a guy on, get him over and bring him in. Wish we did that more consistently.

 

More annoying is how this is the same Nationals team that was impossible to get out a few weeks ago.

[Brian]

the only surprising thing about this game is that the Cardinals haven't scored more off Scherzer.

[Schwarber Fan]

So the Cards will beat Strasburg and Scherzer. I guess we shouldn’t be too surprised. Gonna have to do this all on our own and hope the Reds can help out on the Milwaukee front.

[TMan92]

Three guys in a row with almost 1000 OPS and they were lucky to get a walk. Adam Wainwright for Cy Young

[squally1313]

Come the horsefeathers on with this game.

 

Get a guy on, get him over and bring him in. Wish we did that more consistently.

 

Cubs are third in the NL in Productive Outs. Cardinals are 11th.

 

Cubs are seventh in the NL in baserunners scored. Cardinals are ninth.

 

Cubs are tenth in the NL in scoring a baserunner from third with less than two outs. Cardinals are 14th.

 

Cubs are third in the NL in scoring a baserunner from second with no outs. Cardinals are seventh.

 

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/NL/2019-situational-batting.shtml

[TMan92]

Two singles by the Cards on 62 and 66 mph exit velos. You can't make this horsefeathers up.

[Brian]

a run!