7/26 - Diamondbacks (Godley) @ Cubs (Chatwalk) 1:20 NBCSC & MLBN

[UMFan83]

Happ has had better days at the plate.

[Derwood]

To begin with, the .381 BABIP on 50% GBs and ~5% BB rate and ~20% K rate.

 

All of which is true, and yet, he has still produced

 

Jesus christ, this again.

 

Saying that the numbers predict a drop-off and that he has outproduced his peripherals can both be true

[UMFan83]

So I was expecting to see Almora's splits be horrendous against right-handers based on the talk here. But he's hitting .311 with a .350 OBP in 221 plate appearances this season.

 

I know I'm missing something, but what is it?

To begin with, the .381 BABIP on 50% GBs and ~5% BB rate and ~20% K rate.

 

All of which is true, and yet, he has still produced

 

JFC Derwood

[Derwood]

Also, horsefeathers Archie Bradley

[TMan92]

Also, horsefeathers Archie Bradley

 

What is his problem?

[itisallpartoftheplan]

Archie he’s mad he got hit on the arm, he doesn’t think you hit him on purpose. Moron.

[squally1313]

 

All of which is true, and yet, he has still produced

 

Jesus christ, this again.

 

Saying that the numbers predict a drop-off and that he has outproduced his peripherals can both be true

 

He has a 506 OPS against righties in July.

[Derwood]

Also, horsefeathers Archie Bradley

 

What is his problem?

 

He has owned the Cubs this series

[TMan92]

Archie he’s mad he got hit on the arm, he doesn’t think you hit him on purpose. Moron.

 

My favorite moment of last year was him hitting that triple in the playoffs and giving up the two bombs the next inning.

[itisallpartoftheplan]

 

All of which is true, and yet, he has still produced

 

Jesus christ, this again.

 

Saying that the numbers predict a drop-off and that he has outproduced his peripherals can both be true

 

Not predict a drop off. They have already started to.

[Derwood]

 

Jesus christ, this again.

 

Saying that the numbers predict a drop-off and that he has outproduced his peripherals can both be true

 

He has a 506 OPS against righties in July.

 

He's been bad in general in July

[dfnowak]

Boxberger to shut things down in the 9th. No reason to watch. Go do something useful.

[squally1313]

 

Saying that the numbers predict a drop-off and that he has outproduced his peripherals can both be true

 

He has a 506 OPS against righties in July.

 

He's been bad in general in July

 

864 OPS against lefties in July

[itisallpartoftheplan]

Anybody but Duensing in the 5th and we probably win this. (Yes, not everything would’ve happened the same for the Cubs offense.)

[UMFan83]

"It's been 60 degrees the last 3 days but its February so I don't think we can expect that for much longer based on historical trends"

 

Derwood: I understand your logic, but let me present to you the fact that its been 60 degrees for the last 3 days so its possible that the weather will continue to outperform

Edited July 26, 2018 by UMFan83

[Derwood]

 

He has a 506 OPS against righties in July.

 

He's been bad in general in July

 

864 OPS against lefties in July

 

in how many PA's?

 

And why use arbitrary data sets (calendar months)?

 

Listen, I'm not arguing that Almora is great or even very good, but I'm tired of the "his good stats don't count because BABIP" refrain. I absolutely think he's going to end up with pedestrian numbers by season's end, but I don't discredit what he's done to this point

[Aaron_Kennelly]

Not sure who to blame more for this one: the guys that re-signed Duensing and haven't cut him yet or the guy dumb enough to let him pitch in a 1-run game.

[Derwood]

"It's been 60 degrees the last 3 days but its February so I don't think we can expect that for much longer based on historical trends"

 

Derwood: I understand your logic, but let me present to you the fact that its been 60 degrees for the last 3 days so its possible that the weather will continue to outperform

 

That's not what I'm saying. What I'm saying is "it's been 60 degrees for the last 3 days, and you saying that the average temperature those days is 38 doesn't change the fact that it was 60 degrees the last 3 days"

[squally1313]

 

He's been bad in general in July

 

864 OPS against lefties in July

 

in how many PA's?

 

And why use arbitrary data sets (calendar months)?

 

Listen, I'm not arguing that Almora is great or even very good, but I'm tired of the "his good stats don't count because BABIP" refrain. I absolutely think he's going to end up with pedestrian numbers by season's end, but I don't discredit what he's done to this point

 

But literally no one is doing that. None of us like, feel bad for the success he had early in the season. It was a fun added bonus compared to expectations and (most likely) skill level, because baseball has a lot of randomness and these things happen. He'll still get credit for his first half at the end of the year. But pretty much everything says he won't be that good going forward, and we've already seen it this month, and as such there is no reason to continue batting him 2nd against righties, and when everyone is healthy he really shouldn't be playing against them at all.

[BigSlick]

stop being bad

[UMFan83]

 

He's been bad in general in July

 

864 OPS against lefties in July

 

in how many PA's?

 

And why use arbitrary data sets (calendar months)?

 

Listen, I'm not arguing that Almora is great or even very good, but I'm tired of the "his good stats don't count because BABIP" refrain. I absolutely think he's going to end up with pedestrian numbers by season's end, but I don't discredit what he's done to this point

 

http://www.reactiongifs.com/r/2013/10/tim-and-eric-mind-blown.gif

 

OK fine, give him the Bryan LaHair Award For Extended Outlier Performance

[UMFan83]

"It's been 60 degrees the last 3 days but its February so I don't think we can expect that for much longer based on historical trends"

 

Derwood: I understand your logic, but let me present to you the fact that its been 60 degrees for the last 3 days so its possible that the weather will continue to outperform

 

That's not what I'm saying. What I'm saying is "it's been 60 degrees for the last 3 days, and you saying that the average temperature those days is 38 doesn't change the fact that it was 60 degrees the last 3 days"

 

Then what is your horsefeathering point? I mean I know your whole thing is to say insanely obvious things but what the horsefeathering hell?

[David]

"It's been 60 degrees the last 3 days but its February so I don't think we can expect that for much longer based on historical trends"

 

Derwood: I understand your logic, but let me present to you the fact that its been 60 degrees for the last 3 days so its possible that the weather will continue to outperform

 

That's not what I'm saying. What I'm saying is "it's been 60 degrees for the last 3 days, and you saying that the average temperature those days is 38 doesn't change the fact that it was 60 degrees the last 3 days"

 

yes we get it. you're saying more things without saying anything. your MO.

[Cubswin11]

Ichiro, is the only player in MLB history who has put up a .380 BABIP and >50% GB rate in a season. From my 3 min looking on fangraphs. But yes because Almora did it for a small sample we should keep pushing our luck.

[Derwood]

"It's been 60 degrees the last 3 days but its February so I don't think we can expect that for much longer based on historical trends"

 

Derwood: I understand your logic, but let me present to you the fact that its been 60 degrees for the last 3 days so its possible that the weather will continue to outperform

 

That's not what I'm saying. What I'm saying is "it's been 60 degrees for the last 3 days, and you saying that the average temperature those days is 38 doesn't change the fact that it was 60 degrees the last 3 days"

 

yes we get it. you're saying more things without saying anything. your MO.

 

Well now you've hurt my feelings.