Jump to content
North Side Baseball

6/8 Cubs (Lackey) @ Phillies (Velasquez) - 12:05 pm CST (CSN)

haubrich91
 Share
  • Replies 254
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

BigSlick South Bend Cubs

BigSlick

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

lol at Clayton Richard dutifully earning a run there

 

I almost feel bad for Richard because not only has he been bad, but he's had horrific luck on ground balls. I mean, he's gonna get DFA'd regardless, but his poor performance has only been compounded by bad luck.

David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
How many Cubs shutouts have been ruined in the 9th inning? Seems like more than there should be.

 

to be fair, that's because a lot of those shutouts are being won by several runs and thus are being protected by the crappiest part of our bullpen

Aaron_Kennelly South Bend Cubs

Aaron_Kennelly

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

Cubs pitchers, by total % of pitches hit at least 100 mph.

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfZ=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfAB=&stadium=&hfBBT=&hfBBL=&player_lookup%5B%5D=453562&player_lookup%5B%5D=502239&player_lookup%5B%5D=518748&player_lookup%5B%5D=434628&player_lookup%5B%5D=543294&player_lookup%5B%5D=407793&player_lookup%5B%5D=452657&player_lookup%5B%5D=453385&player_lookup%5B%5D=444468&player_lookup%5B%5D=467008&player_lookup%5B%5D=476589&player_lookup%5B%5D=475243&hfC=&season=2016&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&start_speed_gt=&start_speed_lt=&perceived_speed_gt=&perceived_speed_lt=&spin_rate_gt=&spin_rate_lt=&exit_velocity_gt=100&exit_velocity_lt=&launch_angle_gt=&launch_angle_lt=&distance_gt=&distance_lt=&batted_ball_angle_gt=&batted_ball_angle_lt=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&team=&position=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfInn=&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=pitch_percent&sort_order=desc&min_abs=0&xba_gt=&xba_lt=&px1=&px2=&pz1=&pz2=#results

 

Clayton Richard sucks. It doesn't matter too much that he gets ground balls, when they are all smoked.

ConstableRabbit Myrtle Beach Pelicans

ConstableRabbit

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
lol at Clayton Richard dutifully earning a run there

 

I almost feel bad for Richard because not only has he been bad, but he's had horrific luck on ground balls. I mean, he's gonna get DFA'd regardless, but his poor performance has only been compounded by bad luck.

I don't think that was earned.

BigSlick South Bend Cubs

BigSlick

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Cubs pitchers, by total % of pitches hit at least 100 mph.

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfZ=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfAB=&stadium=&hfBBT=&hfBBL=&player_lookup%5B%5D=453562&player_lookup%5B%5D=502239&player_lookup%5B%5D=518748&player_lookup%5B%5D=434628&player_lookup%5B%5D=543294&player_lookup%5B%5D=407793&player_lookup%5B%5D=452657&player_lookup%5B%5D=453385&player_lookup%5B%5D=444468&player_lookup%5B%5D=467008&player_lookup%5B%5D=476589&player_lookup%5B%5D=475243&hfC=&season=2016&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&start_speed_gt=&start_speed_lt=&perceived_speed_gt=&perceived_speed_lt=&spin_rate_gt=&spin_rate_lt=&exit_velocity_gt=100&exit_velocity_lt=&launch_angle_gt=&launch_angle_lt=&distance_gt=&distance_lt=&batted_ball_angle_gt=&batted_ball_angle_lt=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&team=&position=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfInn=&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=pitch_percent&sort_order=desc&min_abs=0&xba_gt=&xba_lt=&px1=&px2=&pz1=&pz2=#results

 

Clayton Richard sucks. It doesn't matter too much that he gets ground balls, when they are all smoked.

Nice! Thanks for the info.

 

This also confirms my own gut judgment of Adam Warren, that being, he's pitched pretty well and he gave up some inopportune golf balls. It happens. I like him a lot.

woodchip2153 First Round Pick

woodchip2153

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Cubs pitchers, by total % of pitches hit at least 100 mph.

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfZ=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfAB=&stadium=&hfBBT=&hfBBL=&player_lookup%5B%5D=453562&player_lookup%5B%5D=502239&player_lookup%5B%5D=518748&player_lookup%5B%5D=434628&player_lookup%5B%5D=543294&player_lookup%5B%5D=407793&player_lookup%5B%5D=452657&player_lookup%5B%5D=453385&player_lookup%5B%5D=444468&player_lookup%5B%5D=467008&player_lookup%5B%5D=476589&player_lookup%5B%5D=475243&hfC=&season=2016&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&start_speed_gt=&start_speed_lt=&perceived_speed_gt=&perceived_speed_lt=&spin_rate_gt=&spin_rate_lt=&exit_velocity_gt=100&exit_velocity_lt=&launch_angle_gt=&launch_angle_lt=&distance_gt=&distance_lt=&batted_ball_angle_gt=&batted_ball_angle_lt=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&team=&position=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfInn=&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=pitch_percent&sort_order=desc&min_abs=0&xba_gt=&xba_lt=&px1=&px2=&pz1=&pz2=#results

 

Clayton Richard sucks. It doesn't matter too much that he gets ground balls, when they are all smoked.

 

I was just playing around, and was amazed at how much that list changes if you change the exit velocity to 95 mph.

Aaron_Kennelly South Bend Cubs

Aaron_Kennelly

Verified Member
Posted
Posted (edited)
Cubs pitchers, by total % of pitches hit at least 100 mph.

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfZ=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfAB=&stadium=&hfBBT=&hfBBL=&player_lookup%5B%5D=453562&player_lookup%5B%5D=502239&player_lookup%5B%5D=518748&player_lookup%5B%5D=434628&player_lookup%5B%5D=543294&player_lookup%5B%5D=407793&player_lookup%5B%5D=452657&player_lookup%5B%5D=453385&player_lookup%5B%5D=444468&player_lookup%5B%5D=467008&player_lookup%5B%5D=476589&player_lookup%5B%5D=475243&hfC=&season=2016&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&start_speed_gt=&start_speed_lt=&perceived_speed_gt=&perceived_speed_lt=&spin_rate_gt=&spin_rate_lt=&exit_velocity_gt=100&exit_velocity_lt=&launch_angle_gt=&launch_angle_lt=&distance_gt=&distance_lt=&batted_ball_angle_gt=&batted_ball_angle_lt=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&team=&position=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfInn=&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=pitch_percent&sort_order=desc&min_abs=0&xba_gt=&xba_lt=&px1=&px2=&pz1=&pz2=#results

 

Clayton Richard sucks. It doesn't matter too much that he gets ground balls, when they are all smoked.

 

I was just playing around, and was amazed at how much that list changes if you change the exit velocity to 95 mph.

 

Yeah, small sample sizes and all, you can't read too much into things.

 

I only use 100 mph, because that's kinda the threshold where the damage really is amplified. The league average slugging % on balls hits 95-100 mph is .661. Bump it up 5 mph to 100-105 mph and the league average slugging % is 1.150. Regardless, Richard gives up the highest % of 90+, 95+, 100+. He's just horrible and guys hit him hard.

 

I buy fielding-independent metrics for most guys, but once you get to the margins and get guys like Arrieta on one side and Richard on the other, I kinda throw those things out, especially on the wrong side (Richard's). Guys like Brian Schlitter and Clayton Richard look a lot better when you assume they do things at the league-average rate.

Edited by Duke Silver
Rex Buckingham ACL Cubs

Rex Buckingham

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
How many Cubs shutouts have been ruined in the 9th inning? Seems like more than there should be.

 

Feels like it, but that's probably recency bias.

 

There have been at least 6 instances this season, including 3 by the Phillies alone... there was also a game against Pittsburgh that was not close and the Pirates scored their lone run in the bottom of the 8th

UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If the Cubs finish the year 52-52, they will end up 93-69. And probably still make the playoffs.

 

The team that would currently be first in line to pass them into the playoffs would be the Dodgers, who would have to go 62-40 (99 win pace) to pass a 93-69 Cubs team outright, and that's if they don't pass the Giants first.

bcl412 South Bend Cubs

bcl412

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
If the Cubs finish the year 52-52, they will end up 93-69. And probably still make the playoffs.

 

The team that would currently be first in line to pass them into the playoffs would be the Dodgers, who would have to go 62-40 (99 win pace) to pass a 93-69 Cubs team outright, and that's if they don't pass the Giants first.

Does this mean we are good? Like do we a shot at the playoffs?

Sammy Sofa GOAT

Sammy Sofa

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Worst loss and the 2 runners up:

 

2nd runner up: May 11th vs. San Diego. Cubs had a 4-2 lead into the 7th, Cubs were cruising toward their 8th straight win. In the 7th, Hendricks gets the first 2 outs easily, then an innocent little bunt single sends Hendricks to the showers and then the Cubs implode giving up 4 runs and losing 7-4

 

1st runner up: May 3rd vs. Atlanta. Cubs are somehow stymied by the hapless Braves until the 8th when they score 2 runs to trail by 1. The Cubs come all the way back in the 9th off a Russell single, but then Rondon comes in and loses the game in the 10th.

 

Winner: May 24th @ St. Louis. No need to elaborate on this one.

 

What the what.

 

I want to punch this post so badly.

David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Worst loss and the 2 runners up:

 

2nd runner up: May 11th vs. San Diego. Cubs had a 4-2 lead into the 7th, Cubs were cruising toward their 8th straight win. In the 7th, Hendricks gets the first 2 outs easily, then an innocent little bunt single sends Hendricks to the showers and then the Cubs implode giving up 4 runs and losing 7-4

 

1st runner up: May 3rd vs. Atlanta. Cubs are somehow stymied by the hapless Braves until the 8th when they score 2 runs to trail by 1. The Cubs come all the way back in the 9th off a Russell single, but then Rondon comes in and loses the game in the 10th.

 

Winner: May 24th @ St. Louis. No need to elaborate on this one.

 

What the what.

 

I want to punch this post so badly.

 

I don't even have any idea what that May 24th game is. And I'm not gonna pull up Baseball Reference to find out.

BigSlick South Bend Cubs

BigSlick

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

I'm gonna assume the game he's trying to reference was the game that the Cubs led most of the way, Lackey gave up the tying dinger, and then in the bottom of the 9th Adam Warren gave up a golfball to get walked off on. It was the last time the Cubs lost in that "bad" stretch (wasn't that bad) and then they reeled off like 8 in a row.

 

I remember all this because I'm an insane person.

bcl412 South Bend Cubs

bcl412

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Worst loss and the 2 runners up:

 

2nd runner up: May 11th vs. San Diego. Cubs had a 4-2 lead into the 7th, Cubs were cruising toward their 8th straight win. In the 7th, Hendricks gets the first 2 outs easily, then an innocent little bunt single sends Hendricks to the showers and then the Cubs implode giving up 4 runs and losing 7-4

 

1st runner up: May 3rd vs. Atlanta. Cubs are somehow stymied by the hapless Braves until the 8th when they score 2 runs to trail by 1. The Cubs come all the way back in the 9th off a Russell single, but then Rondon comes in and loses the game in the 10th.

 

Winner: May 24th @ St. Louis. No need to elaborate on this one.

 

What the what.

 

I want to punch this post so badly.

 

I don't even have any idea what that May 24th game is. And I'm not gonna pull up Baseball Reference to find out.

 

I barely know who the cardinals as I have low tolerance for irrelevant teams.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
The North Side Baseball Caretaker Fund
The North Side Baseball Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Cubs community on the internet. Included with caretaking is ad-free browsing of North Side Baseball.

Become a Caretaker

  • Member Statistics

    6,796
    Total Members
    13,056
    Most Online
    MushroomTaco
    Newest Member
    MushroomTaco
    Joined
×
×
  • Create New...