Projecting the 2016 Cubs

[Sammy Sofa]

[expletive], I need to see that movie just for the jar of pee.

 

It's not that special.

 

You say that like jars of pee ain't no thang.

[Clem Fandango]

[expletive], I need to see that movie just for the jar of pee.

 

It's not that special.

 

You say that like jars of pee ain't no thang.

 

[UMFan83]

[Banedon]

I'm not really great at all the projection methodologies and such, but the one that comes up with these results seems exceedingly awful.

 

http://www.sportsline.com/insiders/25551503/power-ratings-teams-shuffling-after-just-one-week/

[David]

I'm not really great at all the projection methodologies and such, but the one that comes up with these results seems exceedingly awful.

 

http://www.sportsline.com/insiders/25551503/power-ratings-teams-shuffling-after-just-one-week/

 

think this same dumb site had the schwarber injury significantly reducing their cubs playoff odds using whatever "projection system" it is that they're using. iirc by like 15-20%.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Cards #1 winning 97 games, Pirates #15 winning 83.

 

http://wpmedia.o.canada.com/2013/05/4a519_orig-leaving_with_disgust.gif?w=680

[Bull]

Is this better?

 

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/page/2016mlbpowerrankings_week1/mlb-ranking-mlb-teams-one-week

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Is this better?

 

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/page/2016mlbpowerrankings_week1/mlb-ranking-mlb-teams-one-week

Yes. I would like to see all of the teams in MLB sorted by current record. Anything else is loser mom's basement nerd talk.

[Omar]

Is this better?

 

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/page/2016mlbpowerrankings_week1/mlb-ranking-mlb-teams-one-week

Yes. I would like to see all of the teams in MLB sorted by current record. Anything else is loser mom's basement nerd talk.

 

that would be just plain old rankings

 

this is *POWER RANKINGS*

[Banedon]

Updated fivethirtyeight.com projections.

 

Cubs projected to win 102, and with a 17% chance of winning the WS.

 

Projected +225 run differential.

 

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-mlb-predictions/

[Banedon]

:shock:

 

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[David]

:shock:

 

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i think they've actually played their last 81 games at a 116 win pace...those odds almost seem inviting knowing that. :lol:

[Transmogrified Tiger]

The Cubs are 61-22 in their last 83 games, a 119 win pace.

[David]

The Cubs are 61-22 in their last 83 games, a 119 win pace.

 

ok well i'm flying to vegas

[CubInOK]

:shock:

 

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I guess William Hill wants to keep taking a beating like they will on Leicester City.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

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[CubinNY]

I wonder what the '84 Tigers would've been projected to win at this point in the season.

[BigSlick]

Fangraphs for the first time all year has us projected to win over 100, its 100.7 to be exact.

 

Nate Silver's 538 has us projected to win 106 games on average, which is silly

[Banedon]

Fangraphs for the first time all year has us projected to win over 100, its 100.7 to be exact.

 

Nate Silver's 538 has us projected to win 106 games on average, which is silly

 

It's up to 107 now, and a 23% chance to win the WS.

 

The Mets are second in the WS chance with 8%.

[bukie]

So to change the subject, predict the rank of the following nine Cubs hitters by overall offense (say wOBA):

 

Baez

Bryant

Heyward

Montero

Rizzo

Russell

Schwarber

Soler

Zobrist

 

So since this the Cubs signed Fowler and Schwarber played 2 games and Cnotreras stepped up, but here's the actual answer with 2 games remaining:

 

1. Bryant .398

2. Rizzo .392

3. Fowler .364

4. Zobrist .360

5. Contreras .356

6. Soler .334

7. Russell .319

8. Baez .316

9. Montero .292

10. Heyward .278

[imb]

I'm taking the over on all the publicized Heyward projections.

 

good call