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Posted
Cubs starters had a 4.52 ERA last season with a 4.36 FIP (.288 babip)

Cubs starters have a 3.40 ERA this season with a 3.72 FIP (.253 babip)

 

the babip is the big thing; superior defense doesn't seem to account for it though (+30 team UZR last year vs. -8 this year)

 

it's worth noting we have a real strong IFFB% (12.7% vs. 7.6% last year), which isn't properly accounted for by standard FIP

 

I recall this being a thing for Shark in the minors. Is this still true and is Wood another big contributor to this number?

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Posted
Cubs starters had a 4.52 ERA last season with a 4.36 FIP (.288 babip)

Cubs starters have a 3.40 ERA this season with a 3.72 FIP (.253 babip)

 

the babip is the big thing; superior defense doesn't seem to account for it though (+30 team UZR last year vs. -8 this year)

 

it's worth noting we have a real strong IFFB% (12.7% vs. 7.6% last year), which isn't properly accounted for by standard FIP

 

I recall this being a thing for Shark in the minors. Is this still true and is Wood another big contributor to this number?

 

Russell and Camp have insane percentages, although obviously their sample is smaller. Feldman, Shark, and Wood are all above 15%.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=2&season=2013&month=0&season1=2013&ind=0&team=17&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=7,d

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Guests
Posted

David,

 

Wood has a 2.03/3.65/4.46 ERA/FIP/xFIP

 

He's been extremely lucky with all of BABIP, HR/FB%, LOB%

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Cubs starters had a 4.52 ERA last season with a 4.36 FIP (.288 babip)

Cubs starters have a 3.40 ERA this season with a 3.72 FIP (.253 babip)

 

the babip is the big thing; superior defense doesn't seem to account for it though (+30 team UZR last year vs. -8 this year)

 

it's worth noting we have a real strong IFFB% (12.7% vs. 7.6% last year), which isn't properly accounted for by standard FIP

 

I recall this being a thing for Shark in the minors. Is this still true and is Wood another big contributor to this number?

 

Russell and Camp have insane percentages, although obviously their sample is smaller. Feldman, Shark, and Wood are all above 15%.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=2&season=2013&month=0&season1=2013&ind=0&team=17&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=7,d

 

Huh, even stranger is that all three of Feldman, Shark, and Wood are 6-7% above their career GB% rates.

Guest
Guests
Posted
David,

 

Wood has a 2.03/3.65/4.46 ERA/FIP/xFIP

 

He's been extremely lucky with all of BABIP, HR/FB%, LOB%

 

I know that (not necessarily luck - although it probably is).

 

I'm speaking with regard to our overall pitching staff.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Cubs starters had a 4.52 ERA last season with a 4.36 FIP (.288 babip)

Cubs starters have a 3.40 ERA this season with a 3.72 FIP (.253 babip)

 

the babip is the big thing; superior defense doesn't seem to account for it though (+30 team UZR last year vs. -8 this year)

 

it's worth noting we have a real strong IFFB% (12.7% vs. 7.6% last year), which isn't properly accounted for by standard FIP

 

I recall this being a thing for Shark in the minors. Is this still true and is Wood another big contributor to this number?

 

Russell and Camp have insane percentages, although obviously their sample is smaller. Feldman, Shark, and Wood are all above 15%.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=2&season=2013&month=0&season1=2013&ind=0&team=17&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=7,d

 

Huh, even stranger is that all three of Feldman, Shark, and Wood are 6-7% above their career GB% rates.

 

Obstructed View noticed that a couple of weeks ago

 

http://www.obstructedview.net/commentary-and-analysis/cubs-groundball-rates-snorting-bosios-magic-sinker-dust.html

Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

Interesting. They've all regressed a bit but are still well above career averages. Maybe Bosio knows what he's doing.

 

Of the five, Carl Newhouse's change is the most pronounced.

 

I read this and was like who the eff is he talking about?

Posted

 

Of the five, Carl Newhouse's change is the most pronounced.

 

I read this and was like who the eff is he talking about?

 

Man, that took me awhile too. Yay high school Spanish.

 

Should it not be more like Carl Newtown? Is villa really translated to house?

Guest
Guests
Posted
Yep. If you want to be pedantic it probably ought to be Charles or Charlie Newhouse.
Guest
Guests
Posted

 

Of the five, Carl Newhouse's change is the most pronounced.

 

I read this and was like who the eff is he talking about?

 

Man, that took me awhile too. Yay high school Spanish.

 

Should it not be more like Carl Newtown? Is villa really translated to house?

 

Charles Newvillage or Newtown if you want it to sound more like a real name.

Posted
I'm all for bringing up Brian Bogusevic and replacing Scott Hairston with him. Hairston has been a disaster this season.

 

Hairston is on a 2 year deal and is a better baseball player than Bogusevic.

Guest
Guests
Posted
I'm all for bringing up Brian Bogusevic and replacing Scott Hairston with him. Hairston has been a disaster this season.

 

No.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Also, Bogusevic hits left handed, turning our two platoons into 4 LH hitting OF.
Posted

Hairston has a fairly lengthy track record of being solid, especially as a platoon. He's been awful but he is one guy that wasn't really as a stretch or reclamation project.

Sappelt you give up on for now, Hairston you ride it out.

Posted

Random thought. I feel like the ball was kind of dropped on the offensive side of things this offseason. Love what they did with the pitching, even before the season. Thought the bullpen would be much better than it has been. But the offense was destined to struggle with the personnel on this team. I thought this offseason was a great chance to change the culture on the offensive side of the ball. The Cubs knew they had Castro, Rizzo, and Castillo set in stone. 2 of which probably wouldn't get on base enough unless they hit well over .300. Rizzo also in his first full season and some inconsistencies could have been expected. AT some point, it became clear that Soriano would be on the roster and again he's a player that couldn't reasonably expected to get on base at a high level. So, I thought the focus should have been to fill the rest of the roster with some guys that can get on base so the Cubs wouldn't be last in baseball in OBP. Valbuena and Dejesus have been fine getting on base. But the Cubs really missed a chance to go after some OBP in the corner OF or in the IF. Guys like Eric Chavez or Youkilis would have been risky, but no more so than Ian Stewart was at 3B (moving on from Barney and moving Valbuena to 2B in this scenario). Guys like Berkman (if he can even play OF) or Swisher would have been expensive for the OF, but would have helped this team's OBP immensely. Kelly Johnson and Stephen Drew were also viable IF options. Even the rumored Bourn signing would have been a step in the right direction for this team's biggest weakness.

 

I just feel like for a FO that preaches a patient approach, they surely didn't do the personnel any favors by putting together a team full of hackers. And with as many close games as this team has lost, I'd think the record would look much better with a couple more guys that can get on base. The opportunities were there to make the necessary upgrades.

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