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Posted (edited)

his FIP is 3.86 for the past month (3.58 xFIP, 3.66 siera), so unless you have any reason to believe his .405 babip or his 60% LOB are likely to persist, this isn't really much of a concern

 

also, on the year he has a FIP within 5 pts of Hamels, Kershaw, Dempster, Peavy, Halladay, Johan Santana, CJ Wilson...he's fine

Edited by sneakypower
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Posted
his FIP is 3.86 for the past month (3.58 xFIP, 3.66 siera), so unless you have any reason to believe his .405 babip or his 60% LOB are likely to persist, this isn't really much of a concern

 

A 3.86 FIP would rank him 66th among starters. I think it's reasonable to be disappointed by that level of performance after it looked early in the year like he might be able to sustain something much better.

Posted

so during his worst stretch, he's still performing like a borderline #2? oh, the humanity

 

i guess this is just this week's installment of "kyle arbitrarily shrinks the sample size to make stupid inferences"

Posted
so during his worst stretch, he's still performing like a borderline #2? oh, the humanity

 

i guess this is just this week's installment of "kyle arbitrarily shrinks the sample size to make stupid inferences"

 

I didn't bring up that sample. TT did. Take it up with him.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Has anyone analyzed this? Pretty crazy swing.

Not much too it. He doesn't have the pitch repitorie to make it through a line up two to three times, so he has to throw strikes. He literally has no margin for error.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Yep, Samardzija's problem is that his stuff isn't good enough.
Posted
Has anyone analyzed this? Pretty crazy swing.

Not much too it. He doesn't have the pitch repitorie to make it through a line up two to three times, so he has to throw strikes. He literally has no margin for error.

 

Entering today, he had the 11th highest strikeout rate and the 6th highest swinging strike percentage among starters in baseball (obviously today will bring that down a little). Whatever his struggles have been lately, how can those numbers be reconciled with the root cause being a lack of stuff?

Posted
Has anyone analyzed this? Pretty crazy swing.

Not much too it. He doesn't have the pitch repitorie to make it through a line up two to three times, so he has to throw strikes. He literally has no margin for error.

 

Entering today, he had the 11th highest strikeout rate and the 6th highest swinging strike percentage among starters in baseball (obviously today will bring that down a little). Whatever his struggles have been lately, how can those numbers be reconciled with the root cause being a lack of stuff?

 

It's easy to do when you just say things that you don't know anything about.

Posted
Has anyone analyzed this? Pretty crazy swing.

Not much too it. He doesn't have the pitch repitorie to make it through a line up two to three times, so he has to throw strikes. He literally has no margin for error.

 

Entering today, he had the 11th highest strikeout rate and the 6th highest swinging strike percentage among starters in baseball (obviously today will bring that down a little). Whatever his struggles have been lately, how can those numbers be reconciled with the root cause being a lack of stuff?

 

It's easy to do when you just say things that you don't know anything about.

 

He's blinded by his ND hate.

 

He being cubinny, not ccp.

Posted

Coming into today, K/BB ratio:

 

Pitches 1-25: 6.25

26-75: 3.00

76+: 1.67

 

 

I've never really bought into the idea that you need a ton of different pitches to be an effective starter.

 

It looks to me that he just doesn't have the stamina to be a starter right now, either in terms of a single game or the course of a season. I don't know if he's going to get better in future seasons, but there's no reason not to try. You can always shift him back to the bullpen later.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Coming into today, K/BB ratio:

 

Pitches 1-25: 6.25

26-75: 3.00

76+: 1.67

 

 

I've never really bought into the idea that you need a ton of different pitches to be an effective starter.

 

It looks to me that he just doesn't have the stamina to be a starter right now, either in terms of a single game or the course of a season. I don't know if he's going to get better in future seasons, but there's no reason not to try. You can always shift him back to the bullpen later.

Just like I said. It's not stamina. His fastball has little movement and the second time around they are teeing off. If he can't throw his off speed pitches for strikes he's not going to get good results.

 

Condescend away.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Coming into today, K/BB ratio:

 

Pitches 1-25: 6.25

26-75: 3.00

76+: 1.67

 

 

I've never really bought into the idea that you need a ton of different pitches to be an effective starter.

 

It looks to me that he just doesn't have the stamina to be a starter right now, either in terms of a single game or the course of a season. I don't know if he's going to get better in future seasons, but there's no reason not to try. You can always shift him back to the bullpen later.

Just like I said. It's not stamina. His fastball has little movement and the second time around they are teeing off. If he can't throw his off speed pitches for strikes he's not going to get good results.

 

Condescend away.

 

Seems to me that the one talking like a know it all who knows nothing is the one being condescending.

 

Way to ignore, like, facts and stuff, though.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Coming into today, K/BB ratio:

 

Pitches 1-25: 6.25

26-75: 3.00

76+: 1.67

 

 

I've never really bought into the idea that you need a ton of different pitches to be an effective starter.

 

It looks to me that he just doesn't have the stamina to be a starter right now, either in terms of a single game or the course of a season. I don't know if he's going to get better in future seasons, but there's no reason not to try. You can always shift him back to the bullpen later.

Just like I said. It's not stamina. His fastball has little movement and the second time around they are teeing off. If he can't throw his off speed pitches for strikes he's not going to get good results.

 

Condescend away.

 

Seems to me that the one talking like a know it all who knows nothing is the one being condescending.

 

Way to ignore, like, facts and stuff, though.

You offer absolutely nothing except yeah what he said.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Coming into today, K/BB ratio:

 

Pitches 1-25: 6.25

26-75: 3.00

76+: 1.67

 

 

I've never really bought into the idea that you need a ton of different pitches to be an effective starter.

 

It looks to me that he just doesn't have the stamina to be a starter right now, either in terms of a single game or the course of a season. I don't know if he's going to get better in future seasons, but there's no reason not to try. You can always shift him back to the bullpen later.

Just like I said. It's not stamina. His fastball has little movement and the second time around they are teeing off. If he can't throw his off speed pitches for strikes he's not going to get good results.

 

Condescend away.

 

Seems to me that the one talking like a know it all who knows nothing is the one being condescending.

 

Way to ignore, like, facts and stuff, though.

You offer absolutely nothing except yeah what he said.

 

Why would I need to remake points that were already made and ignored by you? So that you can ignore them again?

Posted

Just like I said. It's not stamina. His fastball has little movement and the second time around they are teeing off. If he can't throw his off speed pitches for strikes he's not going to get good results.

 

Condescend away.

 

I'm not going to condescend, just respectfully disagree. I think the facts fit the "he's getting tired" argument better than they fit the "batters hit his fastball better after seeing it multiple times."

Guest
Guests
Posted

Just like I said. It's not stamina. His fastball has little movement and the second time around they are teeing off. If he can't throw his off speed pitches for strikes he's not going to get good results.

 

Condescend away.

 

I'm not going to condescend, just respectfully disagree. I think the facts fit the "he's getting tired" argument better than they fit the "batters hit his fastball better after seeing it multiple times."

I don't think he's losing much mph as he gets into the third or fourth inning. I don't have the time, but one way to get an answer would be to look at which innings he's giving up multiple hits.

 

Command is an issue because he needs get through the line up.

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