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Posted (edited)

Brees has put up fairly mediocre numbers (for him) against the Bears in his career. But of course we've never faced him in the dome, only Chicago in December/January all 3 times.

 

As someone else pointed out above, and as I read on the Saints own team message board, Brees has had issues with t he Cover 2 in his career. If we can continue getting pressue like last week its gonna be an interesting game.

Edited by UMFan83
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Posted
Bears 16, Saints 13. Bears D shows up again, but doesn't get all the turnovers. Cutler gets the Bears in the red zone 5 times to get 1 TD, 3 FGs and an interception.

 

Bears got 23 points offensively against Atlanta, and I don't see how we score fewer against the Saints. I think NO is gonna blitz a ton, and Cutler is gonna make a lot of short passes to Forte and Davis. I keep hearing about how big a home field advantage it's gonna be for the Saints in the dome, but I think the Bears are gonna play better in a dome than they do at Soldier.

 

Bears 27, Saints 16

 

wait wait, the Saints put up 34 points (could have easily been 40+ if not for some stupid mistakes) in an extremely hostile environment against arguably the top defense in the NFL, and they're only going to get 16 points AT HOME??

 

I'm extremely confident that the Saints won't score as much against the Bears as they did against Green Bay.

 

I think they'll get a offensive TD. That's more than the Falcons got. I'm giving the Saints respect!!!

 

:)

Posted
I like how we've gone from basing our predictions 100% on preseason expectation in Week 1 to like 90% Week 1 performance and 10% preseason expectation in Week 2.
Posted
Brees has put up fairly mediocre numbers (for him) against the Bears in his career. But of course we've never faced him in the dome, only Chicago in December/January all 3 times.

Considering how much of the Bears' D relies on speed, I wonder if this can only help them.

Posted
I like how we've gone from basing our predictions 100% on preseason expectation in Week 1 to like 90% Week 1 performance and 10% preseason expectation in Week 2.

 

freaking SAT question there. I'm confused.

Posted
I like how we've gone from basing our predictions 100% on preseason expectation in Week 1 to like 90% Week 1 performance and 10% preseason expectation in Week 2.

 

freaking SAT question there. I'm confused.

 

In making predictions before a game, we're basing our opinions on:

 

Week 1: 100% preseason hype and expectation

Week 2: 10% preseason expectation, 90% what happened in Week 1

Posted
So when people have some data to base their analysis, they do (as small of a sample size as it may be), and when people don't have any previous data points, they use anecdotal information?

 

More like people give way too much weight to only one data point because it's the most recent one.

Posted

Chris Harris didn't practice, and is doubtful for Sunday.

 

You guys ready for Meriweather and Wright for your safeties? I guess it's a good thing we grabbed Meriweather. Could've been real bad.

Posted
So when people have some data to base their analysis, they do (as small of a sample size as it may be), and when people don't have any previous data points, they use anecdotal information?

 

More like people give way too much weight to only one data point because it's the most recent one.

 

Got it. We live in a society of "what have you done for me lately".

Posted
Bears have owned Brees (I believe I saw he has a 70 or 71 QB rating against them in his career), even though most of the games have been at Soldier. Unfortunately that's probably due to change.
Posted
So when people have some data to base their analysis, they do (as small of a sample size as it may be), and when people don't have any previous data points, they use anecdotal information?

 

More like people give way too much weight to only one data point because it's the most recent one.

 

The Bears beat arguably the preseason favorite from the NFC in a very remarkable fashion. It might be one data point, but its a big one.

Posted

Drew Brees 6'0

 

Julius Peppers 6'7

Isreal Idonije 6'6

Henry Melton 6'3

Matt Toaina 6'2

 

I know Brees has had to handle throwing over larger defensively lineman his whole career and has managed just fine, but I like the chances of there being some swatted passes on Sunday. If the Bears could snag one or two of those swatted balls out of the air, that would be fantastic. Even more so if 6'6 Corey Wootton plays.

Posted

 

I know Brees has had to handle throwing over larger defensively lineman his whole career and has managed just fine, but I like the chances of there being some swatted passes on Sunday. If the Bears could snag one or two of those swatted balls out of the air, that would be fantastic. Even more so if 6'6 Corey Wootton plays.

 

I've often wondered how many of his interceptions throughout his career have come off batted balls. I'm going to guess almost half. Or maybe even more and that's not an exaggeration. So few of his picks I've seen over the last 5 seasons (and I've watched EVERY game) are of the "crap I threw it to the wrong team" variety. The only time I really saw that happen on a somewhat regular basis was last year when he was trying to do too much because the running game was nonexistent.

 

So ya, that's a real concern.

Posted
I like how we've gone from basing our predictions 100% on preseason expectation in Week 1 to like 90% Week 1 performance and 10% preseason expectation in Week 2.

 

freaking SAT question there. I'm confused.

 

In making predictions before a game, we're basing our opinions on:

 

Week 1: 100% preseason hype and expectation

Week 2: 10% preseason expectation, 90% what happened in Week 1

 

but if we whipped the team that was hyped and expected of going into week 1, that throws your equation off.

Posted
Chris Harris didn't practice, and is doubtful for Sunday.

 

You guys ready for Meriweather and Wright for your safeties? I guess it's a good thing we grabbed Meriweather. Could've been real bad.

 

Damn, I don't know if I like our odds with Harris, Roy Williams, Marion Barber, Lance Louis, and Nick Roach possibly all out. Not that any other those guys other than Harris are among the most important players on the team, but its still a hit. Harris because he's a good player, Barber because he makes the offense more dynamic, Louis because offensive line cohesion is important, and Roach because we have no damn depth there.

 

We've probably got more injury situations in week 2 than we had all year last year. I think there were multiple weeks last year where we didnt have anyone on the injury report.

Posted
So when people have some data to base their analysis, they do (as small of a sample size as it may be), and when people don't have any previous data points, they use anecdotal information?

 

More like people give way too much weight to only one data point because it's the most recent one.

 

The Bears beat arguably the preseason favorite from the NFC in a very remarkable fashion. It might be one data point, but its a big one.

 

Yes and no. A couple of years ago the Bears went on the road to open up Lucas Oil Field and destroyed the Colts and went on to finish a mediocre 9-7 and out of the playoffs. Any given sunday in the NFL. The whole idea of sample size is so that you don't make conclusions based on insignificant amounts of data. I'll agree the Bears looked really good on Sunday and its extremely promising for our season prospects, but I am not putting more emphasis on that game than I would if we lost like 16-13 or something.

Posted
Damn, I don't know if I like our odds with Harris, Roy Williams, Marion Barber, Lance Louis, and Nick Roach possibly all out.

 

?????

 

What the hell is wrong with Roach? Not on the injury report.

Posted
I doubt Nick Roach is the difference in this game. In fact, only Harris being out is really the only thing I worry about. All the others have capable and closely matched replacements, aside from Barber. But he hasnt been a part of this team in the past, so its hard to know what we are missing.
Posted
I doubt Nick Roach is the difference in this game.

 

An injury to our thinnest position on the team is a concern though. I'm hoping it was just a typo by UM, Roach hasn't been on the injury report all week.

Posted

The Saints potentially being without Colston and Moore is more significant than the players the Bears may be missing on Sunday. And a healthy front line on the defense will be forcing Brees to throw the ball pretty quickly all day.

 

Sure wish NFL network wasn't so lame this week and only replayed 2 of the first week's games all week long. One of the games was one of the night games that was televised nationally, which I very easily could have just recorded if I wasn't watching it live. Idiots.

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