Jump to content
North Side Baseball

NFL Divisional Round

ELCABALLO45

By ELCABALLO45,
in Other Sports

 Share
  • Replies 585
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted
Ravens 17, Steelers 14

Packers 34, Falcons 21

 

Bears 27, Seahawks 10

Patriots 146, Jets 0

 

I like your optimism

 

Thank you.

 

To go the more realistic route, I'll say Patroits 38, Jets 13.

jersey cubs fan GOAT

jersey cubs fan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I don't know I could see it happening in (extremely rare) instances where a short kickoff is mishandled by the returner as it bounces back 15 yards and the returner has to fall on it inside the 5.

 

Even in the muffed kick situation you are probably getting it on the 10 or 15. Safeties are pretty hard to get unless the ball is inside the 2 or 3. I think what happened to the Bears against the Jets is much more likely. Kickoff results in possession starting on 20, penalty brings it back to 15. Stuffed play goes back to 10 and then pick 6. Nobody is going to play it safe if they somehow get possession deep in that scenario. Most QB's are probably going to toss up a desperation heave instead of taking a sack in the end zone.

CoolHandLuke First Round Pick

CoolHandLuke

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
My picks:

 

Patriots 36, Jets 26

Ravens 23, Steelers 20

 

Packers 33, Falcons 28, OT

Bears 27, Seahawks 13

 

I'm trying to figure out why your AFC picks are almost exactly like mine lol. But really I'm trying to figure out how one could win by 5 in an OT game. The only way I can see that happening is if the Packers kick a FG on their first possession of OT, then on the Falcons chance to possess the ball they get sacked in the end zone for a safety. Is that what you intended?

Yes, because I thought it'd be funny. Plus, it's the only somewhat feasible way that a team could score twice in OT.

 

Maybe I'm missing something, but couldn't both teams kick field goals on their first possessions and then the first team would just have to score in any way on the ensuing possession?

sweetpeteman Chicago Cubs

sweetpeteman

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I think he meant its the only way a a team could score twice in OT BEFORE the other team scored at all

 

 

 

Since the play isn't over until the player is down, wouldn't an INT returned for a TD and still count?

minnesotacubsfan Chicago Cubs

minnesotacubsfan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I think he meant its the only way a a team could score twice in OT BEFORE the other team scored at all

 

 

 

Since the play isn't over until the player is down, wouldn't an INT returned for a TD and still count?

 

go back a page

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted

Patriots 146, Jets 0

Won't be that close.

 

We can only hope.

Banedon GOAT

Banedon

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
The matchups by DVOA ranking are as follows:

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2011/final-2010-dvoa-ratings

 

 

AFC:

New York Jets (6) vs. New England Patriots (1)

Baltimore Ravens (4) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2)

 

NFC:

Green Bay Packers (3) vs. Atlanta Falcons (8)

Seattle Seahawks (30) vs. Chicago Bears (16)

 

Or by Weighted DVOA:

 

AFC:

New York Jets (7) vs. New England Patriots (1)

Baltimore Ravens (3) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2)

 

NFC:

Green Bay Packers (4) vs. Atlanta Falcons (9)

Seattle Seahawks (31) vs. Chicago Bears (11)

Vanilla Ice South Bend Cubs

Vanilla Ice

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
The matchups by DVOA ranking are as follows:

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2011/final-2010-dvoa-ratings

 

 

AFC:

New York Jets (6) vs. New England Patriots (1)

Baltimore Ravens (4) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2)

 

NFC:

Green Bay Packers (3) vs. Atlanta Falcons (8)

Seattle Seahawks (30) vs. Chicago Bears (16)

 

Or by Weighted DVOA:

 

AFC:

New York Jets (7) vs. New England Patriots (1)

Baltimore Ravens (3) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2)

 

NFC:

Green Bay Packers (4) vs. Atlanta Falcons (9)

Seattle Seahawks (31) vs. Chicago Bears (11)

Or by including last week's games

 

AFC:

New York Jets (10) vs. New England Patriots (1)

Baltimore Ravens (3) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2)

 

NFC:

Green Bay Packers (4) vs. Atlanta Falcons (8)

Seattle Seahawks (30) vs. Chicago Bears (7)

JonJayCutler ACL Cubs

JonJayCutler

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

No disrespect to the Packers, but after thinking about it, I think Atlanta wins their game somewhat easily. The Packers have no losses by more than 3 points, but I think that ends here. Hear me out on this one:

 

1. HFA in a dome. Playing a playoff game, especially in a dome, is completely different than a regular season game at the same location. Atmosphere, crowd noise, whatever. I don't even have to look it up to tell you that road teams don't fare well in domes during the playoffs.

 

2. Rest. There is a reason one of the bye teams usually make the Super Bowl. One less game and thus a lot more rested. Besides, this is the 4th "win or else" game in a row for the Packers. One has to think they could break down at any moment.

 

3. Disrespect by media. It's quite likely that the Falcons will have a chip on their shoulders due to all the disrespect they're getting this week. Just one point favorites coming off a bye while playing against the 6th seed? I know the Packers aren't just any 6th seed, but c'mon.

 

I expect the Packers to prove me wrong again though, as they always do. Super Bowl bound.

rawaction Chicago Cubs

rawaction

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

1. HFA in a dome. Playing a playoff game, especially in a dome, is completely different than a regular season game at the same location. Atmosphere, crowd noise, whatever. I don't even have to look it up to tell you that road teams don't fare well in domes during the playoffs.

 

The basics are this: home teams have gone 234-110 in the playoffs since the AFL merger. That's a rock-solid .680 winning percentage.

 

Dome teams, meanwhile, are 27-15 (.642), including last week's indoor wins by the Cardinals and Cowboys.

 

But that number is very misleading: the prolific statistical oddity that is Kurt Warner is 7-0 at home in his domes in St. Louis and Arizona. The rest of the indoor quarterbacks and indoor teams of the world have gone just 20-15 (.571) in their very own home arenas.

 

This was written a year ago yesterday. Of course, since then, the Saints went 2-0 at home in a dome, the Vikings went 1-0, the Colts went 2-1 (loss this weekend included), so its 32-16 now (.667 winning percentage).

 

Still, road teams actually fare better in domes.

Soul MVP

Soul

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

1. HFA in a dome. Playing a playoff game, especially in a dome, is completely different than a regular season game at the same location. Atmosphere, crowd noise, whatever. I don't even have to look it up to tell you that road teams don't fare well in domes during the playoffs.

 

The basics are this: home teams have gone 234-110 in the playoffs since the AFL merger. That's a rock-solid .680 winning percentage.

 

Dome teams, meanwhile, are 27-15 (.642), including last week's indoor wins by the Cardinals and Cowboys.

 

But that number is very misleading: the prolific statistical oddity that is Kurt Warner is 7-0 at home in his domes in St. Louis and Arizona. The rest of the indoor quarterbacks and indoor teams of the world have gone just 20-15 (.571) in their very own home arenas.

 

This was written a year ago yesterday. Of course, since then, the Saints went 2-0 at home in a dome, the Vikings went 1-0, the Colts went 2-1 (loss this weekend included), so its 32-16 now (.667 winning percentage).

 

Still, road teams actually fare better in domes.

 

NOT THIS TIME.

 

Ryan will own. Turner will burn.

 

Falcons will prey!

 

CAW CAWWWWW ACAWWW!

JonJayCutler ACL Cubs

JonJayCutler

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

1. HFA in a dome. Playing a playoff game, especially in a dome, is completely different than a regular season game at the same location. Atmosphere, crowd noise, whatever. I don't even have to look it up to tell you that road teams don't fare well in domes during the playoffs.

 

The basics are this: home teams have gone 234-110 in the playoffs since the AFL merger. That's a rock-solid .680 winning percentage.

 

Dome teams, meanwhile, are 27-15 (.642), including last week's indoor wins by the Cardinals and Cowboys.

 

But that number is very misleading: the prolific statistical oddity that is Kurt Warner is 7-0 at home in his domes in St. Louis and Arizona. The rest of the indoor quarterbacks and indoor teams of the world have gone just 20-15 (.571) in their very own home arenas.

 

This was written a year ago yesterday. Of course, since then, the Saints went 2-0 at home in a dome, the Vikings went 1-0, the Colts went 2-1 (loss this weekend included), so its 32-16 now (.667 winning percentage).

 

Still, road teams actually fare better in domes.

 

Of course the one time I don't bother to look up stats it comes back to haunt me. I basically made that statement with the recent playoff success of the Saints, Colts, Cardinals, and Rams (a little further back) in mind.

Banedon GOAT

Banedon

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
The Packers keep getting a lot of respect. This scares me.

 

God's favorite team.

 

Certainly the national media's favorite. No NFC East teams left to fawn over.

UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

I'd be scared if I was a Packers fan. I feel like everyone is picking the Packers but most people whole admit its expected to be a really close game. Considering the Packers track record in really close games, I am not sure why GB is the overwhelming favorite.

 

Plus imagine how easy it is to use the "nobody believed in us" card when you are the number 1 seed playing at home where you are 20-2 in the last 3 seasons and everyone is picking against you for the 6 seed on the road.

jersey cubs fan GOAT

jersey cubs fan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I'd be scared if I was a Packers fan. I feel like everyone is picking the Packers but most people whole admit its expected to be a really close game. Considering the Packers track record in really close games, I am not sure why GB is the overwhelming favorite.

 

Plus imagine how easy it is to use the "nobody believed in us" card when you are the number 1 seed playing at home where you are 20-2 in the last 3 seasons and everyone is picking against you for the 6 seed on the road.

 

Atlanta is 2.5 point favorites.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
The North Side Baseball Caretaker Fund
The North Side Baseball Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Cubs community on the internet. Included with caretaking is ad-free browsing of North Side Baseball.

Become a Caretaker

  • Member Statistics

    6,793
    Total Members
    13,056
    Most Online
    Kevin OBrien
    Newest Member
    Kevin OBrien
    Joined
×
×
  • Create New...