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Re: College Football - Week of 11/29

NewUserName

By NewUserName,
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Guest

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Guests
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You're forgetting about the team that would play in the Big 12 title game should Oklahoma lose today and, as I posted earlier, what happened last year.

 

Is a win, even a blowout, versus a then four loss Missouri team going to have Texas Tech, who two weeks earlier lost by forty points and the week previously survived against Baylor going to pass USC, Penn State, and Texas? the answer is no. Even if they did pass USC and Penn State, they'd be behind Alabama/Florida winner and Texas in the polls. They'd be behind Texas in the computers. You run the numbers. If Florida/Alabama winner is #1 in the two polls (which they will be), if Texas is #2 in the polls (which they will) and Texas Tech will be #2 in the computers and Texas #1, which is most likely, then BCS:

 

0.973333333 Alabama/Florida Winner

0.973333333 Texas

0.933333333 Texas Tech

 

That's a perfect case scenario for Tech. Now assume that Texas Tech actually passed Texas in the computers:

 

0.973333333 Alabama/Florida Winner

0.960000000 Texas

0.946666667 Texas Tech

 

Nevermind that Missouri is probably the favourite in this pot'l matchup with Crab likely out.

 

Did you see what happened last year? Georgia was well ahead of LSU and Oklahoma going into the last weekend. LSU and Oklahoma won the SEC and Big 12 title games, respectively, and BOTH jumped Georgia in the polls to keep Georgia out of the title game. Georgia was behind West Virginig (lost), Missouri (lost) and Ohio State (didn't play), should have been in the national title game but didn't go because the voters decided to rank two teams who won their conferences ahead of one that didn't. You're using all these statistics to try to predict what happens and assuming that there's no chance Texas Tech passes Texas if Oklahoma loses and Tech beats Missouri next week, yet you're completely ignoring what happened last year.

SpongeWorthy Iowa Cubs

SpongeWorthy

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I just don't think the impetus is there to push Tech ahead of Texas if they win the Big XII. If they had lost to OU by a touchdown then that'd be one thing. There's going to be a perception (a perception that I happen to agree with) that one of hte supposed two best teams in the country doesn't get pasted by 40 points.
bcl412 South Bend Cubs

bcl412

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Oregon State and Oregon met for a Pac-10 rivalry matchup and a Big XII game broke out :D

 

And on a completely unrelated note, Chris Duhon has 22 assists tonight.

 

I don't know. The Big 12 is kind of what the Pac-10 was a few years ago.

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted

Notre Dame might be better off just taking 3 knees and punting.

 

As will UCLA's offense next week.

Guest

Guest

Guests
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I just don't think the impetus is there to push Tech ahead of Texas if they win the Big XII. If they had lost to OU by a touchdown then that'd be one thing. There's going to be a perception (a perception that I happen to agree with) that one of hte supposed two best teams in the country doesn't get pasted by 40 points.

 

I agree with you. I'm not saying that Tech will jump Texas, just that to completely rule it out as a possibility is completely foolish.

SpongeWorthy Iowa Cubs

SpongeWorthy

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I know Bellotti probably isn't going anywhere but Oregon really needs to do what it takes to get Chip Kelly to stay. This offense is humming like it was last year when Dixon was running the show. Blount is just as good as Stewart.

 

And I type this as Oregon rips off another huge play for a TD.

Guest

Guest

Guests
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lol, ND gets its first 1st down on the last play of the 3rd quarter.

 

I'd laugh but I don't know that UCLA can get a 1st down next Saturday.

Mephistopheles Knoxville Smokies

Mephistopheles

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A couple of things. First, Oklahoma lost by a combined 10 points. LSU lost by a combined 9 points. Georgia lost by a combined 25 points. I am not saying that's relevant....but Texas lost by six points and Tech lost by FORTY FOUR points. LSU was seen as the best team in the nation for a lot of the season. They had been number one awhile. The general feeling is that Texas is better than Texas Tech. The general feeling was that LSU and OU were ahead of Georgia last season, and winning their conference titles vindicated that thought so they moved up. That feeling does not exist this year. OU knocked off then number one Mizzou Big XII title game....Texas Tech is going to playing then number sixteen or seventeen Mizzou...a team that Texas already walloped.

 

Georgia was also #5 in the computers going into the final week. They needed to move up in the computers in order to win. They needed another game to make their cause. Texas is already going to be in the clubhouse with the number one computer ranking. It's a completely different situation here. It's not hard to see the difference. There's no way a win over a 4 loss team is going to move a team who lost by 40 points a few weeks earlier jump 5 spots to get ahead of Texas. If Texas Tech knocked off the #1 team like Oklahoma did, that's another story. If Texas Tech was already widely thought of as the best team in college football, like LSU was, that's another story. Voters know Texas Tech isn't very good. Honestly, if Oklahoma drops a close one tonight to Okie State, don't be surprised if they don't fall below Tech.

Mephistopheles Knoxville Smokies

Mephistopheles

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It won't happen, but I can't be the only one who would love to see Florida's or Oklahoma's offenses go against USC's defense. That would be a lot of fun. Honestly, I think you have to favor USC in both games.
Derwood GOAT

Derwood

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It won't happen, but I can't be the only one who would love to see Florida's or Oklahoma's offenses go against USC's defense. That would be a lot of fun. Honestly, I think you have to favor USC in both games.

 

It will take a perfect game from Penn State (and a very imperfect one from USC) for the Nittany Lions to win the Rose Bowl this year.

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