9/2 Astros (Backe) v Cubs (Z!) 7:05 WGN

[Guest]

Soriano will hit a walkoff this inning. May not be a homer, but he'll drive in the winning run.

[chuckywang]

This may be helpful for thr bunt/ no bunt debate

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902.html

 

Those are run expectancy numbers, which, unfortunately, does not really play a factor in the bunt/no bunt debate.

[Derwood]

and, in this case, it didn't work, so it was a stupid move (hindsight being what it is)

[Little Slide Rooter]

And here we go again. Dont screw this up.

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

Gritty!

[rocket]

and now for the fukubunt

[kujay]

I feared this.

 

Now we can start this bunting debate all over again. Yay.

[Irrelevant Dude]

Come on, start talking about Michael Brenly's homer yesterday so Bob can go on about it.

Based on the stats I've seen, he must be hitting like .600

[sweetpeteman]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

Bill Plashke, is that you?

 

Nothing like utterly distorting my point. In THIS SITUATION, you bunt.

uh no, based on this exact situation, it still lowers your win probability.

 

Wait so this situation is exactly the same as the one you posted? Oh, wait... IT IS!

 

 

You know what else is funny? And by funny, I mean horrifying?

 

 

 

Bob Howry's slugging against since the AS Break:

 

 

 

.627

 

 

Why is Long Ball Bob still on the team? Comic relief?

[WilcoFan]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

Bill Plashke, is that you?

 

Nothing like utterly distorting my point. In THIS SITUATION, you bunt.

uh no, based on this exact situation, it still lowers your win probability.

 

 

Actually, no it doesn't, as 1% is not a significant statistical difference. Its a judgment call.

[Outshined_One]

Botch the bunt so we can renew the argument!

[CubInOK]

I like our chances this inning.

Theriot walks. I like this. I'd like it more if Fukudome was allowed to swing here.

[Derwood]

I predict that Theriot will somehow ball this up into a bunt for a DP

[BCVM22]

And again with the bunt

[inari]

I'll be perplexed if Lou doesn't bunt with a much worse hitter up.

[Guest]

This may be helpful for thr bunt/ no bunt debate

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902.html

 

Those are run expectancy numbers, which, unfortunately, does not really play a factor in the bunt/no bunt debate.

 

The percentage of times a team scores in each situation would be much better.

[Joe_Cub]

let's go cubbies

[David]

So...I was just thinking...

 

Can you guys think of a more nerve wracking game than the extra inning NLCS game in 2003... Game 3 was it?

 

These extra inning games always make me nuts...

[Derwood]

also a bad idea: bunting with a crappy bunter

[Andy]

Bunt for a hit.

[kujay]

WTF was that? When it's at your head, Fuku, you back away.

[inari]

Fukufail

[E.J.]

Lou drives me nuts. You bunt here and they walk Soriano. It's then up to Fontenot against a lefty.

[rocket]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

Bill Plashke, is that you?

 

Nothing like utterly distorting my point. In THIS SITUATION, you bunt.

uh no, based on this exact situation, it still lowers your win probability.

 

 

Actually, no it doesn't, as 1% is not a significant statistical difference. Its a judgment call.

 

and a stupid one to take the bat out of a good hitter so an inferior hitter can bat with a runner on 2nd.

[Derwood]

at least Lou never asked Ramirez to bunt....yet. (Dusty still has him beat in that regard0