9/2 Astros (Backe) v Cubs (Z!) 7:05 WGN

[Ski]

How does Jose Castillo keep getting work?

How does Bob Howry get work?

[Garwilly]

This may be helpful for thr bunt/ no bunt debate

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902.html

[David]

lol the irony is that the real groupthink is the conventional wisdom that has held many in this game back for years

[BCVM22]

In positive news, my wireless internet has been working for half an hour.

 

I fear this will be the extent of the positive news this evening.

[JLN]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

Not that I would have bunted in this situation but sometimes I wish fangraphs didn't exist because people tend to forget the idea of context.

[Vanilla Ice]

win probablity with man on first, no outs, in bottom of the ninth- 71%

 

win probablity with man on second, one out, in bottom of the ninth- 70%

 

not a huge difference, but it doesn't help

 

didn't want it to be lost

[WilcoFan]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

[bcl412]

In positive news, my wireless internet has been working for half an hour.

 

I fear this will be the extent of the positive news this evening.

 

Brewers lost

[E.J.]

win probablity with man on first, no outs, in bottom of the ninth- 71%

 

win probablity with man on second, one out, in bottom of the ninth- 70%

 

not a huge difference, but it doesn't help

 

Not a big difference, but it proves your point. Bunting lessons the chances of scoring a run.

[haubrich91]

Bob seems mad tonight.

[David]

This may be helpful for thr bunt/ no bunt debate

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902.html

 

 

Those are numbers. They don't mean anything. You want a runner at second, period.

[Derwood]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

Bill Plashke, is that you?

[17 Seconds]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

obviously not.

 

you cant disprove numbers like that

 

Ummm...I'm not sure if you know what the word "disprove" means.

 

Chances of winning after the Ramirez walk- 0.716

If Derosa gets the sac butn down- .704

 

That is based on what happened in those situations from 1977-2006. Fact.

 

http://winexp.walkoffbalk.com/expectancy/search

[manbearcub]

win probablity with man on first, no outs, in bottom of the ninth- 71%

 

win probablity with man on second, one out, in bottom of the ninth- 70%

 

not a huge difference, but it doesn't help

plus pretty good odds the bunt doesnt work.

[rocket]

kerry knows not to put the ball in play anymore

[E.J.]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

Do you not believe in the importance of statistics?

[Outshined_One]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

 

You can say what you want, but statistics show that bunting decreases your chances of winning

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

Bill Plashke, is that you?

 

NERD!

[Sammy Sofa]

Keep it up, Kerry.

[David]

 

That's very nice. Good for statistics.

 

I don't understand why you're arguing with mathematical FACT...

[BCVM22]

I fear this will be the extent of the positive news this evening.

 

Brewers lost

 

I fear it will be the extent of the positive news post-10:45 PM Central?

[17 Seconds]

This may be helpful for thr bunt/ no bunt debate

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902.html

 

 

Those are numbers. They don't mean anything. You want a runner at second, period.

 

Wait, I can't tell if you're being sarcastic or not. You don't seem like the type that would be in favor of bunting there

[Vanilla Ice]

From fangraphs

 

Win probablity after Ramirez walk- 71%

 

win probablity after DeRoa bunt- 63%

 

 

Those are very nice numbers.

 

You want a guy in scoring position.

obviously not.

 

you cant disprove numbers like that

 

Ummm...I'm not sure if you know what the word "disprove" means.

 

Chances of winning after the Ramirez walk- 0.716

If Derosa gets the sac butn down- .704

 

That is based on what happened in those situations from 1977-2006. Fact.

 

http://winexp.walkoffbalk.com/expectancy/search

yea, you used the same website as me.

 

also, as somebody else pointed out, the bunt may not get down correctly

[Outshined_One]

I fear this will be the extent of the positive news this evening.

 

Brewers lost

 

I fear it will be the extent of the positive news post-10:45 PM Central?

 

I have ice cream!

[woodchip2153]

win probablity with man on first, no outs, in bottom of the ninth- 71%

 

win probablity with man on second, one out, in bottom of the ninth- 70%

 

not a huge difference, but it doesn't help

 

Not a big difference, but it proves your point. Bunting lessons the chances of scoring a run.

 

I'd be willing to bet that the difference is greater when you factor in that Derosa is at the plate and McGehee or whomever is on deck.

[kujay]

I wanna go to sleep, Cubs.

 

One more strike and then a run, please.