Reassurance Thread

[Brian]

remember like... a week ago when half the board was all 'WE'RE ABOUT TO BE ONLY 3 1/2 GAMES UP AND FALLING AHHHHHHHHHHHHH"

[bcl412]

If we lose a week's worth of games we'd still be in first place.

[CubsBears29]

remember like... a week ago when half the board was all 'WE'RE ABOUT TO BE ONLY 3 1/2 GAMES UP AND FALLING AHHHHHHHHHHHHH"

 

True, and I have to admit I was feeling the pressure to implode myself... but honestly... what are the odds a team would hit a 1-6 skid to start September and still come out of it with no visible harm done (thanks to the Brewers going 2-5 in that same stretch).

 

I love that they are choking so hard, but a big part of our nearing clinch status so soon is thanks in large part to Milwaukee. 3-11 in September now. 0-7 vs NYM & PHI in that time.

[Guest]

Odds for postseason 99.9%; odds for division 99.0%.

 

I think we got this one! :D

 

I've got some nice whiskey in the cupboard waiting to be consumed.

[kujay]

Does anyone remember why we needed this thread?

[Cubs 32]

Not going to worry about this one anymore. But just for the heck of it...

 

NL Central (Cubs magic number: 7)

Cubs 3-12...MIL 9-3 to tie (10-2 to win)

Cubs 4-11...MIL 10-2 (11-1)

Cubs 5-10...MIL 11-1 (12-0)

Cubs 6-9...MIL 12-0

Cubs 7-8...MIL (E)

 

To make playoffs: Cubs "head-to head"* w/ PHI and HOU (Cubs magic number: 7)

Cubs 4-11...PHI 10-2 to tie (11-1 to win)...HOU 13-1 (14-0)

Cubs 5-10...PHI 11-1 (12-0)...HOU 14-0

Cubs 6-9...PHI 12-0...HOU (E)

Cubs 7-9...PHI (E)

[Old Style]

Does anyone remember why we needed this thread?

Unfortunately, I do. :)

[UMFan83]

Not going to worry about this one anymore. But just for the heck of it...

 

NL Central (Cubs magic number: 7)

Cubs 3-12...MIL 9-3 to tie (10-2 to win)

Cubs 4-11...MIL 10-2 (11-1)

Cubs 5-10...MIL 11-1 (12-0)

Cubs 6-9...MIL 12-0

Cubs 7-8...MIL (E)

 

To make playoffs: Cubs "head-to head"* w/ PHI and HOU (Cubs magic number: 7)

Cubs 4-11...PHI 10-2 to tie (11-1 to win)...HOU 13-1 (14-0)

Cubs 5-10...PHI 11-1 (12-0)...HOU 14-0

Cubs 6-9...PHI 12-0...HOU (E)

Cubs 7-9...PHI (E)

 

There is almost no conceivable way that we blow it with still 10 games remaining against Milwaukee and the Mets (who are a game up on Philly, thus a game up in the WC technically)

 

If we went 6-9, requiring Milwaukee to go 12-0, The Cubs would have to go 0-6 vs. Milwaukee and 6-3 vs. the Mets, Cardinals and Astros. Amazing.

 

We can control 10 numbers going off the magic number this week

 

Monday - 1

Tuesday - 2

Wednesday - 2

Thursday - 2

Friday - 1

Saturday - 1

Sunday - 1

 

Win today, and 2/3 vs. Milwaukee and this weekend we would need 2 wins vs. St. Louis, or 1 win and 1 Milwaukee loss to clinch at home. I really hope we can clinch on the field this year. Actually one of the funny thoughts I had when Z was being mobbed by his teammates last night is that they may be doing this exact same thing within a week to celebrate something much more awesome.

[bukie]

The Cubs have a 1 in 1100 chance of missing the postseason.

The Cardinals still have about a 1 in 24000 chance of winning the division, though.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

The Cubs have a 1 in 1100 chance of missing the postseason.

The Cardinals still have about a 1 in 24000 chance of winning the division, though.

so you're telling me there's a chance. YEAH!

[brinoch]

The Cubs have a 1 in 1100 chance of missing the postseason.

The Cardinals still have about a 1 in 24000 chance of winning the division, though.

so you're telling me there's a chance. YEAH!

 

Cue crazy Cardinal youtube guy.

[badger1679666666]

What are the magic numbers? 7 and 5?

[CubsBears29]

Magic numbers after Cubs win on 9/14;

 

NL HFA : 8

 

Division & Postseason : 6

 

 

Games remaining for teams in contention of those 3 numbers;

 

CUBS; 14

HOU; 13

NYM; 14

MIL; 12

PHI; 12

[santoforhall]

I now need reassurance that we aren't peaking too soon before the playoffs.

[UMFan83]

NL Central (Cubs magic number: 6)

Cubs 2-12...MIL 9-3 to tie (10-2 to win)

Cubs 3-11...MIL 10-2 (11-1)

Cubs 4-10...MIL 11-1 (12-0)

Cubs 5-9...MIL 12-0

Cubs 6-8...MIL (E)

 

To make playoffs: Cubs "head-to head"* w/ PHI and HOU (Cubs magic number: 6)

Cubs 3-11...PHI 10-2 to tie (11-1 to win)...HOU 13-1 (14-0)

Cubs 4-10...PHI 11-1 (12-0)...HOU 14-0

Cubs 5-9...PHI 12-0...HOU (E)

Cubs 6-9...PHI (E)

[loukycub]

remember when the cubs couldn't win a game on the road to save their lives?

 

the cubs have 39 road wins, second only to the angels with 43 and tied with philly and milwaukee.

[El Ridda]

remember when the cubs couldn't win a game on the road to save their lives?

 

the cubs have 39 road wins, second only to the angels with 43 and tied with philly and milwaukee.

 

 

Ha. Given the recent Wrigley North debate, that sentiment could very easily open a can of worms.

[loukycub]

remember when the cubs couldn't win a game on the road to save their lives?

 

the cubs have 39 road wins, second only to the angels with 43 and tied with philly and milwaukee.

 

 

Ha. Given the recent Wrigley North debate, that sentiment could very easily open a can of worms.

 

i wonder about how they feel about wrigley south (atlanta) and wrigley ohio (cincinnati)?

[Guest]

remember like... a week ago when half the board was all 'WE'RE ABOUT TO BE ONLY 3 1/2 GAMES UP AND FALLING AHHHHHHHHHHHHH"

 

Joe Sheehan does:

 

Prospectus Today[/url]"]With all this in mind... are you still panicking, Cubs fans?

 

It was just a few days ago that long-suffering supporters of the North Siders were staking out windowsills and rooftops, looking for a hard place to land. The team was playing poorly, their lead in the NL Central was dwindling, and the top two starters in their rotation were nursing owies. In my chat last week, I received a number of requests for reassurance from Chicagoans who couldn't accept the fact that their team was a post-season lock.

 

Then the Brewers started losing... and losing... and losing.... Then last Thursday, Rich Harden returned from a two-week respite to post six solid innings against the Cardinals in a 3-2 win, alleviating concerns about his health. And last night, Carlos Zambrano came back from his own break to throw his first career no-hitter against the Astros in Milwaukee. Zambrano, using mostly fastballs with his trademark good movement, struck out 10 and walked only one. He threw just 110 pitches on a night when he probably wasn't going to throw many more than that, and allowed just two balls out of the infield. It was an exceptional performance, made moreso by his poor performance and admitted shoulder issues in the weeks leading up to it. There's still no guarantee that Zambrano is ready for another seven starts, but his effectiveness is no longer in question, only his health.

 

The last five days should put an end to Cubs fans angst. Their magic number is seven over the Brewers and six over the Astros. Their chance of missing the postseason is right in line with the chance that Bristol Palin's baby grows up to be the president. Of Lehman Brothers. The next two weeks are about sorting out the last few roster spots (Dear Lou: no one needs 11 pitchers for a best-of-anything with multiple off days), making sure Zambrano and Harden are rested and healthy, and abandoning the idea that Micah Hoffpauir is a major league right fielder. Hey, I didn't say there weren't still concerns.

[Cubs 32]

Haha.

 

NL Central (Cubs magic number: 4)

Cubs 0-13...MIL 8-3 to tie (9-2 to win)

Cubs 1-12...MIL 9-2 to tie (10-1)

Cubs 2-11...MIL 10-1 (11-0)

Cubs 3-10...MIL 11-0

Cubs 4-9...MIL (E)

[CubsBears29]

Haha.

 

NL Central (Cubs magic number: 4)

Cubs 0-13...MIL 8-3 to tie (9-2 to win)

Cubs 1-12...MIL 9-2 to tie (10-1)

Cubs 2-11...MIL 10-1 (11-0)

Cubs 3-10...MIL 11-0

Cubs 4-9...MIL (E)

 

Or much simpler;

 

Cubs and Brewers have 2 games remaining vs each other in Wrigley tomorrow and Thursday:

 

2-0 Brewers = M#: 4

1-1 finish = M#: 2

2-0 Cubs = Brewers (& everyone else) eliminated from divisional race

 

 

If the Cubs can beat Sheets tomorrow night, you realllly gotta like the chances of ending all the suspense on Thursday, where its Bush vs Harden.

[UMFan83]

Haha.

 

NL Central (Cubs magic number: 4)

Cubs 0-13...MIL 8-3 to tie (9-2 to win)

Cubs 1-12...MIL 9-2 to tie (10-1)

Cubs 2-11...MIL 10-1 (11-0)

Cubs 3-10...MIL 11-0

Cubs 4-9...MIL (E)

 

Or much simpler;

 

Cubs and Brewers have 2 games remaining vs each other in Wrigley tomorrow and Thursday:

 

2-0 Brewers = M#: 4

1-1 finish = M#: 2

2-0 Cubs = Brewers (& everyone else) eliminated from divisional race

 

 

If the Cubs can beat Sheets tomorrow night, you realllly gotta like the chances of ending all the suspense on Thursday, where its Bush vs Harden.

 

Parra not Bush

[Cubs 32]

Parra not Bush

 

Len mentioned on the telecast tonight that Bush was going Thursdsy instead of Parra.

 

http://milwaukee.brewers.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080916&content_id=3488160&vkey=news_mil&fext=.jsp&c_id=mil

 

CHICAGO -- New Brewers manager Dale Sveum didn't waste any time making changes.

Among Sveum's moves Tuesday, when he took the reigns from Ned Yost for the remaining 12 games of the season:

 

• He bounced left-hander Manny Parra from the rotation after a series of inconsistent starts. Right-hander Dave Bush moved up a day and will start Thursday's series finale in Chicago on short rest, and long reliever Seth McClung will rejoin the rotation to start Friday in Cincinnati.

[Bull]

Thread title change?

[UMFan83]

Parra not Bush

 

Len mentioned on the telecast tonight that Bush was going Thursdsy instead of Parra.

 

http://milwaukee.brewers.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080916&content_id=3488160&vkey=news_mil&fext=.jsp&c_id=mil

 

CHICAGO -- New Brewers manager Dale Sveum didn't waste any time making changes.

Among Sveum's moves Tuesday, when he took the reigns from Ned Yost for the remaining 12 games of the season:

 

• He bounced left-hander Manny Parra from the rotation after a series of inconsistent starts. Right-hander Dave Bush moved up a day and will start Thursday's series finale in Chicago on short rest, and long reliever Seth McClung will rejoin the rotation to start Friday in Cincinnati.

 

Haha, I know Parra's been bad lately, but making Dave Bush pitch on short rest doesn't seem like the answer.