GO DODGERS!

[beercats2000]

That is all. Carry on.

[BigbadB]

There's enough ex-Cubs on that roster that I don't see the harm in cheering the Dodgers. Plus, the wife likes the Dodgers about as much as she likes the Cubs.

 

The Dodgers GM definitely outclassed Hendry this past offseason. Got Nomar AND Furcal. Wouldn't let us have Milton Bradley. So on and so forth.

 

The Dodgers are also set to run away with that division for the next umpteen years.

[SouthSideRyan]

There's enough ex-Cubs on that roster that I don't see the harm in cheering the Dodgers. Plus, the wife likes the Dodgers about as much as she likes the Cubs.

 

The Dodgers GM definitely outclassed Hendry this past offseason. Got Nomar AND Furcal. Wouldn't let us have Milton Bradley. So on and so forth.

 

The Dodgers are also set to run away with that division for the next umpteen years.

 

The Diamondbacks feel differently.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

There's enough ex-Cubs on that roster that I don't see the harm in cheering the Dodgers. Plus, the wife likes the Dodgers about as much as she likes the Cubs.

 

The Dodgers GM definitely outclassed Hendry this past offseason. Got Nomar AND Furcal. Wouldn't let us have Milton Bradley. So on and so forth.

 

The Dodgers are also set to run away with that division for the next umpteen years.

 

The Diamondbacks feel differently.

 

Those two teams should be fun to watch for the next half decade.

[Drew Doughty]

There's enough ex-Cubs on that roster that I don't see the harm in cheering the Dodgers. Plus, the wife likes the Dodgers about as much as she likes the Cubs.

 

The Dodgers GM definitely outclassed Hendry this past offseason. Got Nomar AND Furcal. Wouldn't let us have Milton Bradley. So on and so forth.

 

The Dodgers are also set to run away with that division for the next umpteen years.

 

The Diamondbacks feel differently.

 

I'll still take the Dodgers.

[PrimeTime]

AND they got Julio Lugo......Enough Said...

[reggiemiller rules]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

[Drew Doughty]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

[Catman61]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

 

You think the REDS are going to pass them up to win the division?

 

:lol:

[Banedon]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

 

You think the REDS are going to pass them up to win the division?

 

:lol:

 

Possibly, though admittedly it doesn't look good at the moment. :(

[thedaymen]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

I think the best chance a team in the NL has to beat the Mets is in a five game series. If your goal is a WS, you're best bet is to get the Mets early and get them out.

 

Of course, all of that is contingent on Pedro and Glavine. Mets aren't going to the WS with El Duque, Trachsel and John Maine heading their rotation.

[reggiemiller rules]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

 

You think the REDS are going to pass them up to win the division?

 

:lol:

 

Possibly, though admittedly it doesn't look good at the moment. :(

 

No I dont think the Reds will catch the Cards. But if the Phillies win the WC the Mets cant play them, and if the Dodgers have the better record the Cards have to play the Mets first.

[Catman61]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

 

You think the REDS are going to pass them up to win the division?

 

:lol:

 

Possibly, though admittedly it doesn't look good at the moment. :(

 

No I dont think the Reds will catch the Cards. But if the Phillies win the WC the Mets cant play them, and if the Dodgers have the better record the Cards have to play the Mets first.

 

Which has zero to do with the question I was answering re "who says the Cards are a lock for the playoffs."

[Catman61]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

 

You think the REDS are going to pass them up to win the division?

 

:lol:

 

Possibly, though admittedly it doesn't look good at the moment. :(

 

The Reds are 3 out on the win side and 6 out on the loss side, best case scenario they are 4 games out after today with 28 games to play.

 

Through 27 games in Aug the Cardinals are 12-15 (.444) if the Cards just stay at that .444 win percent over their final 31 games the Reds have to go 18-10 (.643) to pass them.

 

If the Cardinals play basically .500 the final month, the Reds have to win at a .714 clip (20-8 ) to pass them. Now factor in that using current W-L record the Cardinals play 28 of their final 31 games vs teams under .500 and that of the Reds final 28 games, 12 are vs teams still in the WC hunt.

 

Thats a pretty tough row to hoe.

[Banedon]

I hope the Dodgers start losing. If they keep winning and the Phillies win the WC. The Cards are stuck playing the Mets the first round.

 

who says the cards are a lock for the playoffs?

 

You think the REDS are going to pass them up to win the division?

 

:lol:

 

Possibly, though admittedly it doesn't look good at the moment. :(

 

The Reds are 3 out on the win side and 6 out on the loss side, best case scenario they are 4 games out after today with 28 games to play.

 

Through 27 games in Aug the Cardinals are 12-15 (.444) if the Cards just stay at that .444 win percent over their final 31 games the Reds have to go 18-10 (.643) to pass them.

 

If the Cardinals play basically .500 the final month, the Reds have to win at a .714 clip (20-8 ) to pass them. Now factor in that using current W-L record the Cardinals play 28 of their final 31 games vs teams under .500 and that of the Reds final 28 games, 12 are vs teams still in the WC hunt.

 

Thats a pretty tough row to hoe.

 

The Reds have 13 games left against Pittsburgh and the Cubs. STL has 3 against Pitt, none against the Cubs. I agree, the Reds have put themselves in a tough spot, but too call the Cards a lock is overstating it.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Is that avatar big enough, catman?

[Slugger_16]

Holy crap, Catman. :lol:

[Catman61]

Is that avatar big enough, catman?

 

major oopsie, I didn't realize how BIG it was til I submitted it then looked at it. I was like @$#% thats too #$%& big! :oops:

[wolf stansson]

There's enough ex-Cubs on that roster that I don't see the harm in cheering the Dodgers. Plus, the wife likes the Dodgers about as much as she likes the Cubs.

 

The Dodgers GM definitely outclassed Hendry this past offseason. Got Nomar AND Furcal. Wouldn't let us have Milton Bradley. So on and so forth.

 

The Dodgers are also set to run away with that division for the next umpteen years.

 

The Diamondbacks feel differently.

 

I'll still take the Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks are ridiculously loaded with talent. The only reason I'd take the Dodgers is because I have more faith in their GM and their payroll.

[Catman61]

The Reds have 13 games left against Pittsburgh and the Cubs. STL has 3 against Pitt, none against the Cubs. I agree, the Reds have put themselves in a tough spot, but too call the Cards a lock is overstating it.

 

The Reds are a combined .500 vs the Cubs & Pirates (5-7 vs Cubs, 6-4 vs Pirates). CAN the Reds win the division? Until they are mathmatically eliminated yes but really the Cards would have to LOSE the division for the Reds to finish ahead of them. Lock? Is there really any such thing? Put it another way, what kind of odds would it take for you to bet against the Cardinals winning the division? 2-1? 3-1 5-1? 10-1?

 

Under LaRussa, the Cardinals have never had a losing record in Sep when they had a winning record at the end of Aug. The worst record they had in those years was 13-13 in 2003. Supposing the Cards lose tonight, a .500 record (15-15) to the end of the season puts the Reds in a position to have to win 19 of 28 (.679) to win the division. What makes you think that the Cardinals will end up with fewer than 85 wins (ie .500 to finish the season) and the Reds will finish with at least 1 more win than the Cardinals? It may not be a "LOCK" but it is pretty darn close so no it isn't overstating it.

 

Alan Schwarz did a study looking at the relation between the standings at Jul 31 and the final standings. Of the teams 4 games back at Jul 31, just 2 or 5% finished in 1st and that was with 2 months remaining not just 1. It is a POSSIBILITY but the PROBABLITIES are not good

 

 

todays Baseball Prospectus playoff odds have the Cardinals division odds at better than 81%, the Reds at about 11% and the Astros at about 7%

[goonys evil twin]

The Reds have 13 games left against Pittsburgh and the Cubs. STL has 3 against Pitt, none against the Cubs. I agree, the Reds have put themselves in a tough spot, but too call the Cards a lock is overstating it.

 

todays Baseball Prospectus playoff odds have the Cardinals division odds at better than 81%, the Reds at about 11% and the Astros at about 7%

 

Isn't that the point, they aren't a lock. 81% is a nice number, but it's not 99%.

[Catman61]

The Reds have 13 games left against Pittsburgh and the Cubs. STL has 3 against Pitt, none against the Cubs. I agree, the Reds have put themselves in a tough spot, but too call the Cards a lock is overstating it.

 

todays Baseball Prospectus playoff odds have the Cardinals division odds at better than 81%, the Reds at about 11% and the Astros at about 7%

 

Isn't that the point, they aren't a lock. 81% is a nice number, but it's not 99%.

 

 

Hmmm, 81% or 11%, better than 4 out of 5 or essentially 1 out of 10

 

Oh and the TOTAL playoff odds for the Cards is over 85% including the WC odds of 4%

 

Perhaps you would like to make a straight up $100 bet with me? No? Why not?

[Drew Doughty]

There's enough ex-Cubs on that roster that I don't see the harm in cheering the Dodgers. Plus, the wife likes the Dodgers about as much as she likes the Cubs.

 

The Dodgers GM definitely outclassed Hendry this past offseason. Got Nomar AND Furcal. Wouldn't let us have Milton Bradley. So on and so forth.

 

The Dodgers are also set to run away with that division for the next umpteen years.

 

The Diamondbacks feel differently.

 

I'll still take the Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks are ridiculously loaded with talent. The only reason I'd take the Dodgers is because I have more faith in their GM and their payroll.

 

The Dodgers are arguably more loaded with talent. Plus they have more young pitching talent, don't they? Not sure on that one.

[goonys evil twin]

The Reds have 13 games left against Pittsburgh and the Cubs. STL has 3 against Pitt, none against the Cubs. I agree, the Reds have put themselves in a tough spot, but too call the Cards a lock is overstating it.

 

todays Baseball Prospectus playoff odds have the Cardinals division odds at better than 81%, the Reds at about 11% and the Astros at about 7%

 

Isn't that the point, they aren't a lock. 81% is a nice number, but it's not 99%.

 

 

Hmmm, 81% or 11%, better than 4 out of 5 or essentially 1 out of 10

 

Oh and the TOTAL playoff odds for the Cards is over 85% including the WC odds of 4%

 

Perhaps you would like to make a straight up $100 bet with me? No? Why not?

 

Are you ignorant or just being obtuse.

 

The quote was not a lock. Of course they are the clear favorite. They just aren't a lock.

[SouthSideRyan]

The Reds have 13 games left against Pittsburgh and the Cubs. STL has 3 against Pitt, none against the Cubs. I agree, the Reds have put themselves in a tough spot, but too call the Cards a lock is overstating it.

 

todays Baseball Prospectus playoff odds have the Cardinals division odds at better than 81%, the Reds at about 11% and the Astros at about 7%

 

Isn't that the point, they aren't a lock. 81% is a nice number, but it's not 99%.

 

 

Hmmm, 81% or 11%, better than 4 out of 5 or essentially 1 out of 10

 

Oh and the TOTAL playoff odds for the Cards is over 85% including the WC odds of 4%

 

Perhaps you would like to make a straight up $100 bet with me? No? Why not?

 

Is 1 in 5 shot of blowing it worthy of laughing like an ass?