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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    One of the quickest things to matter in a new season is going to be YoY velocity changes. This is stupid early, but here's every pitcher on the team that's thrown so far. Pitcher - '23 velo / '22 velo Stroman - 91.7 / 92.9 Steele - 92.3 / 92.4 Taillon - 94.3 / 94.1 Assad - 94.3 / 93.0 Fulmer - 95.1 / 94.3 Thompson - 93.4 / 93.8 Leiter - 90.9 / 91.2 Boxberger - 93.0 / 92.8 Alzolay - 96.8 / 95.0 Merryweather - 96.4 / 97.4 Rucker - 95.5 / 94.9 Alzolay is the clearest positive. If he's going to be sitting 97 permanently he will be the permanent closer within a few weeks. Assad too, though his coming out party already happened in the WBC. One other I'll note though is Steele, his velo being flat while pitching in those conditions might mean he's really added some juice to his fastball. Stroman and Merryweather are the only guys down noticeably. I don't love Stroman being down, because he got warmed up for the WBC I wouldn't expect him to e.g. be going through dead-arm. Merryweather hopefully it was a one-off, because if he's not throwing absolute gas he shouldn't be long for the roster.
  2. Bertz
    Yeah Assad definitely needs to do some pruning, which should hopefully help whatever pitches he keeps. It'll be interesting to see where his pitches net out with the newfound velocity. Last year the pitch modeling data at Fangraphs said that he had 5 below average but playable pitches, and then a garbage change up. The very preliminary data on Saturday likes the slider and sinker as above average pitches now, but gave everything else only a modest bump. This data breaks out of the small sample size shackles really quickly, but I'd still probably like to see him get 10ish innings under his belt before making any sweeping judgements. My inkling though is to dump the cutter and the change.
  3. Bertz
    I believe that K pitch was the sweeper we've been hearing so much about?
  4. Bertz
    I was one of like 3 people here who actually wanted Swanson, but I've still been pleasantly surprised. Mainly, I didn't know he had so much opposite field juice. Dansby's big thing is that despite fairly average power, he gets quite good power production. A big part of that is hitting everything in the air, but I had also assumed the balls he actually did damage on were all pulled. But he's already stung several the opposite way. The other is I didn't expect a ton of highlight reel plays on defense. I expected more of a "takes care of absolutely everything he should" deal kind of like Nico.
  5. Bertz
    Jed Hoyer after every Matt Mervis PA
  6. Bertz
    Here's to 2023 being the year where Caleb has his 2021 command and his 2022 stuff
  7. Bertz
    Estrada sitting 92-94 is not great, though given the weather and calendar I assume not especially alarming.
  8. Bertz
    Williams' velo was down in the WBC too. It's April 1st so not a red alert deal, but I would be moderately worried if I was a Brewers fan.
  9. Bertz
    I think it'll be fine when the weather warms up. The problem is aside from Rios and Wisdom who are one-dimensional power goofs, there's nobody you'd expect to be able to hit it out regularly in these cold April games. And it's, even when things are going well, not going to be a great OBP lineup.
  10. Bertz
    Deluzio or Tauchman would have caught that. Even when Seiya is back we're missing something by not having a 4th competent defensive outfielder
  11. Bertz
    I don't love 3 man booths generally, but Girardi as the 3rd with Boog and JD works well IMO
  12. Bertz
    I know none of us take Raisin for granted, but he was on Assad turning into a thing at least a month before anyone else last year.
  13. Bertz
    I was going to mock the fans at the park for getting excited about that ball and somehow it got out?!? Only hot 97 and in this weather?
  14. Bertz
    I'd guess he could go another in a vacuum but in a tie game and 3rd time through he gets the pull.
  15. Bertz
    Do we know if spin is impacted by weather? Makes logical sense but never actually seen it mentioned. His velo being here in this weather has me hopeful he'll get a small bump from where he was last year.
  16. Bertz
    5 from Steele 2 from Assad 1 from Merryweather 1 from Adbert In this weather that's a guaranteed shutout
  17. Bertz
    Bellinger looks about as comfortable in this cold as Soler used to
  18. Bertz
    For those not watching
  19. Bertz
    HOLY HORSEFEATHERING HORSEFEATHERS
  20. Bertz
    What a play by Steele. I would have only expected Stro to pull that off among our guys
  21. Bertz
    Whatever issues Steele had in the first were clearly temporary
  22. Bertz
    Post WBC velo bump Assad gets slapped with a 45 FV
  23. Bertz
    What a night for Nelly. All 5 batted balls north of 90 MPH, 3 of them north of 105 (!!) and maybe most notable for him zero swings and misses
  24. Bertz
  25. Bertz
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