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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Let's horsefeathering go!
  2. Bertz
    Ummmmm if Anthony Kay wants to average 96 I might need to get excited about him
  3. Bertz
    I think mine is 1. PCA 2. Davis 3. Alcantara 4. Wesneski 5. Wicks 6. Canario 7. Caissie 8. Horton 9. Mervis 10. Hernandez 11. Brown 12. Made 13. Ballesteros 14. Triantos 15. Ferris 16. Kilian 17. Estrada 18. Palencia 19. Amaya 20. Hodge I probably ought to discount Canario more, but my POV is I'm going to wait until he's clearly diminished while back on the field before making the move. Kilian is the guy who I'd be most likely to bump up multiple spots very quickly. If he gets back to throwing strikes I could quickly argue him up to 9 and on the positive side of that tier-break.
  4. Bertz
    Merryweather looked great. The run was purely from bad defense
  5. Bertz
    My totally unbiased opinion (because I'm not a Ben Baldwin hater- he does some good stuff) This chart is total trash. He makes directionally "accurate" claims, but they are just claims that other analytical trade charts have done much better. It's not enough to just be directionally accurate when you're so far over in your end conclusions and values. My Fuller responses to it: Interesting, so this analysis is largely the football equivalent of $/WAR leading you to wanting two 1.5 WAR outfielders for the same price as one 3 WAR one? That's one of the interesting things about where the Bears are at. If they had either the money or the draft picks IMO it'd be very clear that they just need to plug as many holes as possible. But because they have both, I do think they need to do a few things that are maybe a bit SABR-unfriendly. Maybe that's paying market rate for a RB, maybe it's not completely maximizing their trade down to prioritize coming down with a Carter or Anderson, etc. But while he should mostly be responsible and think long term, Poles should take a couple swings at maximizing impact over efficiency.
  6. Bertz
    Very mathy, but TLDR is we WAY overrate the value of a top 5 pick for a non-QB. This would tell us to focus more on the Raiders or Panthers even if it means passing on Carter and Anderson. I think Raw's generally been on this page all offseason?
  7. Bertz
  8. Bertz
    Taillon looked damn good that first inning. I thinknthat might have been the sweeper he got Kwan with?
  9. Bertz
    I saw on BleacherNation this AM but hadn't otherwise seen it discussed that Tucker Barnhart is planning on ditching switch hitting this year. He already had pretty stark splits: 77 wRC+ vs. righties the last three years compared to 56 wRC+ vs lefties. If dropping switch hitting makes those more stark, something more like 85/40, I think that's a worthwhile tradeoff to get those vs. RHP numbers up closer to respectability. I do wonder what the plan is for Gomes/Barnhart. Are they going to be largely platooned to maximize what little offense there is, or is each guy going to own the relationship with 2-3 SPs and time behind the plate will be doled out that way.
  10. Bertz
    This is one of the first times I can remember where both split squad teams were reasonably interesting instead of all of the fun players of course being on the non-televised game.
  11. Bertz
    Not bad.
  12. Bertz
    Cool, shorter game. Now I get to go spend my time, money and resources doing something other than consuming the MLB product. Again. What’s the business proposition in all this? It seems like an absolute money loser and adding no new fans. If you don't think shaving 30+ minutes of dead time off of every game doesn't help MLB's positioning as an entertainment product I think you're alone on that island. :dontknow:
  13. Bertz
    18 runs in 3 hours and 6 minutes. This thing is friggin amazing.
  14. Bertz
    16 runs and counting and this game is still on track to end in under 3:30. Really awesome stuff
  15. Bertz
    My boy Yonathan with the RBI. Definitely gonna see MLB this year.
  16. Bertz
    I just came here to say the exact same thing
  17. Bertz
    I'd guess it's just those 6, but as starters Stro, Sampson, and Elias each go two?
  18. Bertz
  19. Bertz
    Yeah, count me in as a pitch clock fan
  20. Bertz
  21. Bertz
    It's possible this is true, but I personally have not heard it from anyone but bears fans I listen to a lot of sports radio. I have no idea if there's a tweet out there that said it, but Matt Miller, for one, said on the Score that he'd have Fields #1 in this draft, easily. This is the closest I can find to proof of that in under 30 seconds. I can vouch for having heard Nate Tice say it too on a podcast. (calling him an NFL scout is a stretch) Matt Miller definitely said it in writing too
  22. Bertz
  23. Bertz
    I'm going to be such a sucker for any positive news about Bellinger. I know it's overly reductive but it really feels like he's the key cog on the position player side. If he throws up a 120ish wRC+ it drastically changes the complexion of the lineup. Like here's a sample lineup, with everyone at their projected wRC+s plus that bump for Bellinger: LF - Happ (113) RF - Suzuki (131) SS - Swanson (108) CF - Bellinger (120) DH - Mancini (106) 1B - Hosmer (108) 3B - Wisdom (101) or Morel (99) 2B - Hoerner (104) C - Gomes (90)
  24. Bertz
    Depending on your perspective either a very fun or very depressing surprise at #32
  25. Bertz
    https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/arm-strength?type=player&year=2022&minThrows=100&pos=arm_2b&team= 5 guys last year had worse arms than Madrigal at 2B and also played a meaningful amount at 3rd: DJ Lemahieu Wilmer Flores Josh Harrison Brandon Drury Jon Berti Lemahieu, Harrison, and Berti played well at 3rd, Flores was okay, and Drury sucked. Expanding the sample a bit, Brendan Donavan (good at 3B) and Max Muncy (bad at 3B) throw only smidge harder than Madrigal.
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