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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
  2. Bertz
  3. Bertz
    Cody Bellinger's rebound, or lack thereof, is probably slated to be the biggest story on the position player side in the first half this year. We probably won't be able to say anything definitive until closer to Memorial Day, but let's look at the early evidence for each side after a handful of games The Bad - The topline results aren't much different from last year so far running a 79 wRC+ - Bellinger's currently sporting Madrigal-ian exit velocities, averaging 86 and topping out at 102 The Good - The walk and K numbers are basically back where we'd hope they would be at 11.5% and 19.2% respectively. This is backed underneath the hood by lower chase rates and higher contact rates - There’s likely some early bad BABIP luck. His xwOBA paints the picture of something more like a 95 wRC+ - Bellinger is hitting everything in the air (22.2% GB rate!), but not popping the ball up at all The Interesting - Bellinger is currently 0-fer against lefties, but has a 103 wRC+ and a 14.5% K-rate against righties IMO there's been much more good than bad so far. I assume Cody was given some heavy assurances of everyday playing time, and that's fine, but I'd like to get one of the RHH outfielders up from Iowa to spell him against certain lefties sooner rather than later.
  4. Bertz
    It's a winning streak Two wins in a row for the Cubs They won yesterday thanks to strong pitching and fantastic defense. It's a recipe for a real This afternoon, Justin Steele goes for the Cubs. He's a Mississippi boy, a connoisseur of Country Music Opposing him is Martin Perez, an 11 year vet who finally had his first big year last year and got paid Against the lefty, David Ross is probably going to start two catchers, which will surely lead to a healthy reaction from the fanbase Go Cubs
  5. Bertz
    I think whether Assad stays up after Hughes is healthy is going to be a sign of how much of this was by design or more of a "these are the guys we have, might as well use them" deal. Fulmer is definitely the most surprising. It'll be really interesting to see how often he does what he did yesterday. It does have a lot of benefits though. You touched on guys being much less likely to pitch back-to-backs, which I'd guess is #1 by a pretty wide margin. Days in a row for a reliever is akin to times through the order for a starter. And then yeah, Smyly and Steele were '5 and Dive' types last year. Smyly's far enough into his career that we know it's permanent. There's hope for Steele, but still the safe thing is to assume that'll continue for him as well. Wesneski probably has a pitch mix to not be limited in that way, but only time will tell. But 5 IP from the starter, 2-3 from a complimentary longman, and then hand it off to your late inning guys for the save is likely a good formula. I wish we had a lefty who could do this too. Maybe Elias could be that guy? I'd give everyone a few more turns through the rotation, make sure we're past the early season injury danger zone, and then start using him this way down at Iowa.
  6. Bertz
    What an awesome pitching day, even with Iowa being pretty lame.
  7. Bertz
  8. Bertz
    This is not disappointing
  9. Bertz
    Fulmer's velo back to where it was in '21 bodes well for his viability as a legit closer
  10. Bertz
    Cole Ragans sounds like the main character in a Justified knock-off that's being very careful to not get sued for IP Infringement
  11. Bertz
    The one negative about Swanson so far is he's put the ball on the ground A LOT. You take it with everything else he's done so far, but if the contact goes south while this sticks around.....
  12. Bertz
    Me: He's definitely gonna give up a run here Stro:
  13. Bertz
    How the hell do you give him 1B on that? Even if the ump doesn't notice he's got a foot out of the box, he got in the way of the ball
  14. Bertz
  15. Bertz
    Pretty surprised at Wisdom instead of Madrigal against Eovaldi.
  16. Bertz
    Did we know that whatever is wrong with Devers is 60 Day IL worthy? Honestly though depending on what his injury is not the worst thing in the world. What he needs most is to get jacked so he can throw harder, in terms of like pitch ability and stuff he's way ahead of the curve already.
  17. Bertz
    Neither has options, I'd assume Rucker and Madrigal. Maybe Assad on the pitching side now that Keegan's right
  18. Bertz
    Probably puts both guys back in Chicago during the Mariners series, definitely before the Dodgers.
  19. Bertz
    Wet conditions washed out Wednesday's game Now today's game is on Apple TV+ Which is weird because I thought those games were only on Up for the Rangers is Nate Eovaldi. He USED to be a piece of horsefeathers, but thankfully For the Cubs it's Marcus Stroman, who is terminally online and tends to overshare Win today so some suburban dads can get lit at Sluggers Go Cubs
  20. Bertz
    Riley Thompson in front of Statcast for the first time, horsefeathers year
  21. Bertz
    What's the protocol here, do I start a new thread or do we repurpose this one?
  22. Bertz
    Ryan Jensen is shoving through 4. 1 walk to 5 Ks and a ton of groundballs
  23. Bertz
    Manny Rodriguez sitting 98 that outing. His velo coming all the way back for good would be pretty fun
  24. Bertz
    I was gonna try and wait at least through the Texas series before diving into this, but this bears watching. With his power, going from horrendous contact to even just pretty bad would probably be enough to lift him from fringey starter to quality 1st division type.
  25. Bertz
    Great writeups. This part of the system is maybe actually the funnest part of the list. Having guys of this caliber outside of the org's top 10 is something really only a few other teams like the Rays, Guardians, and Dodgers can boast. Like heading into 2019, Aramis Ademan was our #3 prospect and a 50 FV at Fangraphs, and his resume wasn't that different from Made's. If you were to ask me for a pick to click this year in the org on the position player sjde I think Moises would be the guy. The history of 18 year olds who can hit in full season ball is strong. I would give him a very short leash defensively because the ceiling seems quite limited there while the bat seems really special.
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