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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Yeah I feel pretty good about where the team is at right now. White knuckling the bullpen a bit until Maton and Palencia are back, but that seems to hopefully be a short term problem. With the *very* notable exception of Horton I generally feel as good or better about each guy on the pitching staff than I did coming into the season. And at the plate I'm not feeling like any of the guys struggling are going through anything more than just a slump? Mayyybe Busch? Things are going well on the farm too, so that also gives me some confidence that reinforcements can be acquired if need be (though obviously temper expectations for what level of big game hunting Jed will have the appetite for).
  2. Did we seriously luck into a situation where Matt Shaw got nothing but routine fly balls for three weeks while he learned RF and he managed to get good at the position right about the time he actually start getting tested?
  3. Really really good win. Obviously Nola/Rea is a mismatch and the bullpen was pretty shredded. Winning *AND* only using Milner/Martin? Huge.
  4. Yeah I think as (primarily) a lefty Pedro's an easier complement to the starters than Shaw is. Also worth noting that we have two full time OFers and Conforto slated for FA. Plus hopefully some Mo Baller DH at bats get traded for Mo Baller catcher at bats. You're not backfilling all of that lost playing time internally but there's playing time to be had for some of the kids.
  5. That is an insanely impressive to make that call two years ago. Like Pedro had a good '23 at Myrtle but damn. Also goes to show how much of *gestures* all this is superseded by age relative to league. We're seeing it here, we're seeing it with Mo. Guys who performed super young for every league they've been in continuing to perform up the ladder despite not having the loudest toolsets.
  6. FWIW, Z-Contact numbers for various recent Cubs at AAA and MLB PCA ('23/'24) - 79.8% / 77.2% Caissie - 82.7% / 79.3% Mo Baller - 86.4% / 83.7% Matt Shaw - 85.9% / 86.4% Worth noting that PCA since the start of last year is at 84%, and Mo/Caissie's numbers are better this year than they were in their cups of coffee last year. So like, a 3 point drop is basically the high end of what you could expect, and generally it's less than that as guys get their feet under them. Pedro Ramirez at 95.2% is elite. Would rank 4th in MLB last season behind Nico. Even if you lop 3 full points off hes still ~90th percentile, in line with guys like Jung Hoo Lee and Jose Ramirez. Pedro is an absolute data darling.
  7. Agreed. If he was older I'd move him up, but as a 19 year old I'd like him to do the whole "go into a slump and pull yourself out of it" deal. Even if we have to stretch a bit to call something a slump for him at that level.
  8. Good, I never really heard a decent argument for why he didn't start there to begin with. Ayers presumably gets bumped to Tenn as well? Not sure if anything else feels all that pressing.
  9. With all the guys on the IL this bullpen can't really reach good shape currently, but it's particularly rough tomorrow. Ideally they bash Nola's skull in, otherwise though a clunker from Rea (that, crucially, does not keep him from going 5) wouldn't be the worst thing in the world.
  10. 10 Whiffs through 3 for McGwire
  11. I assume this is why they swapped out Peterson for Meyers?
  12. The contact numbers are apocalyptic but yowza
  13. Hartshorn's double right before the Mathis dong brought his XBH:K ratio back to even
  14. Obviously not an option until he's had a few weeks to clear some rust off but he needs to be in the big league bullpen in the Ben Brown role sooner rather than later. And to be clear, I want him in that role in addition to Brown not instead of. "Out getters" baby!
  15. It pretty much had to be Martin or Hollowell. Martin was generally the most positively viewed of the ST NRIs (along with Snider, who after a brief return to form in early ST has had his velo leave him again). You'd prefer him come up in circumstances where he could hang out in low leverage for several weeks, but he'd be much less of a surprising breakout than Drew Pomeranz or Tyson Miller were at the time they got added to the pen.
  16. Oh for sure I know you're jusy passing it along Yeah the Dodgers are really instructive. They play moon baseball in the lower minors and so their youngest hitters are constantly getting glazed before reality starts to hit at AA. Glad to finally get some of that.
  17. Everyone complained incessantly when we had the softest tossing staff in the league. That was not wrong, but insulating ourselves (somewhat) from this nonsense was part of the calculus.
  18. Bad news for both SPs as each are pretty dong-prone. Also sounds like Corbin Martin is up to replace Palencia.
  19. Love what Ramirez is doing. but saying he has 65-70 grade power is pretty silly. Like yeah it's a .600+ SLG and a .300+ ISO but we're still firmly in SSS and it's an insanely hitter friendly league. The top end exit velo's are firmly average. And that's okay! Great contact, good patience, and average power is a hell of a combo.
  20. Do we have any indication on whether David Bracho is a thing? Especially as a 21 year old that's the type of dominant outing that is usually not an accident.
  21. Grant Kipp with 5 pretty stellar innings so far and pitch count where even this early in the year he might get a 6th
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