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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. FWIW, Z-Contact numbers for various recent Cubs at AAA and MLB PCA ('23/'24) - 79.8% / 77.2% Caissie - 82.7% / 79.3% Mo Baller - 86.4% / 83.7% Matt Shaw - 85.9% / 86.4% Worth noting that PCA since the start of last year is at 84%, and Mo/Caissie's numbers are better this year than they were in their cups of coffee last year. So like, a 3 point drop is basically the high end of what you could expect, and generally it's less than that as guys get their feet under them. Pedro Ramirez at 95.2% is elite. Would rank 4th in MLB last season behind Nico. Even if you lop 3 full points off hes still ~90th percentile, in line with guys like Jung Hoo Lee and Jose Ramirez. Pedro is an absolute data darling.
  2. Agreed. If he was older I'd move him up, but as a 19 year old I'd like him to do the whole "go into a slump and pull yourself out of it" deal. Even if we have to stretch a bit to call something a slump for him at that level.
  3. Good, I never really heard a decent argument for why he didn't start there to begin with. Ayers presumably gets bumped to Tenn as well? Not sure if anything else feels all that pressing.
  4. With all the guys on the IL this bullpen can't really reach good shape currently, but it's particularly rough tomorrow. Ideally they bash Nola's skull in, otherwise though a clunker from Rea (that, crucially, does not keep him from going 5) wouldn't be the worst thing in the world.
  5. 10 Whiffs through 3 for McGwire
  6. I assume this is why they swapped out Peterson for Meyers?
  7. The contact numbers are apocalyptic but yowza
  8. Hartshorn's double right before the Mathis dong brought his XBH:K ratio back to even
  9. Obviously not an option until he's had a few weeks to clear some rust off but he needs to be in the big league bullpen in the Ben Brown role sooner rather than later. And to be clear, I want him in that role in addition to Brown not instead of. "Out getters" baby!
  10. It pretty much had to be Martin or Hollowell. Martin was generally the most positively viewed of the ST NRIs (along with Snider, who after a brief return to form in early ST has had his velo leave him again). You'd prefer him come up in circumstances where he could hang out in low leverage for several weeks, but he'd be much less of a surprising breakout than Drew Pomeranz or Tyson Miller were at the time they got added to the pen.
  11. Oh for sure I know you're jusy passing it along Yeah the Dodgers are really instructive. They play moon baseball in the lower minors and so their youngest hitters are constantly getting glazed before reality starts to hit at AA. Glad to finally get some of that.
  12. Everyone complained incessantly when we had the softest tossing staff in the league. That was not wrong, but insulating ourselves (somewhat) from this nonsense was part of the calculus.
  13. Bad news for both SPs as each are pretty dong-prone. Also sounds like Corbin Martin is up to replace Palencia.
  14. Love what Ramirez is doing. but saying he has 65-70 grade power is pretty silly. Like yeah it's a .600+ SLG and a .300+ ISO but we're still firmly in SSS and it's an insanely hitter friendly league. The top end exit velo's are firmly average. And that's okay! Great contact, good patience, and average power is a hell of a combo.
  15. Do we have any indication on whether David Bracho is a thing? Especially as a 21 year old that's the type of dominant outing that is usually not an accident.
  16. Grant Kipp with 5 pretty stellar innings so far and pitch count where even this early in the year he might get a 6th
  17. Hopefully means this is a weeks injury and not a months injury Still gonna have to white knuckle it with the RHP section of the pen for a while. I suspect we see a lot of 2-3 inning saves from Brown and Assad.
  18. He's objectively worse from the right side and IMO his swing is kinda ugly. But when Happ really gets ahold of one right handed it's often an absolutely majestic dong.
  19. I'm also hoping that it being so last minute they didn't even get someone in the building to replace him for today's game is a sign that it was something they were hoping would just nag him for a few days.
  20. If he doesn't pitch himself into the top half of the first round Hunter Dietz feels very firmly like a Kantrovitz pick. You've got some helium, you've got a lengthy injury history, you've got the Arkansas factor.
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