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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    “I had some tightness in my wrist. And then, you know, as the game went on, it started to move into my forearm. And so, I just wanted to err on the cautious side and really not try to hurt anything else….I just wanted to be smart about it. I’ve been in this spot before, and I’ve taken the other route where kept going and it ends up being worse. And so, I just tried to make a mature decision and end it there.” No promises on how it turns out but short of a hot day where you could buy a cramp this as good of an answer as you could ask for.
  2. Bertz
    105 on a line. His one last night 101 with some loft. Dude is red hot right now.
  3. Bertz
    Taking care not to overreact too aggressively to anything in the first week, but a Will Sanders whos sits 94 feels like he's clearly a top 10 guy in the system?
  4. Bertz
    The wrist thing has me hopeful this is legitimately a forearm injury and not an elbow injury in disguise. 🤞
  5. Bertz
  6. Bertz
    The MiLB app says this game got banged
  7. Bertz
    If you want some copium, Wicks has had at least three IL stints for his forearm since he entered the org but his elbow hasn't popped yet. There is significant correlation on these things, but it's not 1:1.
  8. Bertz
    Even if we dodge this bullet It's probably a conversation worth having that we do broadly need to get more comfortable with this stuff. More velo in the rotation is going to lead to more elbows popping. We all want to get more juice in the rotation but this is the price.
  9. Bertz
    Hopefully this is an "abundance of caution" deal from a guy who's blown out his elbow before. But yeah we're on heighted TJ alert for the next few months regardless.
  10. Bertz
    Despite being on the road and Cleveland being a playoff team this feels like a series you should take 2/3? Their offense sucks, we're getting the back half of their rotation, and they're not seeing Taillon.
  11. Bertz
    I pounded the table for this for most of the offseason, that said I think the Matt Shaw situation materially changed things. Even when Seiya comes back, here's probably enough playing time for both of Shaw and Mo to play something approaching full time. Mo plays full time DH vs. RHP and Shaw plays DH-by-proxy against LHP and covers for non C/1B who needs a day off. Those last two bench spots are fighting for scraps. Conforto/Carlson pinch hitting for Shaw against tough split-heavy relievers, Carlson/Kingery getting a smattering of pinch running/defensive replacement work. I wouldn't want to have Kevin fight for scraps, and I don't want to pull back from Shaw or Mo unless they have lengthier struggles and prove we should pull back from them. What I would say is whatever modest expectations I had for Conforto and Carlson are dropping rapidly. I think after Seiya returns next week any future position player injuries I'd call up Alcantara. I also think that when we get to the summer if anyone has played themselves out of some playing time Kevin can potentially be up for good.
  12. Bertz
    I'm not a mechanics guy and haven't seen the guy in 6 months but pretty sure that's a much different swing than last year
  13. Bertz
    Hartshorn has not swung and missed a single time through 4 PAs
  14. Bertz
    The circumatances are different with all the repeaters but I don't think the Pelican scored their 7th run of the season until like the second week of May last year so I'm liking this vibe shift.
  15. Bertz
    Assad's velo was fantastic tonight. I'll be taking no further questions about his evening.
  16. Bertz
    I've noticed it tends to do that with really high ones. Alcantara had a couple that statcast lost last year.
  17. Bertz
    Annoyed Southisene is still at Myrtle vs. intrigued by him getting run at shortstop
  18. Bertz
    Just generally not loving the infield decisions for MB and SB
  19. Bertz
  20. Bertz
    He'd need to cut his groundball rate substantially without breaking anything else. Doesn't seem likely but at the rate he's developing....
  21. Bertz
    Stupidly early but Pedro Ramirez has a 90.5% contact rate and a 24.1% chase rate. For MLB comparison those are 99th percentile and 72nd percentile respectively. He also, if we cheat and look back to ST, has a 113 MPH max exit velocity, which is 69th percentile. Whatever Pedro did this winter worked because we increasingly appear to have some sort of Nico Hoerner / Steven Kwan hybrid on our hands
  22. Bertz
    Through 6 games Cubs Batters: 21.5% K, 13.2% BB Cubs Pitchers: 28.2% K, 8.8% BB
  23. Bertz
    Kevin Alcantara has - 13 balls in play this season - 7 hit 100+ MPH - 6 of THOSE are in the air - NONE of THOSE have a launch angle above 25 degrees (30+ is when you start getting into too high territory) It's 5 games. He's been in AAA for a bit. But this is still fun, exactly what you'd ask for.
  24. Bertz
    He would have been one of the top regression candidates you'd pick coming into this year and he's clearly saying ABSOLUTELY NOT
  25. Bertz
    Spin looks about the same. 2169 for the 4 seamer 2153 for the sinker. Although that's its own tell, from looking at a handful of other sinkerballers (Logan Webb, Luis Castillo, Kyle Hendricks) the difference is usually higher by a lot more, Logan Webb was a couple hundred for instance. So on a relative basis I'd say you're right it has a good bit more spin. The show tends to have damn near every pitch name available, and the way the make it matter is they use it is to break out which direction it moves. For instance if you look at a clock a running fastball would move towards 3 o clock, a 2-seamer towards 4 o clock, and a sinker towards 5 o clock. But realistically to your point those are all just variations of the same pitch.
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