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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. No Nico. Wouldn't be surprised if they give him until the Reds game Monday night.
  2. That's just because of Pete. In pretty much any org besides here or Boston he's a no doubt CF. This is what FG said about him over the offseason Here's MLB And here's Keith Law
  3. Do we know where Will Sanders is? Feels clearly injury at this point but curious about degree.
  4. It hasn't translated into boffo production yet but Mathis' peripheral numbers are sterling even after the jump to SB.
  5. I know he's not his brother but Alexis Hernandez is supposed to be relatively tooled up, right? Like if he starts producing we should get excited?
  6. I know the contact numbers have dropped into the danger zone, and AAA is very hitter friendly, but Kevin Alcantara is a 23 year old plus (plus plus?) defensive centerfielder and currently on a 54 homer pace. Like even if he's rookie year Christopher Morel at the plate the conversation feels a hell of a lot different when you remember that his glove is ~20 runs per year better?
  7. Triantos with his resurgence is another wrinkle to this conversation. Especially because skillset wise he's probably the guy among the four you'd first choose to fill the exact role Matt Shaw's currently in.
  8. Yeah Shaw's rest of season ZiPS projection right now is a 109 wRC+. Him being a 120 guy at maturity with +5 defense seems pretty reasonable. And that's to your point essentially Ian Happ. I'd also say that as a lefty Pedro is the easiest roster fit among the young infielders.
  9. Good, I prefer getting Palencia an outing at Iowa before coming up. You just know if they activated him straight off we'd immediately play a tight 1 run game today with no margin for rust
  10. Very true, I'm currently writing Steele and Brown into the 2027 rotation in pencil with Rea returning as the #6, but it wouldn't take a crazy set of circumstances for the rotation heading into the winter to be Cabrera, Rea, and the shrug emoji. I'm realllllly hoping Boyd takes the QO, that would make things a lot cleaner.
  11. IMO hard not to feel good with what we currently know running Boyd/Shota/Cabrera out there in a playoff series. That said we saw last year that there's no guarantee a guy doesn't stumble (Boyd) or go fully down (Horton) at like mile 26. You definitely go get a SP this summer. I'd probably lean towards someone with some control as opposed to the guy who's best *right now*. With Horton ostensibly dead you probably need at least two SPs this winter, maybe even three. Get some of that shopping done early, especially with all the uncertainty the CBA expiring is going to bring.
  12. I know some of the TV stuff changed mid-offseason and that surely affected payrolls, but I'll never understand why a team with such limited money to spend allocated nearly their entire FA budget to a guy whose shoulder is hamburger meat. Especially since they're consistently able to spin pitching straw into gold.
  13. Yeah there's probably some luck there. But there's some stuff that's not too: - They are above average at pulling fly balls. Not elite lack last year but still above average - It's generally a fast team that's aggressive on their feet, which nets you some extra bases (Shaw's double yesterday for instance) - Wrigley has I believe in aggregate played hitter friendly thus far. Obviously that's a knock on the repeatability of the offense's topline production, but on a team level any credit you take from the offense you have to equally give back to the pitching staff I'd guess if you de-lucked them they'd still be top 2 but closer to the Braves at 3 than the Dodgers at 1?
  14. The Cubs are leading baseball in hitter fWAR right now. It's basically a rounding error between them and the Dodgers, but there's a sizable gap before the Braves at #3.
  15. The Athletic makes it sound like the team is going to activate Palencia tomorrow and skip a rehab outing
  16. I am pretty skeptical that his profile can work in the big leagues, but Brett Bateman is having a surprisingly productive season and is totally age appropriate for AAA? But man there are essentially no big leaguers who look like him offensively. Cavan Biggio is probably closest. End of career Bobby Abreu when he'd lost all his power shows up on some leaderboards as well?
  17. More Lovich Through 3 PAs tonight hes seeing 4.36 pitches per plate appearance. I don't know where that would sit on an MLB leaderboard but it's high. Kyle Schwarber for his career for instance is 4.23. It's also why his strikeout numbers are so high despite only slightly elevated swing and miss.
  18. Speaking of dongsmiths with 3 PAs so far tonight Hartshorn is now at an even 100. No longer tiny sample size gotta offer a million caveats territory.
  19. Eli Lovich second day in a row with an opposite field dong
  20. It's irrational but honestly it feels like there's no in-between
  21. Matt Waldron sucks, but! - A 12-something ERA is ripe for regression - Knuckleballers are weird...I don't think we've faced one since pre-pandemic? - Taillon’s not exactly Cy Young Definitely feel much closer to good than great for this one.
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