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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. @Brock Beauchamp Can we add Ty Southisene and Kade Snell?
  2. Man I'm sure glad I'm not one of the dummies who spent the last few weeks horsefeathers talking Tucker
  3. He's a 23 year old with a little over a half season's worth of PAs under his belt. And as hot as he's been lately his full season batting line is still below league average. I don't think we're anywhere close to the point where a disservice is being done to him developmentally. Also I don't know if I fully buy Trueblood's "Busch optimized his swing to only hit RHP" thesis but I do think it's interesting that he finally got something approaching full playing time against lefties in July and then now he is in his his first prolonged funk of the season.
  4. It's pretty obvious at this point that the team is shielding Shaw from right handed sinkerballers. Pretty much every "why isn't Shaw starting" complaint the last few weeks has that in common.
  5. Wiggins is for real pitching, no fakeouts
  6. I am too, that said it would have been very easy to IL him this week and they didn't, so I'm hoping that's a positive sign.
  7. It would be a really good day for a blowout so that Horton and Brown could take all 9 and give the short relievers a breather
  8. Shaw's defense is actually pretty interesting because by the eye test he's pretty stellar, but Statcast hates him. Fangraphs has two defensive stats: one from Statcast and another called DRS. Statcast is purely automated, while DRS is based on people watching film and grading every play (very very similar to PFF grades in football). Statcast says he's been 3 runs worse than an average 3B this year, ranking 13th out of 16 qualified 3B. DRS has him at +9 runs, second in the league to only Ke'Bryan Hayes. Personally, I tend to trust Statcast completely in the outfield, while for infielders I think there's more nuance (tricky bounces, baserunning, etc.) and like to split the difference between Statcast and DRS. That'd put Shaw as a +6 3B. Well above average but not really in the Gold Glove discussion. That lines up with the eye test IMO.
  9. Kade Snell skipped the ACL and went straight to South Bend. He got his ass kicked his first week there, since then: .265/.419/.324, 124 wRC+, matching 20.9% K and BB rates Obviously needs to get to the power a bit more, but pretty fun. Would not berl surprised if he's next season's Jonny Long
  10. Connor Noland is shoving tonight He's an interesting one to watch this winter. He presumably gets a 40 man spot, but is he someone the team would ever trust giving a start to? Does he instead serve as the 3rd guy in a big SP trade?
  11. Yeah I would think even if Horton avoids the IL you'd do Assad Saturday and Horton Sunday
  12. There's more to offense than purely homeruns. Bellinger has a 150 wRC+ at home and a 99 on the road. I'm not going to do the thing people do with Rockies players where they try to double his road stats and say that's the real him but he, like Paredes, has moved to easily the best park in the league for his batted ball profile and has predictably benefitted.
  13. I was about to write something about Bellinger's home/road numbers but again this fanbase can't even process the impacts of the wind blowing in at Wrigley so what's the point
  14. It's a weak crop of rookies in the NL this year, so he probably gets *some* votes just because a lot of guys are going to end up on at least one ballot. That said I'd guess I'd guess ROY voting to skew heavily towards pitchers. Misiorowski or Burns are probably going to win it even with relatively low volume IMO. And I'd bet Cade Horton gets at least as much love as Shaw.
  15. I mean look how Swanson has been treated even with the bag already in hand. It's just a dumb horsefeathers fanbase
  16. I have disliked this fanbase for a while but the gleeful knives out for Tucker over the past week+ has been disgusting even by the usual standards.
  17. Good to know! I just saw the overall record and assumed
  18. I wonder if Kepley gets to SB before the end of the year. On the one hand he's clearly ready (and as a Day 1 pick he should be) but on the other hand SB isn't going to get any playoff games so maybe you keep him at Myrtle to give him those extra handful of games.
  19. Yeah Brasier is the only guy you'd assume is fully fresh (Brown too, though I suspect he is going to start Friday or Saturday unless things go sideways today), and even that's pending how warm he got in the 9th last night. I'm hoping for a blowout one way or the other.
  20. Yeah, he was light on dongs but sitting ay roughly normal levels of productivity through July, so two months post injury. I'm sure the finger is contributing to his rough August but I'd guess it's still mostly between the ears.
  21. Curious if anyone ends up taking a lesson from this Probably not
  22. Angel Cepeda 4/5 with two doubles and a steal is fun
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