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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    He is an idiot but he's well sourced. So reporting I tend to trust him on opinions I tend to roll my eyes at.
  2. Bertz
    BTW Hernandez is the same age as the hitters at the top of this upcoming draft. So despite having been in the org for a while, if he were to continue whooping ass at South Bend for the next three months he'd be essentially at the exact same point developmentally as a first round college bat.
  3. Bertz
    There is some positive regression coming for the pitching staff. They are 26th in strikeout rate yet also: - 19th in contact rate - 2nd in chase rate - 10th in zone rate Those three numbers don't jive with that strikeout rate ranking. Like the pitching certainly hasn't been good, but I think they should probably be closer to 15th than 25th. And that's to say nothing of the schedule aspect.
  4. Bertz
  5. Bertz
    Daniel Palencia at Iowa since last year's all star break: 23 IP, 99 BF, 10 BB, 42 K, 0 HR, 3.13 ERA, and I'm not going to back of the napkin it but a sub 1.50 FIP I understand waiting until after the schedule gauntlet and/or giving Morgan/Pearson a little more time, but if Palencia's not back up by early May, with an eye towards it being permanent, I'm going to have to seriously object.
  6. Bertz
    That is the first time in his pro career Naz has seen the batting order a 3rd time. Maybe more exciting for his development than the pitching line.
  7. Bertz
    Despite the lack of velo the stuff models like Cosgrove quite a bit and he gets a good deal of swing and miss. So really just the total opposite of Kilian
  8. Bertz
    Fun with small samples: Jonny Long's hard hit rate after that 2nd inning lineout is 60.8%. For reference the top 2 guys in hard hit rate last year were Judge at 60.9% and Shohei at 59.5%. I'M NOT PLANTING A FLAG THOUGH PLEASE NO ONE CONFUSE ME WITH SOME SORT OF FLAG PLANTER I WOULD HATE TO PLANT ANY SORT OF FLAGS GOD FORBID
  9. Bertz
    Have no idea how dude is sitting 97 in this weather. That said the command is not so unfazed
  10. Bertz

    Tucker

    Bertz replied to kevinorie's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk

    If Tucker ultimately demands a contract that starts with a 4 or a 5, then it means he continues to put up an MVP caliber season this year. I have a really hard time seeing this trade being anything but a rousing success if they get an MVP caliber season out of the deal. Does the team still "lose" based on some sort of WAR in vs. WAR out framework? Sure. But that sort of simplistic framework ignores quite a bit. E.g. the Cubs are probably going to get more WAR out of Owen Caissie than the Padres got out of 3 years of Yu Darvish, but no one would be dumb enough to say the Padres made a bad deal there.
  11. Bertz
    For someone who spends so much time claiming to be a free thinker it's really funny how often your opinions ultimately boil down to be this hipster desire to zig while everyone else is zagging.
  12. Bertz

    Tucker

    Bertz replied to kevinorie's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk

    This fanbase is so weird
  13. Bertz
    These next two and a half weeks are the season's real gauntlet: @ Dodgers facing Sasaki, Yamamoto, Glasnow @ Padres including a Dylan Cease start vs. Dbacks slated to see both Burnes and Gallen vs. Dodgers, thankfully looking like against the back of their rotation vs. Phillies, probably also getting the back of their rotation as they play the Mets right before A bunch of off days should help mitigate things to an extent, but very much a stretch where you're just hoping for 6-8 or 7-7.
  14. Bertz
    It really is a fun pitch. I didn't notice it against the Dbacks but it stood out immediately against the A's. It feels like it really ties his repertoire together by like you say giving him a real weapon against lefties. I feel like visually I've been digging his curveball more too, though the data doesn't back me up there. Big picture though is Taillon’s swing and miss is way up right now. So honestly despite the ERA beginning a 6 I feel much more confident in Taillon than I did a month ago.
  15. Bertz
    If ramping up from cold is viewed as an especially risky process, then even though it would give him extra rest your plan might ironically be more likely to lead to Steele e.g. blowing out his elbow.
  16. Bertz
    Pearson just cannot consistently throw strikes with his fastball right now. I honestly think that's his entire issue. He really ought to go to Iowa IMO. I wouldn't even be surprised if it's a straightforward mechanical issue and he's fixed in a few weeks.
  17. Bertz
    Ironically, given the way the Cubs talked about their fear around the ST/Japan/ST/regular season whiplash I think there's a decent chance this sort of proactive strategy is viewed as more likely to produce a long term injury.
  18. Bertz
    The bullpen is giving up a .370 BABIP, and a decent number of the walks are trying to tap dance around that traffic. So the group isn't *this* bad. I would say I feel great about Hodge and somewhere between solid and good still about each of Pressly, Merryweather, and Keller. That said I wonder if a line change makes sense tomorrow over the off day. Swap out Pearson and Morgan for Palencia and Little? I could also see an argument for waiting for next Thursday after this Dodgers/Padres road trip, but I think it should happen some point soonish.
  19. Bertz
    Did you watch or just follow on GameDay? Because despite giving up a run Hodge was phenomenal tonight.
  20. Bertz
    In other Cristian news, Cristian Hernandez after 4 PA'S tonight has a 1.000 OPS exactly on the season. It's paired with a 16.7% K rate. I said this at some point this spring but him finally becoming the prince who was promised is probably the single funnest thing that could possibly happen for this org this year below the AAA level.
  21. Bertz
    Christian Franklin learning to get the ball in the air without sacrificing his contact rates is a fun development. I've thought for a while he'd be a nice bench piece long term but if he's not burning a ton of worms there's a shot at an everyday caliber player.
  22. Bertz
    James Triantos has 4 steals early in Iowa's 8th game. Would love him to hit 50 this year after slowing down the stretch last year and falling short.
  23. Bertz
  24. Bertz
    Patrick Corbin is really bad. That said the biggest component to that is his propensity to give up dongs. So I wouldn't be shocked if he has a decent night tonight. That said Taillon should look superficially strong in tonight's weather too. Just this game isn't the gimme it might be closer to Memorial Day.
  25. Bertz
    I don't see any reason to think it won't be PCA.
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