Curious if Hollowell heads immediately back down tomorrow. It's becoming clear that under Counsell a 2 inning relief appearance for an optionable arm is a kiss of death.
Mild is still probably approaching a month?
I'd give Flexen this next start against the Mets and then I'm hoping Cade Horton fills in. You could easily line it up to go
vs. White Sox
@ Marlins
vs. Rockies
Pretty much couldn't draw up a softer landing
Horton dealing again through 4. Feels like we're approaching the point that he should make a spot start.
Assuming he's on a 6 day schedule, two starts from now would be a Friday 1:20 home game against the White Sox.
They're solid but I don't think anything more than that. Their pitching staff had a .229 BABIP allowed coming into tonight. Regression is gonna hit that group like a freight train.
Add in the schedule like you called out and I don't see anything more than .500 out of them.
Obviously it's still exceedingly early but if you win tomorrow and go up 6 on the Brewers it kind of feels like the scoreboard watching we do this summer will be much more focused on the NL East than the NL Central.
I wouldn't be surprised if PCA ends up having streak/slump cycles similar to Soriano:
- Prodigious hot streak
- Slowly expand your zone because you think you're a god who can't be stopped
- Reach the point where you're swinging at practically everything
- Deep cold streak
- Attempt more patience out of desperation
- Hit a point where the walks start piling up
- Pitchers start having to throw strikes again
- Prodigious hot streak
I LOVE the idea of stretching Keegan Thompson out. I probably don't want him starting MLB games but it's a much better idea than having some re-tread like Chris Flexen as your #11 starter or whatever
Among the many great things about this, timing is really good to have a game where we just go Brown to Flexen and give the rest of the pitching staff a night off.
I'd be pretty surprised by Jordan Wicks sitting 93+ like he's doing this season not being successful long term.
Like I am not calling for him to take Colin Rea or Ben Brown's job in the immediate term but I'm a good bit higher on him now than I was on Feb 1.
I would suspect ultimately that there is a "Keep 2, Trade 2" decision between Ballesteros, Caissie, Alcantara, and Long. It will largely be mostly based on their performances, but I also think there's a component of what happens with Kyle Tucker.
He also should overperform his xwOBA. Speed will give him infield hits plus extra bases on more solidly hit balls. He also is pulling a bunch of fly balls, which should should help his ~average power play up like we've seen with Bellinger and Paredes.
I would guess the .370/.300 gap he was running not too long ago isn't sustainable, but the .370/.340 he's running right now might not include much luck.
Since his breakout last July 27th he's got a 129 wRC+ and 4.2 WAR. We're talking 341 PAs too, so we're past SSS territory (though not so far past that we can call *this* his true talent level).
Nothing results wise at Iowa says he's any better than he was prior to this year.
There might be stuff they like from a pitch design standpoint I'm not seeing though. He also shortened up to one inning in Saturday and got 5 whiffs, so a breadcrumb of something interesting happening.
He does require a 40 man move though, so not sure what that would be. Morgan to the 60 Day?
People want Moises to take Turner's roster spot, and I understand the impulse, but Long feels like the far more logical fit.
(Not calling for it right now, probably wouldn't pull that trigger until at least Memorial Day)