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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
  2. Bertz
    Will Sanders in Game 2 please!
  3. Bertz
    It's not one big thing, it's a little bit of everything. Plus a heaping helping of bad luck piled on top of it. If the Cubs were worse, or if money looked less tight next year, I'd be interested. But as it stands I don't think this team should be the ones to try and fix him unless Hottovy/Zombro *know* exactly what's wrong.
  4. Bertz
    Given the lack of goldilocks starting pitching options I wonder a bit about going nuts on a reliever. Like of course you absolutely have to add a SP. But I'm wondering about a boring SP, let's say Chris Bassitt, and paired with a much more dynamic reliever like Mason Miller. We saw this winter that Jed thinks they're in a place where it is worth paying up for an elite reliever. Miller/Hodge/Palencia has a chance to really shorten games. Add Horton in short relief on top of that.
  5. Bertz
    If the season ended today the Cubs and Phillies would get the first round bye and the Dodgers would have to play the wildcard round
  6. Bertz
    I'd probably still put him 5th, but I do think at this point between Jaxon's ascent and some of the warts on the Iowa crew you can pretty easily argue him as high as #1.
  7. Bertz
    It's his first crack at South Bend, and he's still age appropriate for the level. You basically have to weigh the fact that it took him 3 tries to get past Myrtle Beach (a *very* bad sign) with the fact that he dropped switch hitting, which you would reasonably expect to make things tougher for a while. He's certainly not one of our top prospects at this point, but he was orginally the headliner of the Yu Darivsh trade for a reason. And he's still young enough to develop on a good timeline.
  8. Bertz
    The Dodgers won a WS last year with Yamamoto, Beuhler (who was ass in the regular season), and a bunch of bullpen games. The Rangers won with a rotation headed by Eovaldi and Montgomery. Two good pitchers for sure but very much the same tier as Shota/Boyd. Everyone would love a Phillies type rotation, but these days with how few innings playoff starters throw (even most aces are 5 and dive) it's not the only way to skin the cat.
  9. Bertz
    .302/.343/.476 and a 124 wRC+ since April 27th
  10. Bertz
    I saw on BN yesterday that he was playing catch. If you figure another week or two of that, a week or two of bullpens/sim games, and then 3-4 rehab starts, you're probably looking at early July.
  11. Bertz
    Presumably taking Kriske's spot.
  12. Bertz
    Another series win too. If I'm counting right they are 13-5-1 on a series by series basis.
  13. Bertz
    Pretty incredible game from the bullpen, especially with Palencia and Pomeranz down. Feels like this makes up for one of the disaster games in April.
  14. Bertz
    Reggie Preciado dong. Signs of life just keep trickling in.
  15. Bertz
    As much as I agree with Tryptamine that the timing is right for adding an impact cost controlled starter, I don't think the market looks like it's going to cooperate unless the Nats make Gore available. And I'd guess it's less than 50/50 they do. I think if you're Jed you're realistically going to have three options: 1. Settle for a rental and revisit the big trade in the winter - Honestly this might be the smart play regardless, as Tucker's fate heavily influences what/how many resources you'd want to part with in trade 2. Buy in on a SSS break out - For example Ryan Weathers and Max Meyer both look great for the Marlins. The fish are early enough in their rebuild to probably make them available, but you're likely gambling a lot of resources on less than half a season of success 3. Rescue a live arm from a dumb team - For instance Trueblood made a pretty compelling case for Ryan Feltner over the winter. Reid Detmers seems pretty fixable. Etc. I think the big risk here is can you fix one of these guys *in season*? Because you need someone who can help out this October
  16. Bertz
    20+ inches is insane. Imanaga for instance has elite vertical break and he lives in the 18-19 range.
  17. Bertz
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-zips-projections-houston-astros/ A 3.35 ERA, and that's in Houston which obviously is more of a hitters park than Wrigley Also, small sample size but he's been missing a ton of bats since his disaster outing a few weeks ago. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-pressly/7005/game-log?position=P&gds=2025-05-09&gde=2025-10-31&season=&type=16 I wouldn't be in a huge rush to move him back into the closers role, Id like to see those whiffs translate all the way into strikeouts, but there's a decent chance he's already fixed.
  18. Bertz
    Pressly projected fantastically coming into the year. He had declined yes, but from a top 5 reliever in the league to very good.
  19. Bertz
    Jaxon Wiggins and Cade Horton being lined up is fun
  20. Bertz
    Looking ahead a bit to next week, it looks like the Cubs are going to get Mackenzie Gore but miss Tarik Skubal.
  21. Bertz
    I hate games this lopsided. The embarrassment of losing is not properly aligned with the odds.
  22. Bertz
    92 pitchers have at least 50 IP this year. Among them Ben Brown ranks (all stats oriented so 1st = best): - 31st in groundball rate - 43rd in walk rate - 22nd in groundball rate - 76th in hard hit rate - 56th in barrel rate - 23rd in xFIP - 73rd in xERA - 91st in ERA He is getting hit hard, so he shouldn't have results as sparkling as his FIP suggests. But there's just not any reason to think he should have an ERA over 5, much less 6. Hell even with the hard contact you'd probably expect south of 4 going forward. This is about as slam dunk a case of bad luck as you can find. If he was on any other team we'd be champing at the bit to buy low on him.
  23. Bertz
    Ben Brown's walk rate is 50th of 92 pitchers with at least 50 innings this year. His control's not a strength but it's fine.
  24. Bertz
  25. Bertz
    Setting aside any of the bad luck parts of Brown's performance (I can read the room enough here to know no one wants to have that conversation) why do you think a guy who has struggled so mightily in the first inning would be a good fit for the pen?
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