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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Hey Eli Morgan's alive!
  2. Bertz
    Me on BaseballSavant during that first start
  3. Bertz
    Really want to fast forward and see what the org decides w/r/t Caissie/Mo/Long/Alcantara
  4. Bertz
    Elder's much better than his ERA, but even by the more generous measures he's not full on good. Interestingly his peripherals are garbage against lefties while his results are garbage against righties. Curious if there's something there or just SSS weirdness.
  5. Bertz
    God if this year ends up being payback for 2018 it'll be my second favorite season ever even if they get pantsed in the playoffs 2008 style
  6. Bertz
    Yeesh, that is about as unfun as a 12-0 Iowa box score can be, glad Myrtle decided to pick up the slack
  7. Bertz
    Do you *actually* think there's a reason that Turner can hit lefty relievers but not lefty starters? Or did you just cherry pick the number that made your point after you saw that Turner's been better overall against lefties this year?
  8. Bertz
    Why just SP?
  9. Bertz
    I'd say too unless/until the standings start looking a lot different the best course of action is for Craig to really aggressively get the main guys rest. And leaning on platoon advantages is one of the more reasonable ways of doling out that rest.
  10. Bertz
    Looks like the breakeven point is 766 PAs before wOBA finally starts becoming more meaningful than xwOBA https://blogs.fangraphs.com/yes-hitter-xstats-are-useful/ Also periodic reminder as we round yhe bend into the offseason that the best simple projection system for next season is 2/3s of a guy's xwOBA and 1/3rd of their actual, which I find to be an extremely handy rule of thumb.
  11. Bertz
    With Alcantara and Santana in curious to see the lineup against LHP. Does Craig go all in and take all the lefties (plus Happ) out except Tucker? Or are these changes in order to be able to pinch hit mid game and still have pinch hit options available late game?
  12. Bertz
    Jack Neely rehabbing at South Bend. Hopefully after his convalescense he gets back to where he was late last year
  13. Bertz
    Sounds pretty encouraging TBH
  14. Bertz
    Yes but I wouldn't pound the table over it. Might also depend on matchups? I feel like Happ's issue against lefties is his swing is pretty grooved, so there might be some guys you like him against even right handed.
  15. Bertz
    I am generally of the mind that all the "do something!" stuff w/r/t the lineup is just silliness, but an actual low hanging improvement to make is to give Happ less exposure to LHP. For his career he's only intermittently effective against them and now's not exactly one of his feasting periods. Don't start like taking him out of the 6th inning of games because of a lefty reliever, but do probably stop starting him against most lefty starters.
  16. Bertz
    Uribe is being ridden real hard this year I'd be nervous as hell about him right now if I was. Brewers fan.
  17. Bertz
    Milwaukee just lost Trevor McGill to a flexor strain, presumably for the year. Their #2 RP, Abner Uribe, has already been one of the hardest ridden pitchers in the league this year. I don't think it gets us the division, but I do think it does materially impact their chances in the playoffs.
  18. Bertz
    I believe the beat guys implied he was a bit of a horsefeathers here, only he had the self control to keep it to the clubhouse. But that's allegedly why the team cold shouldered him so hard on his way out the door.
  19. Bertz

    Waivers

    Bertz replied to Neuby's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk

    The Rangers feel like the team to keep an eye on. They bought at the deadline, have faceplanted in the weeks since, and to top it off Semien and Eovaldi hit the IL this week. They have a bunch of solid pitchers in their walk year and are right on the Luxury Tax line.
  20. Bertz
    What I wouldn't give for a list of updated scouting reports on a lot of these popup arms at MB/SB like Valdez and Camacho
  21. Bertz
    Yeah Boyd has pitched well all year but was not even close to earning a ~2.50 ERA. This is just some garden variety regression.
  22. Bertz
    Given the timing he's presumably out for all of next year too. Maybe back for the AFL?
  23. Bertz
    I think it helps too that Myrtle Beach went from hitting like the Bad News Bears to hitting like the '27 Yankees over the last 6 weeks or so. The farm thinned out *fast* earlier in the year but now I actually have guys that I would like to include on my Top 20 that I can't fit.
  24. Bertz
    Lot can change between now and then of course, but at first blush the only really rough stretch is the end of April with @Phillies Mets Phillies @Dodgers @Padres
  25. Bertz
    Verlander's gotten a bit better as the season has gone on, but this is still a game the Cubs should win. Win today and split the next two.
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