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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Also pretty logically consistent with the Reid pick where you take a guy with good feel and try to juice his velo.
  2. Bertz
    So Stransky is just Ariel Armas again? I do not hate the idea of doubling down on that profile.
  3. Bertz
    Given that you said he really wants to go pro right away, I'd guess even if its not us he's not going to last past the 11th round And selfishly for you hopefully it's us!
  4. Bertz
    Yeah I'm expecting someone nearly as fun as Hartshorn. Via MLB.com's rankings there are 12 HS seniors ranked between 50-100 who have not been drafted, would suspect we get one of them.
  5. Bertz
    Wanting to be book...is not book
  6. Bertz
    The Pirates drafting another Jared Jones is funny
  7. Bertz
    If you pretend the draft went Conrad / Hartshorn / Kepley / Wing / Reid / Snell The draft as a whole looks a whole lot different
  8. Bertz
    Kiley has Hartshorn #53, Fangraphs has him 88
  9. Bertz
    Ohhhhh Hartshorn is super fun
  10. Bertz
    Sounds a little more fun than your typical senior sign. Usually if they're hitters they are 49 with 3 divorces and if they're pitchers they throw 89 or you need to bring in your second hand to count all their arm surgeries.
  11. Bertz
    Fun! We need more projectable pitching at the lowest levels.
  12. Bertz
    He's basically exactly where Colin Rea was in mid May. He's made meaningful YoY improvement, but realistically he's improved from bad to fine not bad to good. If Jed's adding two starters this deadline you could do worse for the second one. He's certainly better than Chris Flexen.
  13. Bertz
    I'd guess fairly aggressive. Myrtle Beach has been kind of a disaster this season and is not prepared to graduate much talent up the system on moving day in a few weeks after the deadline. So there's not anyone really blocking Kepley from getting to South Bend within the next month.
  14. Bertz
    I'd put Conrad 7th, behind the five guys Tryptamine listed plus Long.. Which is not a knock on him but an acknowledgement that the system is very top-heavy right now. Kepley probably 11th. The seven above, then he also slots behind Triantos/Birdsell/Hernandez IMO. Reid in the back half of the teens? I think the total package sounds similar (in value not style) to Ryan Gallagher.
  15. Bertz
    I think it's good perspective to go back to what the Cubs got back for their guys in '21. Or what they gave up for Candelario two years ago when he was the top bat on the market. You can get impact talent a million years from the big leagues, or you can get boring stuff with much better proximity. But even with the leverage the deadline provides it's still an either/or sort of deal. Even in a package deal for both guys I still wouldn't be especially worried about having to give up a Horton/Wiggins/Brown. Wicks/Assad/Birdsell with a strong second piece (as much as I'd hate it, Cristian Hernandez?) is closer to what we're talking IMO.
  16. Bertz
    Cubs are pretty good at coaxing out velo. Get Reid living more up towards the top end of his current range and he's probably very suddenly a guy.
  17. Bertz
    Statcast has been live for a decade, there's 2400 MLB games a year, and your typical game has 40-50 balls in play. There are A LOT of comps for nearly any given batted ball.
  18. Bertz
    FG and ESPN don't have him ranked. I'd assume an underslot pick
  19. Bertz
    Kiley had Kepley #54 on his board
  20. Bertz
    High End 4th outfielder is the most likely scenario, but it's not impossible to end up witb a Steven Kwan type
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    AJ Russell's been my round 2 guy for weeks, so hoping to go that direction obviously Quentin Young would be extremely fun though, and would be consistent with Conrad being an underslot
  23. Bertz
  24. Bertz
    If Wood makes it past the Phillies enough pitching smart teams will have passed on him that I'll feel comfortable that it wasn't poor decision making to let him go (even if he ultimately ends up awesome).
  25. Bertz
    I know I shouldn't think like this but the Brewers not taking Wood does a lot to alleviate my concern there.
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