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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. I think the Cubs and the Dodgers will likely have multiple different contracts on the table. One with super-opt-type things, others more geared to long term. I'd expect the Braves to be in, only on the former.
  2. I would guess at this stage he needs no leverage. Already being reported he'll make well over $500m and Sharma posted yesterday he doesn't necessarily believe the Cubs will be outbid (including by the Dodgers). I'd bet the Braves are in on one of those super-opt-out-heavy kind of deals. Get your WS and then get paid in a year or two things.
  3. Of course the next post is a link between the Braves and Shohei. Good job me, I'm dumb. But I still think it'd be a huge jump for them and I can' see them doing it.
  4. I'd be surprised. They haven't been connected to him. They just added $20m in immediate salary on the Kelenic trade. I think they're more likely to make a trade for a SP like Cease.
  5. With the market the way it's at, I'd be shocked to see anyone's value slipping. Once you get past Ohtani, Soto and Yamamoto, this free agent class sucks. Guys like Jordan Montgomery are looking at $140m over 6. Chapman should be fine.
  6. I think Ben Brown is far more likely to make a bullpen impact than Horton, personally. Especially if the Cubs get, say, a Glasnow, there will likely be starts available. Hendricks, Steele, Taillon and Glasnow have injury histories, and it's likely they'll go down. I'd expect Horton, who's pretty ready as of now, will be option #1 and kind of think he'll make 10-15+ MLB starts this year. Brown, however, with the more spotty fastball control is less likely ready to start, but also, could be a really fun BP addition post-TDL. Might make a few spot starts, but I think I expect him to make more impact bullpen wise.
  7. His last year was pretty weird which has given me a lot of pause. The quality of contact was great, but the home runs fell off. His last 467 PA's saw him post an 84 wRC+ with just a .150 ISO. That's not a small sample size, and the fall of on ISO from where he has been over his career his final five months last year was real. I can't tell why the quality of contact doesn't match the power/results. There doesn't seem to be any less launch or barrels. Could be weird datasets. Could be bad luck with doubles not turning into home runs like they have in the past. Could be he's losing some power on his swings despite the batted ball data. Really weird set of information. I'd be skeptical of Chapman, but can see the appeal. My fear on Chapman is that he fits a lot of what the Cubs have been signing, and he can't be the best new player this offseason. He's a pretty good player with some variance that suggests he could bounce back to being a better hitter than 2023 made him look. There's offseasons the Cubs have where they add Chapman and that's pretty cool! And others...where I'd be a bit bummed.
  8. On the Seattle trade; super interesting. I've seen some suggest they're making a run at Soto, but other suggest this is more about crappy ownership. Hard to tell. For a team who needed offense, they've shipped two (positionally) average to slightly above average hitters out and acquired...nothing to help them in that department. If we're talking about a Chapman home, they, too, would make sense.
  9. Chapman is almost assuredly going to get over $100m, ya'll. He isn't signing for 2 years.
  10. Yeah, I think we're in the end game spot. Probably a little tweaking and moving things around and then deciding. I'm hopeful for a choice in the next few days.
  11. Feels like your typical "this is what Boras is going to tell the media" thing without it being actually what he expects to get.
  12. I would imagine so.
  13. Juan Soto chatter really picking up the last two days.
  14. They've been listed by two separate sources the last 24 hours as highly interested in Yamamoto and as "among the favorites" to sign him. I don't necessarily think Ohtani is the only player they're willing to spend on.
  15. I don't think he's reporting anything, just that there were reports he was in SF, but this appears to be wrong.
  16. It's been reported the Mets, the Mariners, the Rangers and the Red Sox are out. I could see the Yankees, just over the Padres and their silly asks for Juan Soto, jumping back in here. They'd have money and means.
  17. Yeah there are probably a lot of moving parts here. I had said in another post well back in the thread that what I expect is that once Ohtani signs that we'll hear he left money on the table. Not really because he did but because when you math out these contracts with options, performance bonuses, etc, one contract may seem to have a larger number, even if it's unlikely he'd have gotten that.
  18. I don't disagree with anything you suggest after the first sentence. The Chicago Cubs should be a perennial WS contender. They should spend money. But who are these other legitimate stars they're going to sign this year? There's Ohtani and then Yamamoto, and there's some belief that Yamamoto is more "all-star" quality than "superstar" quality (I'd be very interested in him regardless). If the hope is "sign Yamamoto now and then hope to sign Soto next year", why not just...sign Ohtani now? There' no guarantees we can sign Soto next year, no guarantees he'll hit free agency (as likely as it seems he should, there remains a non zero chance he resigns wherever he ends up). We're a finalist, by all reports for Ohtani. Let's ride this out. Just sign Ohtani. He's two superstars in one. There's no reason the Cubs shouldn't be trying to sign him based on every other word you posted. The idea that the Cubs would be better off spreading it around, I just don't agree. Get the unicorn. Obviously, if we miss on Ohtani and he wants to go elsewhere, then pivot. Go get Yamamoto. Go get Soto (either by trade or sign him next year). I'm not saying don't spend. I'm also saying...get Ohtani when you can.
  19. Yeah, I agree with the second part. My guess is that it's a combination of personal impatience, excitement, and nerves. I know I've caught myself getting on the "refresh twitter compulsively" team the last few days.
  20. The "he might sign before the WM's" wasn't really random people. It was coming from respected people in the industry. I wouldn't listen to this "dave" guy on twitter, but people like Morosi, and others, suggested it could get done pre-WM. Certainly not the first high prized guy to not sign before the meetings, and if he doesn't sign in the next few days, won't be the first to sign after the meetings. But I also can understand where people thought he might sign before, too.
  21. Within the week sounds good to me. That could be Monday, it could be next Saturday.
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