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jersey cubs fan

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  1. Huh? His initial contract wasn't actually all that huge. He got $1m, with a bonus for giving up football, but they actually ripped up that contract and signed a new one the next season when he actually did give up football. There was no "five years later deal" other than the series of one year deals he's been on under Theo's regime.
  2. The vast majority of your surplus value is going to come from your pre-arbitration players. You should be able to continuously exploit this supply line throughout the course of any one 10-year contract. But even if you somehow do not, you're still trying to win baseball games and, at worst, cutting down on the profits of a billionaire for a couple years.
  3. I don't see a lot of people making that assumption. The conversation was about unnecessarily fretting that Theo may leave before the team starts to win.
  4. 10 years is much more the issue than 23-24mil per. Very much this. Also, giving anyone a contract that only your optimistic projections having him be worth is a really bad idea. There's almost zero chance of getting any surplus value from that deal. The goal is not to get surplus value.
  5. Yeah, considering he's already made millions in his life, there's very little incentive to settle for such a relatively low number.
  6. There's really no point in shutting Cutler down. Briggs, sure. But Cutler still has to play some.
  7. That lady in blue certainly did not look comfortable, and you have to like the "COME ONNNN" from somebody with at least a minimal level of decency.
  8. No idea what this is regarding.
  9. Kind of missing the important part which is where were the defenders in relation to Forte. He might not have had as much space as the receiver. God I hated that play. Was it the throw or a just a receiver slip? Can't remember.
  10. It is? I thought it was the state of the entire organization that he was in charge of. So the state of the minor leagues don't matter in evaluating the job he's done? Am I off base in saying that's what you're implying, if not overtly saying? Oh it's absolutely the case that the state of the minor leagues pales in comparison to the major league success when evaluating front office work. Anybody can build a minor league system if their only mandate is to build a minor league system. Winning at the major league level is the hard part and the only part that actually matters.
  11. But Camp walks more guys, strikes out less and hasn't actually ridden that same line as well as Mujica.
  12. I didn't even know that was a thing. I thought the Yankees were at the point where multi-years of eclipsing the mark increased the additional penalty above the tax and they just wanted to restart that time frame.
  13. http://deadspin.com/this-florida-state-ball-boy-is-a-college-football-hero-1477216313 This is awesome. FSU ballboy is a little excited about being a ballboy for FSU.
  14. A $4.75m/year starter that is better than Villanueva? Do you have any? Isn't a lot of the point that this guy's walk rate is like half of Villanueva?
  15. It's almost as if you'd want to make every excuse in the book to pretend that 5 years of losing would somehow not reflect back on the job the front office did.
  16. The only way you can judge if "a bunch of decisions" are good or bad in the game of baseball is by wins and losses. You can't keep making good decisions and keep losing.
  17. WTF are you talking about? This isn't about firing anybody. This is about fretting over Theo leaving on his own before the team is good. Jimminy Christmas you keep jumping through hoops to justify an irrevocable trust in Theo's ability to get the job done. If he doesn't get the job done in 5 years, meaning if this team isn't good by 2016, he failed. That's the end of the story. His competition got better. There are more smart guys out there. If you are the only hitter who can hit 30 HR in a season you are a beast. But if suddenly a whole bunch of 30 HR hitters enter the league, you are no longer special.
  18. But those are the rules of the game. There's no point in excusing prolonged losing because the rules of the game aren't the same they were when he built the Red Sox. Unless you somehow believe the rules will revert back to the form they were at when he was able to exploit them to his advantage.
  19. Not for five years.
  20. If the team sucks in 5 years it would be absurd to suggest the front office did not fail. Ability isn't the issue. Ability is the issue. WTF? Ability isn't the issue. It's a nebulous term anyway, and Theo isn't the only guy with "ability" to smartly run a front office. You keep ignoring the fact that more and more smart people have gotten into the game. Theo went from being unique to being the most well known (and highly compensated) one of the bunch, but there are dozens of guys just like him in the game now. He's replaceable. He does not have an inherent natural ability to build a winning organization that other smart people in the game lack. He's not Mickey Mantle. You keep framing the situation as going from Theo back to some neanderthal promoted from gym teacher to GM. If that happens, that would suck, but you don't form your opinion based on potential worst case scenario. The Cubs could easily find another smart guy ready to run an organization and do better than 5 crappy seasons.
  21. If the team sucks in 5 years it would be absurd to suggest the front office did not fail. Ability isn't the issue.
  22. No, that's not what i'm saying. In the terms we're talking about, smart = good. He may fail, but in terms of expected performance out of a GM going forward, I'd take the smart guy every time. That doesn't mean he is incapable of failure. It means I think his chances of failure going forward are less than that of others. You are ignoring the fact that Theo is no longer one of only a few smart guys in baseball, or the smartest.
  23. What I'm saying is that level of confidence is silly. And making such an excuse for failure is not helpful. We aren't talking about making change for the sake of change. We're talking about unnecessarily fretting over Theo leaving before this team is good. If they aren't good by the time his contract is up, he failed. Change for change sake is swapping hitting coaches every year, or firing a front office after 2 miserable seasons. That isn't at issue.
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