The Bryce is Right, Bitch

[stitchface]

I’d really like to see these numbers actually since it’s been a topic we often discuss and find out if the offense is really all that volatile and varies that much compared to other teams. I feel like on surface every teams fans thinks their offense isn’t “consistent” enough. The numbers would be very interesting to see if that’s actually the case if someone wants to take the time to run them, because I’m not aware of a site or stat that tracks it.

 

My gut feeling is we don’t vary all that differently from other teams and most teams don’t just score 3-4 runs a game all that much more consistently than us (if we’re assuming around there is the magical being consistent number) most teams probably cluster around 2 or less and 5 or more.

Sharma took a look at this last summer and the 2018 Cubs were abnormally inconsistent.

I remember not being a fan of his methodology, but generally agreeing with the conclusion.

 

Cubs averaged 4.67 runs per game with a SDp of 3.56

 

Cubs opponents averaged 3.96 runs per game with a SDp of 3.00

[Bluescale]

Sharma took a look at this last summer and the 2018 Cubs were abnormally inconsistent.

I remember not being a fan of his methodology, but generally agreeing with the conclusion.

 

Cubs averaged 4.67 runs per game with a SDp of 3.56

 

Cubs opponents averaged 3.96 runs per game with a SDp of 3.00

 

Playoff teams this year averaged 4.97 runs per game, with a SDp of 3.37.

[Cubswin11]

Sharma took a look at this last summer and the 2018 Cubs were abnormally inconsistent.

I remember not being a fan of his methodology, but generally agreeing with the conclusion.

 

Cubs averaged 4.67 runs per game with a SDp of 3.56

 

Cubs opponents averaged 3.96 runs per game with a SDp of 3.00

What were we at through July before everyone broke and/or died?

[stitchface]

I remember not being a fan of his methodology, but generally agreeing with the conclusion.

 

Cubs averaged 4.67 runs per game with a SDp of 3.56

 

Cubs opponents averaged 3.96 runs per game with a SDp of 3.00

What were we at through July before everyone broke and/or died?

 

 

5.01 w/ SD 3.82

[imb]

Cubs will have Harper signed by this time next week

[Ding Dong Johnson]

Cubs will have Harper signed by this time next week

[Cubswin11]

Cubs will have Harper signed by this time next week

[Sammy Sofa]

Cubs will have Harper signed by this time next week

 

I think you meant to put this in the cards and collectibles thread.

[Backtobanks]

Cubs will have Harper signed by this time next week

 

 

 

 

Jordan Bastian

✔

@MLBastian

 

 

Theo Epstein: "No one hitter, especially in the seas where we're fishing, is going to transform the offense. It's going to be a continued evolution of what I think is a group of really, really talented position players that stumbled badly in the second half of last year."

[Sammy Sofa]

Fishing analogies?!?

 

Brace yourselves: he's gone full Dusty.

[d_money]

Fishing analogies?!?

 

Brace yourselves: he's gone full Dusty.

The one that got away...

[jersey cubs fan]

Fishing analogies?!?

 

Brace yourselves: he's gone full Dusty.

The one that got away...

Yeah but you should have seen the size of his offer

[weis21]

Bryce is coming to the cubs. It’s been in the works for months if not years. Theo is doing all this posturing to save like 1 million AAV and I love him for it.

[d_money]

Fishing analogies?!?

 

Brace yourselves: he's gone full Dusty.

The one that got away...

Yeah but you should have seen the size of his offer

A rising tide lifts all boats. So we go that going for us.

[Sammy Sofa]

Bryce is coming to the cubs. It’s been in the works for months if not years. Theo is doing all this posturing to save like 1 million AAV and I love him for it.

 

Please note now this otherwise grammatically impeccable post expressly did NOT capitalize the word "cubs."

 

Nice escape hatch you gave yourself there, sir...

[d_money]

Bryce is coming to the cubs. It’s been in the works for months if not years. Theo is doing all this posturing to save like 1 million AAV and I love him for it.

IF....the Cubs sign Harper - how in the hell do they re-sign Bryant? Between Harper and Heyride alone - thats projected to be $60M for 2 players for 2019-23. Craziness.

[Bertz]

Bryce is coming to the cubs. It’s been in the works for months if not years. Theo is doing all this posturing to save like 1 million AAV and I love him for it.

IF....the Cubs sign Harper - how in the hell do they re-sign Bryant? Between Harper and Heyride alone - thats projected to be $60M for 2 players for 2019-23. Craziness.

 

Most of the pitching staff will be free agents after two more seasons, and most of the position players are in line to hit FA along with Bryant after three. If the farm has produced enough talent that the bones of a good team is still there heading into the '21-'22 offseason, there will be plenty of money to resign Bryant and probably Javy too. If the farm hasn't delivered by then, the team is going to be due for a fallow year or three regardless, so they probably let Bryant walk and save that money for when they are ramping back up again.

[Cubswin11]

Bryce is coming to the cubs. It’s been in the works for months if not years. Theo is doing all this posturing to save like 1 million AAV and I love him for it.

IF....the Cubs sign Harper - how in the hell do they re-sign Bryant? Between Harper and Heyride alone - thats projected to be $60M for 2 players for 2019-23. Craziness.

Worry about Bryant and the others when you have to, you don’t not sign Harper because you might not be able to do something like re-sign someone 3 years from now. If you miss out in re-signing someone you still have Bryce horsefeathering Harper as a consolation. We only have ~$60 million in guaranteed money on the books for 2021 (3 seasons from now when KB is a FA), there’s plenty of room to work him and Bryce in and still have like $120 million to spend.

[UMFan83]

Dan Plesac was on the score this morning and he seemed pretty convinced that that the Cubs were going to make a big push for Harper and when asked to predict his destination he said Cubs. Not based on anything but good to see there are some in the media that believe in us

[Sammy Sofa]

If the farm has produced enough talent

 

[imb]

Bryant is going to hit FA as a more traditional late 20s corner guy that you realllly dont have to resign

[Sammy Sofa]

And I feel like left out a lot is that Rizzo is likely off the books after 2021 (and maybe even 2020), too.

[Cubswin11]

Bryant is going to hit FA as a more traditional late 20s corner guy that you realllly dont have to resign

I think his offensive approach will age well, but yeah he’s going to be 29/30 when he’s a FA and I could totally buy in to it being entirely reasonable to not want to give him a big 6+ year deal. Maybe next year we look at an extension, it could benefit everyone. The contract landscape on ~30 year old FAs is shifting so maybe he jumps at an opportunity to lock in money and we get the benefit of only paying him until he’s ~33.

[Cubswin11]

And I feel like left out a lot is that Rizzo is likely off the books after 2021 (and maybe even 2020), too.

He’d have to suffer a major injury or some fluke thing for that 2021 option not to be exercised. It’s only like $12 million.

Edited December 8, 2018 by Cubswin11

[imb]

we fucked rizzo over so bad