javi baez deep concern and probably giving hope up thread

[Gilby]

I guess that contact% seems reasonable given the K%, but where are you finding pitch-by-pitch data for that league?

[George Hayduke]

I guess that contact% seems reasonable given the K%, but where are you finding pitch-by-pitch data for that league?

The mlb website has data by plate appearance, but not anything pitch-by-pitch. Basically it has a game tracker and you can kind of back-of-the-napkin calculate the stats.

 

http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=l133&t=t_ros&cid=685

 

Clearly I miss baseball season.

[George Hayduke]

So far tonight, Javy is 0 for 3 with 2 SO. :(

[Guest]

So far tonight, Javy is 0 for 3 with 2 SO. :(

My mother always told me, "if you don't have anything nice to say don't say anything."

 

But seriously, I try and not pay attention to these numbers during winter ball.

[Banedon]

I guess that contact% seems reasonable given the K%, but where are you finding pitch-by-pitch data for that league?

The mlb website has data by plate appearance, but not anything pitch-by-pitch. Basically it has a game tracker and you can kind of back-of-the-napkin calculate the stats.

 

http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=l133&t=t_ros&cid=685

 

Clearly I miss baseball season.

 

I'm glad there's people that enjoy the mathy parts of baseball like this. I enjoy seeing stats, but calculating them? Blech.

[Guest]

FIXED

 

Carrie Muskat ‏@CarrieMuskat 2m2 minutes ago

#Cubs @javy23baez 1-for-3, 2 Rs, 2 BB, 0 Ks in Santurce's 10-4 loss to Carolina in Puerto Rican league playoffs. Santurce plays Caguas today

[Banedon]

FIXED

 

Carrie Muskat ‏@CarrieMuskat 2m2 minutes ago

#Cubs @javy23baez 1-for-3, 2 Rs, 2 BB, 0 Ks in Santurce's 10-4 loss to Carolina in Puerto Rican league playoffs. Santurce plays Caguas today

 

Sure sign that Baez is getting called up.

[George Hayduke]

I actually have noticed an interesting trend since he's started back after the winter break. Obvious very small sample size disclaimer, but in the second half of the season he's had the same BA and a comparable OBP to the first half. However, his K rate is noticably lower (18% vs 43%), but so is his SLG (442 vs 267). Basically he's making better contact and getting just as many hits, but almost all of his hits have been singles, combined with tons of groundouts to the left side.

 

Again, I don't want to read too much into it, but should I be encouraged by this in any way? To the guys on here who know a lot about swing mechanics...is this a common thing to see with guys who are working on making better contact? Maybe the goal being just contact for now and the power will come back later? IDK, could all be random statistical noise. I'm just reaching for any sign of improvement.

[Guest]

Again, I don't want to read too much into it, but should I be encouraged by this in any way?

 

You should not.

 

IDK, could all be random statistical noise. I'm just reaching for any sign of improvement.

 

It is less than statistical noise, really. Like with Spring Training, the assumptions that guide what data is useful are not (as) applicable, and even if it were then it would definitely have sample size problems. Better to ignore in its entirety than to try and divine narratives from any portion of it.

[George Hayduke]

Again, I don't want to read too much into it, but should I be encouraged by this in any way?

 

You should not.

 

IDK, could all be random statistical noise. I'm just reaching for any sign of improvement.

 

It is less than statistical noise, really. Like with Spring Training, the assumptions that guide what data is useful are not (as) applicable, and even if it were then it would definitely have sample size problems. Better to ignore in its entirety than to try and divine narratives from any portion of it.

Yeah, I know I'm just squinting really hard trying to pick out even a hint of something positive in the static.

[Bull]

Again, I don't want to read too much into it, but should I be encouraged by this in any way?

 

You should not.

 

IDK, could all be random statistical noise. I'm just reaching for any sign of improvement.

 

It is less than statistical noise, really. Like with Spring Training, the assumptions that guide what data is useful are not (as) applicable, and even if it were then it would definitely have sample size problems. Better to ignore in its entirety than to try and divine narratives from any portion of it.

Yeah, I know I'm just squinting really hard trying to pick out even a hint of something positive in the static.

Like the scrambled spice channel when we were kids...

[Tangled Up in Plaid]

spice channel hahaha. classic.

[Banedon]

@CarrieMuskat

 

#Cubs @javy23baez hit walkoff RBI single w/2 outs in 10th to give Santurce 5-4 win Mon over Caguas in PR round robin playoffs. Baez 2-for-6

[Hairyducked Idiot]

It is less than statistical noise, really. Like with Spring Training, the assumptions that guide what data is useful are not (as) applicable, and even if it were then it would definitely have sample size problems. Better to ignore in its entirety than to try and divine narratives from any portion of it.

 

Contact rate loses the sample size issues insanely quickly, and unusually high strikeouts are one of the few stats shown to have some predictivity from ST to regular season.

 

Ability to put bat to ball is such a fundamental skill with the most clean relationship between skill and short-term results. Failing at it at lower levels of competition just can't be seen as anything other than problematic.

 

But I guess I'm at the same place as I was before winter league: Whatever. He's incredibly hard to predict, it's hard to accept how high the chances are that he sucks, and I'd be relieved more than upset if they went into 2015 without him in the lineup.

[Proven Veteran]

Yeah, I really don't want them counting on him being a big part of this team.

[Clem Fandango]

I do.

[Banedon]

Sahadev Sharma @sahadevsharma

Didn't recognize Baez at first, says he's been working out a lot and lost 15 pounds.

 

 

 

Jesse Rogers @ESPNChiCubs

Baez looks like a diff guy. Lost 15 lbs. says he's working on mechanical issues w his swing.

[davell]

Please be great, it'll be awesome having the guy everyone hates.

[Guest]

Sahadev Sharma ‏@sahadevsharma 8m8 minutes ago

Baez said Mallee and he worked on his swing, said he was late to FBs due to mechanical issues, mentioned his hands in particular

[Guest]

I thought he looked weird when his pics were popping up lately on instagram then i realized it was that he just decided to start smiling in pictures

 

it could be the weight loss too

[Tracer Bullet]

TIME TO CHANGE THE THREAD TITLE YOU QUITTERS

[treebird]

YOU GO MAKE YOUR OWN THREAD

[RammyFanny]

I thought he looked weird when his pics were popping up lately on instagram then i realized it was that he just decided to start smiling in pictures

 

it could be the weight loss too

There's something fishy with his teeth. He looked like a completely different dude on Instagram lately. I think it's more than just smiling.

[Sammy Sofa]

Christ, he looks like a maximum douchebag. He pretty much has to be great, right? The greats are always maximum douchebags.

[davell]

Christ, he looks like a maximum douchebag. He pretty much has to be great, right? The greats are always maximum douchebags.

 

Exactly. MLB tattoo, faux hawk, I do WTF I want.....He's going to be awesome.