Random Cubs Musings

[The-Kris-Bryant]

PECOTA thinks the Cubs best hitter will begin the year in AAA. More importantly 2nd place in the division and 1 game out of the Wild Card 2 slot. That's with 199 PAs from Kris Bryant.

[SABR Gamer]

PECOTA thinks the Cubs best hitter will begin the year in AAA. More importantly 2nd place in the division and 1 game out of the Wild Card 2 slot. That's with 199 PAs from Kris Bryant.

 

Notable things:

 

- Bryant projected at 2 WAR in 199 PA. Soler, 2 in 583 PA. Baez, 0.9 in 520 PA.

 

- The catchers combine for 2.1, Rizzo 3.8, Castro 2.7.

 

- Jackson projected to lead the team in starts (33), and put up a -0.7, while Hendricks is projected to make only 8 starts and put up 1.0.

 

- Lester at only 2.2 in 29 starts. Arrieta 1.1 in 29 starts.

 

- Projected for 82 wins.

[Guest]

Those pitching projections are, um, interesting.

[Guest]

Those pitching projections are, um, interesting.

pecota has sucked since Nate left.

[The-Kris-Bryant]

Fun with comps

 

Rizzo

1 Prince Fiedler

2 Ike Davis

3 Brandon Belt

 

Castro

1 Jose Reyes

2 Nomar Garciaparra

3 JJ Hardy

 

Soler

1 Wil Myers

2 Wladimir Balentien

3 Dominic Brown

 

Bryant

1 Giancarlo Stanton

2 Chris Carter

3 Chris Davis

 

Russell

1 Xander Bogaerts

2 BJ Upton

3 Reid Brignac

 

Baez

1 Chris Davis

2 Travis Snider

3 Chris Carter

 

Schwarber

1 Thomas Neal

2 Jaff Decker

3 Jamie Roman

 

Alcantara

1 Josh Barfield

2 Howie Kendrick

3 Nick Franklin

[Guest]

From glancing through that post, it seems like they have a lot that is holding our projection back.

 

Soler should be rated higher, I think (hope) Bryant gets more at bats than that, no way Jackson is on the team at the end of the year if he's sucking like that...let alone 33 starts, Lester seems low, Hendricks should get more than 8 starts.

 

I'm excited for baseball for the first time since 08 :yahoo:

[The-Kris-Bryant]

PECOTA thinks the Cubs best hitter will begin the year in AAA. More importantly 2nd place in the division and 1 game out of the Wild Card 2 slot. That's with 199 PAs from Kris Bryant.

 

Notable things:

 

- Bryant projected at 2 WAR in 199 PA. Soler, 2 in 583 PA. Baez, 0.9 in 520 PA.

 

- The catchers combine for 2.1, Rizzo 3.8, Castro 2.7.

 

- Jackson projected to lead the team in starts (33), and put up a -0.7, while Hendricks is projected to make only 8 starts and put up 1.0.

 

- Lester at only 2.2 in 29 starts. Arrieta 1.1 in 29 starts.

 

- Projected for 82 wins.

 

Pecota likes Bryant more than McCutcheon so let's temper expectations...and McCutcheons comps are Willie Mays, Frank Robinson and Hank Aaron...of course Bryants number one comp is Stanton whose number one comp is Mickey Mantle.

[Banedon]

@34JLester:

2015-01-28 19:07:07 UTC

Finally changed my @twitter handle to @34JLester (JLester34 was taken). Lost my verification badge for the time being, but its still me!

 

@JArrieta34:

2015-01-28 19:26:01 UTC

“@34JLester: Finally changed my @twitter handle to @34JLester (JLester34 was taken).” Looks good on you big man, when you headed to AZ?

 

@34JLester:

2015-01-28 19:29:35 UTC

@JArrieta34 @twitter Thanks bro! Heading out this week. We got work to do!

 

@JArrieta34:

2015-01-28 19:34:05 UTC

@34JLester @twitter I love work. See you and the fam down there soon!

[imb]

these dudes are gonna be touching tips in no time

[Banedon]

these dudes are gonna be touching tips in no time

 

In my mind, Lester is the big dog....

 

http://i.imgur.com/t3w0qxC.gif

[ConstableRabbit]

Those pitching projections are, um, interesting.

pecota has sucked since Nate left.

Interesting, Wyers was essentially saying that it had to be rebuilt from scratch based on how poor of a job Silver did constructing it. If he still posts here I'd love to here his thoughts.

 

Here's the link I'm referring to.

[seanimal]

Those pitching projections are, um, interesting.

pecota has sucked since Nate left.

Interesting, Wyers was essentially saying that it had to be rebuilt from scratch based on how poor of a job Silver did constructing it. If he still posts here I'd love to here his thoughts.

 

Here's the link I'm referring to.

 

it was built in excel and was really complex, so that has a lot of baggage, but i don't think anyone there is saying that he did a "poor job" of constructing it. for a non-programmer, that's the only way of building something like that

[Guest]

ZiPS is still run out of Excel, I believe.

[Guest]

All of them are the same. Gutless conservative underprojections.

[Guest]

weird

[Tracer Bullet]

[imb]

uglier than rizzo

[Tracer Bullet]

he looks [expletive] psycho

[Sammy Sofa]

He looks like he's about to unhinge his jaw and devour a small child.

[mul21]

Kind of reminds me of the Joker "Wait til they get a load of me!" face.

[Cubswin11]

he looks [expletive] psycho

A psycho who kills baseballs

[Guest]

It's time for fluff pieces!

 

This year we start with Starlin

 

http://m.cubs.mlb.com/news/article/108325218/cubs-shortstop-starlin-castro-getting-jump-on-fresh-year

[DiamondMind]

My brain can't really comprehend that Castro is only 24.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

From Logan Watkins' Twitter:

 

"Devastated to say that I tore my Achilles today working out in Arizona. Hard to put into words how sad I am that I won't be apart of the Great season the Cubs are prepared to have."

 

Well, there's a clear openning at Iowa 2b for you, Baez.

[ConstableRabbit]

But he will be apart.