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Sammy Sofa

By Sammy Sofa,
in General Baseball Talk

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Derwood GOAT

Derwood

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If you set it up as seeded by record rather than division winners get LDS, you can't lose. If the best three teams are the division winners, great. If they're all in one division, also fine. I like the NBA's new system
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jersey cubs fan GOAT

jersey cubs fan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If you set it up as seeded by record rather than division winners get LDS, you can't lose. If the best three teams are the division winners, great. If they're all in one division, also fine. I like the NBA's new system

Better record does not mean better team. What if two good teams beat up on three patsies and wild card team has one more win that another division winner? Do they truly deserve a higher seed?

 

Divisions matter and they should.

Derwood GOAT

Derwood

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If you set it up as seeded by record rather than division winners get LDS, you can't lose. If the best three teams are the division winners, great. If they're all in one division, also fine. I like the NBA's new system

Better record does not mean better team. What if two good teams beat up on three patsies and wild card team has one more win that another division winner? Do they truly deserve a higher seed?

 

Divisions matter and they should.

 

Then go to a balanced schedule

jersey cubs fan GOAT

jersey cubs fan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If you set it up as seeded by record rather than division winners get LDS, you can't lose. If the best three teams are the division winners, great. If they're all in one division, also fine. I like the NBA's new system

Better record does not mean better team. What if two good teams beat up on three patsies and wild card team has one more win that another division winner? Do they truly deserve a higher seed?

 

Divisions matter and they should.

 

Then go to a balanced schedule

You cannot do that. There is no reason to try. It ain't broke and it is pointless to constantly try to fix it.

Derwood GOAT

Derwood

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If you set it up as seeded by record rather than division winners get LDS, you can't lose. If the best three teams are the division winners, great. If they're all in one division, also fine. I like the NBA's new system

Better record does not mean better team. What if two good teams beat up on three patsies and wild card team has one more win that another division winner? Do they truly deserve a higher seed?

 

Divisions matter and they should.

 

Then go to a balanced schedule

You cannot do that. There is no reason to try. It ain't broke and it is pointless to constantly try to fix it.

 

Cannot? They had a balanced schedule not long ago.

TruffleShuffle Cooperstown

TruffleShuffle

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2015/9/9/9285947/matt-williams-indefensible-decision-washington-nationals-new-york-mets

 

With Werth at first base, and Rendon at the plate, Williams gave him the sacrifice bunt sign. It was an immediate rally killer, and a run expectancy table can show exactly why. Run expectancy tables are fantastic because they allow us to see the consequence of in-game moves, which makes it the perfect tool to dissect Williams' failure in the ninth inning. Here is the run expectancy table from FanGraphs for a run environment of 4.15 runs per game, which is slightly lower than the current run environment (4.35 runs per game) but still works for the purpose here.

 

...

 

You can see that when a runner is on first base, and there is nobody out, the team is expected to score .831 runs to the end of the inning. Moving the runner to second on a sacrifice bunt lowers the run expectancy of the inning to .644 runs. Compounding this failure is the fact that Rendon had a 3-1 count, which meant that he was just one pitch away from getting walked, and was likely going to get a good pitch to hit, as Jeurys Familia wouldn't want to face Bryce Harper with two runners on. But instead of letting Rendon swing away, he was still asked to bunt, which, in addition to the run expectancy hit this would bring to the Nationals, is not something he's used to.

 

...

 

Instead of having a runner on second with one out (after a successful sacrifice, RE of .644), the Nationals had a runner on first with one out, which has a run expectancy of .489. The difference is substantial, and with Rendon at the plate, an above average hitter, the chance of him reaching base with a 3-1 count was high, as his career OBP in that situation is .492.

 

If Rendon had reached base, the Nationals run expectancy would have been at least 1.373, with Harper up; who happens to be the leading candidate for NL MVP. It is worth mentioning that Rendon has been playing well of late, and in his last 83 at bats prior to this game, Rendon had posted an ISO of .167, a wOBA of .371, and a wRC+ of 135. He also collected two hits in five at-bats during the game, and had driven in a run. Having him bunt made little sense.

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted
That gives me bad flash backs to our awful high school baseball coach

+1, but to add most all of my coaches. A tournament team coach told us not to take a shower right before a game because we would be retaining water.

jersey cubs fan GOAT

jersey cubs fan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
If you set it up as seeded by record rather than division winners get LDS, you can't lose. If the best three teams are the division winners, great. If they're all in one division, also fine. I like the NBA's new system

Better record does not mean better team. What if two good teams beat up on three patsies and wild card team has one more win that another division winner? Do they truly deserve a higher seed?

 

Divisions matter and they should.

 

Then go to a balanced schedule

You cannot do that. There is no reason to try. It ain't broke and it is pointless to constantly try to fix it.

 

Cannot? They had a balanced schedule not long ago.

When?

Interleague play has existed since the 90s and there has been no such thing as a balanced schedule since that was introduced.

 

It's an impossible endeavor and completely pointless. Every year there is some made up need to bring "fairness" to the schedule and all the solutions completely ignore the realities of the business of baseball. There isn't a problem and it does not require stupid solutions.

SouthSideRyan MVP

SouthSideRyan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
either have an "unfair" and imperfect playoff setup like you have now, or you get rid of playoffs and have one world series if you want a much more legit champion

 

i'm fine with the "illegitimate" champion. beats the hell out of the former and is much more "unfair" toward good teams who end up missing a crack.

 

 

it sucks that right now it bites us in the ass but it is what it is

 

it could be worse, 4 years ago we're sitting 3 games out of the playoffs.

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted
either have an "unfair" and imperfect playoff setup like you have now, or you get rid of playoffs and have one world series if you want a much more legit champion

 

i'm fine with the "illegitimate" champion. beats the hell out of the former and is much more "unfair" toward good teams who end up missing a crack.

 

 

it sucks that right now it bites us in the ass but it is what it is

 

it could be worse, 4 years ago we're sitting 3 games out of the playoffs.

 

yup

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted
If anybody has ever needed to know if Hunter Pence is any good at Super Smash Bros, his girlfriend streams on twitch somewhat frequently. And he usually streams with her. Plus Mike Leake tonight.

 

http://www.twitch.tv/letsgetlexi

 

have to stop watching this or i'll hate hunter pence less and think he's less of a spazoid freak

Gilby First Round Pick

Gilby

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

Now would've been a good time for DiamondMind to pop in and say how much he likes Pence.

 

I also had no idea Twitch was a thing.

Rob Knoxville Smokies

Rob

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Now would've been a good time for DiamondMind to pop in and say how much he likes Pence.

 

I also had no idea Twitch was a thing.

 

Amazon just spent literally a billion dollars acquiring it.

apete6 ACL Cubs

apete6

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Don't know if this is the best place to put this, but MLB.tv is only $10 for the rest of the season. Might be a decent investment, especially for any of you out of towners that didn't buy the whole season.
Proven Veteran First Round Pick

Proven Veteran

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Don't know if this is the best place to put this, but MLB.tv is only $10 for the rest of the season. Might be a decent investment, especially for any of you out of towners that didn't buy the whole season.

 

Yeah, I bought it when it went down to $10. It's pretty great, I love being able to jump to any inning I want.

treebird All-Star

treebird

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

 

that's way too much interaction/contact with the player. if somebody did that to rizzo (let alone while wearing the hat of a team besides the cubs), i'd want him ejected from the earth.

Guest

Guest

Guests
Posted
Posted
He tried to pull a ball from the glove of a fielder, that's going to get you ejected 1000% of the time.

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